Win probability is a statistical tool which suggests a sports team's chances of winning at any given point in a game, based on the performance of historical...
4 KB (502 words) - 02:54, 19 June 2019
Win probability added (WPA) is a sport statistic which attempts to measure a player's contribution to a win by figuring the factor by which each specific...
3 KB (430 words) - 17:21, 1 July 2024
jackpot will increase by $2 million on the next drawing, and the probability of a jackpot win will improve. These changes prevent the main jackpot from increasing...
13 KB (1,459 words) - 15:40, 17 July 2024
Monty Hall problem (category Probability problems)
The Monty Hall problem is a brain teaser, in the form of a probability puzzle, based nominally on the American television game show Let's Make a Deal...
79 KB (9,913 words) - 06:45, 20 August 2024
In probability theory, the Kelly criterion (or Kelly strategy or Kelly bet) is a formula for sizing a sequence of bets by maximizing the long-term expected...
34 KB (5,746 words) - 06:16, 26 August 2024
Auction theory (section Win probability)
doubles her win probability (because of the tie breaking rule, a coin toss). So buyer 2 does not jump. This makes buyer 1 much better off. He wins for use...
39 KB (5,361 words) - 10:45, 19 July 2024
strategy is optimal, that is, it maximizes the probability of stopping on the last 1. The win probability of the odds strategy equals w = Q s R s {\displaystyle...
13 KB (1,954 words) - 20:35, 15 June 2024
of the greatest plays in NFL history, and in relation to Super Bowl win probability, it is analytically the most important single play in NFL history....
105 KB (10,465 words) - 22:49, 31 August 2024
First Quarter Second Quarter Third Quarter Fourth Quarter Win Probability Line Over/Under...
60 KB (648 words) - 03:13, 1 September 2024
other relievers combined during his career. He ranks first all time in win probability added (WPA) in the postseason with 11.7, nearly three times the total...
238 KB (21,184 words) - 05:59, 15 August 2024