Opinion polling for the 1996 Russian presidential election

Opinion polling for the Russian presidential election, 1996

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Yeltsin campaigning in the Moscow-region on May 7, 1996

This page lists public opinion polls in connection with the 1996 Russian presidential election.

First round

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Candidates passing the second round are given in bold.

1992 to 1994

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Date Agency Zyuganov Yavlinsky Zhirinovsky Lebed Yeltsin S. Fyodorov Gorbachev Chernomyrdin Tuleyev Gaidar Rutskoy Shakray Travkin Pamfilova Baburin Sobchak Volsky Shumeyko Rybkin Other Undecided Wouldn't vote Additional candidates
December 1992[1] PPRS 4 28 11 8 14 27 Makashov
4, Bakatin
4
1 January 1993[2] VCIOM 3 2 48 1 2 12 1 1 4 18 4 Khasbulatov1
10–23 November 1993[3] VCIOM 4.1 22.7 2.6 1.2 1.5 3.6 2.8 5.0 3.7 2.7 2.2 1.0 4.4 24.8 4.3 0.7 Nemtsov1.8, Borovoi 0.4,Skokov 0.2
late-March 1994[4] FOM 4 7 5 13 2 5 5 2 2 1 15 20 17
25 June 1994[5] VCIOM 1 10 5 16 1 1 2 1 4 5 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 7 15 24 Luzhkov, Popov, and Skokov
0
late-June 1994[4] FOM 2 12 6 1 12 2 3 4 8 2 3 1 2 1 5 14 21
July 1994[6] Mnenie Poll Service 3.8 9.1 5.9 11.3 2.6 4.0 6.9 37.7 18.5
July 1994[6] Mnenie Poll Service 4.1 10.7 5.7 3.8 6.9 7.2 41.1 19.8
6 September 1994[7] VCIOM 2 11 5 0 19 1 1 3 1 5 6 1 2 1 0 1 1 1 1 35 Khasbulatov1
Lakhova and Skokov
0

1995 polls

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Date Agency Zyuganov Yavlinsky Zhirinovsky Lebed Yeltsin S. Fyodorov Gorbachev Chernomyrdin Tuleyev Gaidar Rutskoy Shakray Travkin Pamfilova Baburin B. Fyodorov Nemtsov Sobchak Volsky Shumeyko Rybkin Solzhenitsyn Luzhkov Kovalev Borovoi Dudayev Lakhova Romanov Shokhin Lapshin Skokov Khasbulatov Ryzhkov Barkashov Gromov Grachev Kozyrev Govorukhin Yakubovich Rossel Anpilov Abdulatipov Other Undecided Wouldn't vote Additional candidates
10 January 1995[8] VCIOM 2 7 6 2 9 2 1 1 1 5 3 1 1 2 0 2 3 1 0 1 2 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 38
20 February 1995[9] VCIOM 6 8 6 3 9 6 1 1 1 4 5 2 1 2 1 2 3 1 2 1 1 1 2 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 3 26
30 March 1995[10] VCIOM 5 10 6 3 8 8 1 1 1 4 5 2 1 1 0 7 4 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 22
30 March 1995[11] VCIOM 5 10 5 7 9 1 2 2 5 5 3 2 2 0 6 7 2 2 2 0 2 2 18
20 April 1995[12] VCIOM 5 11 6 3 8 8 2 5 2 5 4 2 1 1 0 3 3 1 0 1 2 1 1 1 0 1 6 19
10 May 1995[13] VCIOM 5 9 5 10 4 8 2 5 1 5 4 1 1 2 0 3 3 1 0 2 1 1 0 0 1 1 4 0 20
25 May 1995[14] Obschchaya Gazeta 9 12 7 7 4 10 2 3 5 8 4 9 1 3 2 1 Soskovets
1
20 June 1995[15] VCIOM 7 11 8 8 6 5 1 8 0 3 6 1 1 1 0 3 3 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 20
7 July 1995[16] VCIOM 4.2 8.1 6.3 2.3 5.6 5.5 3.7 3.5 2.7 2.3 17.2
7 July 1995[17][18][19][20] CESSI 6 12 6 14 7 10 3 5 2 1 1 5 0 2 23 Starovoytova
2
Chubais
1
12 July 1995[16] VCIOM 3.9 6.0 4.6 7.9 2.6 5.5 3.4 3.5 2.6 3.5 2.2 14.4
July 1995[21] FOM 25 22 1 20 33
30 July 1995[22] VCIOM 8 8 7 7 7 5 1 7 2 3 4 1 0 1 2 1 3 0 0 1 1 2 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 22
September 1995[21] FOM 28 18 24 31
10 October 1995[23] VCIOM 11 8 5 8 6 5 1 8 3 3 3 1 1 1 0 1 3 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 2 18

Khakamada
1

11 October 1995[24] IFES 6 12 5 14 7 10
20 November 1995[25] VCIOM 10 8 7 6 3 5 1 5 3 2 3 1 0 1 0 3 2 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 1 2 25 5 Shcherbakov
0
10 December 1995[26] VCIOM 15 12 10 6 6 3 1 8 2 3 3 0 0 2 0 2 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 13
21 December 1995[27] VCIOM 6 6 2

1996 polls

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January

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Date Agency Zyuganov Yavlinsky Zhirinovsky Lebed Yeltsin S. Fyodorov Gorbachev Chernomyrdin Tuleyev Gaidar Rutskoy Travkin Pamfilova Baburin B. Fyodorov Nemtsov Sobchak Volsky Rybkin Solzhenitsyn Luzhkov Kovalev Borovoi Dudayev Lakhova Romanov Skokov Ryzhkov Govorukhin Rossel Other Undecided Wouldn't vote Additional candidates
14 January 1996[27] FOM 14.2 13.6 14.9 12.5
January 1996[28] VCIOM 21 11 11 10 8
January 1996[29] IISS 15 11 9 8 6 7
28 January 1996[30][31] VCIOM 20 13 10 10 8 8 1 7 3
29 January 1996[32] VCIOM 11.3 7.7 7.1 5.4 5.4
30 January 1996[33] VCIOM 18 12 10 9 10 5 1 4 3 3 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 2 11
10-31 January 1996[34] VCIOM 12 7 7 6 11 1 4 3 2 1 44

February

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Date Agency Zyuganov Yavlinsky Zhirinovsky Lebed Yeltsin S. Fyodorov Gorbachev Chernomyrdin Tuleyev Gaidar Rutskoy Shakhray Travkin Pamfilova Baburin B. Fyodorov Nemtsov Sobchak Volsky Rybkin Solzhenitsyn Luzhkov Borovoi Lakhova Skokov Ryzhkov Barkashov Grachev Govorukhin Anpilov Rossel Other Against All Undecided Wouldn't vote Additional candidates
2 February 1996[32] New York Times 14 11 7 6 5
15 February 1996[30] RIISNP 16.4 12.9 8.8 10.4 10.0 1.1 1.2
15 February 1996[35] VCIOM 21 12 12 8 11 8 1 7 4 3 5 9
15 February 1996[36] VCIOM 22 9 11 6 11 5 1 5 2 3 1 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 13 Khakamada
1
February 1996[37] ISNP 16.4 12.5 10.0
February 1996[29] IISS 18 8 11 7 8 6
Mid-February 1996[30] RIISNP 16.4 12.9 8.8 10.4 10.0 1.1 1.2
Mid-February 1996[30][31] VCIOM 24 9 12 8 11 7 0 5 4
18 February 1996[30] ROMIR 18 11 9 9 8 7
25 February 1996[38] VCIOM 18.0 8.0 10.0 7.0 8.0 8.0 0.6
29 February 1996[39] VCIOM 18.0 9.0 12.0 6.0 11.9 5.9

March

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Date Agency Zyuganov Yavlinsky Zhirinovsky Lebed Yeltsin S. Fyodorov Gorbachev Shakkum Chernomyrdin Tuleyev Gaidar Travkin Pamfilova Baburin B. Fyodorov Nemtsov Sobchak Volsky Rybkin Solzhenitsyn Luzhkov Borovoi Lakhova Lapshin Ryzhkov Govorukhin Rossel Other Against All Undecided Wouldn't vote Additional candidates
2 March 1996[30] FOM 20 11 8 7 14 6
March 1996[37] ISNP 25.8 12.9 17.0
15 March 1996[40] VCIOM 24 10 8 7 17 4 1 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 8 Khakamada
0
Mid-March 1996[30] RIISNP 25.8 13.2 8.1 7.8 17.0 7.6 1.2
17 March 1996[30][31][28] VCIOM 25 11 9 8 15 7 1 1 4 2 3
17 March 1996[30] ROMIR 25.8 9.0 7.0 17.0
10–18 March 1996[30][37][41] CESSI 19.1 6.2 4.9 3.2 14.0 2.0
late-March 1996[31] ROMIR 27 9 19
late-March 1996[28] VCIOM 20 11 8 7 14
30 March 1996[42] VCIOM 23 12 7 8 18 7 1 5 3 2 3 11
31 March 1996[30] VCIOM 27 19
31 March 1996[30] ROMIR 26 9 7 17
31 March 1996[43][44][45][46] FOM 21 8 7 8 19 5 10 2 14 6
End of March 1996[37][31] VCIOM 25 9 9 10 18 7 4 3

April

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Date Agency Zyuganov Yavlinsky Zhirinovsky Lebed Yeltsin S. Fyodorov Gorbachev Bryntsalov Vlasov Starovoytova Ushakov Chernomyrdin Tuleyev Gaidar Rutskoy Shakray Travkin Pamfilova Baburin B. Fyodorov Nemtsov Sobchak Volsky Rybkin Solzhenitsyn Luzhkov Lakhova Lapshin Ryzhkov Barkashov Gromov Govorukhin Anpilov Abdulatipov Other Against all Undecided Wouldn't vote Additional candidates
4 April 1996 VCIOM[47] 26 11 6 7 28 6 1 1 0 1 0 2 1 3 7 Tarasov
1
Mavrodi and Podoprigora
0
7 April 1996[48][43][45] FOM 25 9 6 6 21 3 9 1 9 4 18
10 April 1996[30][31] VCIOM 26 10 8 10 18 8 1 4 3
13 April 1996[48][43][45] FOM 22 8 8 6 23 5 5 1 18
14 April 1996[30] ROMIR 27.0 7.0 6.0 8.0 22.0 6.0 7
April 1996[29] IISS 25 9 6 6 21 3
10–15 April[30] ISP 38–47 8–9 6–7 8–10 16–20 2–4 1–2
15 April 1996[49] VCIOM 25 10 6 6 21 4 1 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 12 Khakamada, and Shcherbakov
0
Mid-April 1996[30] RIISNP 28.0 12.7 8.5 10.3 23.8 6.7 1.1
17 April 1996[50][51] VCIOM 26.0 10.0 8.0 10.0 18.0
20 April 1996[48] FOM 22 8 7 6 22 5 3 3 5 18
22 April 1996[30][41] CESSI 19.8 6.5 4.8 4.7 20.7 3.2 1.0
24 April 1996[30] VCIOM 27.0 11.0 9.0 8.0 21.0 4.0 2.0
24 April 1996[51] CESSI 19.8 7.0 5.0 5.0 20.8 3.0

May

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Date Agency Zyuganov Yavlinsky Zhirinovsky Lebed Yeltsin S. Fyodorov Gorbachev Bryntsalov Vlasov Shakkum Starovoytova Ushakov Tuleyev Podoprigora Other Against all Undecided Wouldn't vote Additional candidates
27 April-2 May[30] ISP 43–45 8 7 8 25 3 1–2
5 May 1996[30] VCIOM 27.0 9.0 7.0 6.0 28.0 7.0 1.0 2.0
5 May 1996[30][51][52][53][54] ROMIR 28.0 7.0 5.0 7.0 28.0 6.0 2.0 15
5 May 1996[30] ROMIR 25 8.0 6.0 6.0 29.0 4.0 1.0 1.0
11–12 May 1996[55] FOM 28 18 14 32 10 1.0
12 May 1996[30] ROMIR 25 9.0 5.0 5.0 32 3.0 1.0 1.0
9–14 May 1996[41][30][55] CESSI 19.3 9.2 4.3 5.5 27.7 3.2
14 May 1996[54] 27 28
May 1996[30] RIISNP 22.4 13.3 6.1 7.4 35.2 5.6 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 3.1
15 May 1996[56] VCIOM 22 10 6 7 36 5 1 0 0 1 2 0 3
17 May 1996[30] ISP 42 10.0 7.0 8.0 27.0 3.0
19 May 1996[30] VCIOM 26.0 9.0 7.0 7.0 33.0 4.0 0.5 0.4 0.5 1.0
19 May 1996[30] ROMIR 27.0 7.0 5.0 4.0 31.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0
6–24 May 1996[57] VCIOM 13.9 6.0 3.2 3.3 23.5 2.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.5 43.7 Ubozhko
0.8
Nobody
0.5
N/A
0.8
6–24 May 1996[57] VCIOM 19.4 12.5 5.0 7.2 29.5 6.1 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.9 0.1 1.4 0.1 11.4 Tarasov
0.3
Mavrodi
0.1
N/A
4.5
26 May 1996[30] ROMIR 24.0 6.0 5.0 6.0 35.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0
24–28 May 1996[30] ISP 36 10 5–7 7–8 36 4
30 May 1996[41][58] CESSI 19.7 5.9 5.7 5.6 32.6
31 May 1996[59] FOM 22 34

June

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Date Agency Zyuganov Yavlinsky Zhirinovsky Lebed Yeltsin S. Fyodorov Gorbachev Bryntsalov Vlasov Shakkum Tuleyev Against all Wouldn't vote
3 June 1996[30] VCIOM 26.0 7.0 6.0 7.0 37.0 3.0 1.0 0.4
3 June 1996[30] ROMIR 23 7 4 7 35 2 0 0 0 0 1
7 June 1996[30] ISP 31 11 5 9 40 2
9 June 1996[60] FOM 30 6 8 7 34 2 2
8–10 June 1996[30][61] ROMIR 23 7 5 7 34 2 1 0 0 0 1
10 June 1996[62] VCIOM 24 9 5 7 39 3 1 1 0 0 0 2 10
5–11 June 1996[30][61][63][60] VCIOM 24.0 8.0 6.0 10.0 36.0 3.0 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 1.0
13 June 1996[63] Sovetskaya Rossiya 36 27
13 June 1996[63] ISP 31 40
13 June 1996[30][60][64] Betanelli 35.6 9.8 7.5 11.0 32.7 9.8
June 1996[65] VCIOM 19 10 6 8 33 3 1 3 1 2 11
June 1996[66] VCIOM 22 10 5 9 39 4 0 1 0 0 2 2 5
16 June 1996 Election result 32.5 7.4 5.8 14.7 35.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.0 1.6
Exit polls
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Agency Zyuganov Yavlinsky Zhirinovsky Lebed Yeltsin S. Fyodorov Gorbachev Bryntsalov Vlasov Shakkum Tuleyev Against all
CESSI[67] 29 10 7 14 35
Election result 32.5 7.4 5.8 14.7 35.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.0 1.6

Second round

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Polls before runoff

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Date Agency Zyuganov Yeltsin Against all Not vote Undecided
20 February 1995[68] VCIOM 19 23 58
January 1996[39][37] VCIOM 41 21
January 1996 [31] VCIOM 33 19 20 15 13
28 January 1996[30] VCIOM 33 18 22 15 12
30 January 1996[69] VCIOM 36 25 32 7
13 February 1996[30] VCIOM 33 19 20 15 13
February 1996[30] RIISNP 32.3 25.2 36.3
February 1996 [31] VCIOM 34 21 22 15 13
15 February 1996[70] VCIOM 36 26 24 14
Mid-February 1996[30] VCIOM 39 27 22 4 8
March 1996[37] VCIOM 37 29
mid-March[31] VCIOM 32 24 17 12 12
17 March 1996[30] VCIOM 36 33 18 3 10
17 March 1996[30] ROMIR 40 31
12–24 March 1996[71] IISES 32 24 36
late-March[31] VCIOM 30 29 21 12 10
late-March[31] ROMIR 40 30
31 March 1996[30] VCIOM 32 24 21 12 11
10 April 1996[30] VCIOM 29 28 18 15 10
13 April 1996[43] FOM 17 22
14 April 1996[30] ROMIR 40 34
April 1996[30] RIISNP 36.5 31.7 20.8
17 April 1996[50][51][31] VCIOM 29 28 17 12 12
20 April 1996[30] ROMIR 40 36
28 April 1996[30] ROMIR 40 36
5 May 1996[30] ROMIR 33 41
5 May 1996[54] 36 40
6 May 1996[30] VCIOM 29 31 17 9 14
12 May 1996[30] VCIOM 31 37 15 9 8
12 May 1996[30] ROMIR 32 42
14 May 1996[54] 37 45
May 1996[72] ISP 42 27
May 1996 [29] IISS 36-47 16-20
17 May 1996[41] CESSI 27 43.1 11.5
19 May 1996[30] VCIOM 37 50 13
19 May 1996[30] ROMIR 32 43
6-24 May 1996[57] VCIOM 35.2 48.3 16.5
26 May 1996[30] VCIOM 36 52 12
26 May 1996[30] ROMIR 30 46
30 May 1996[41] CESSI 27.6 47.9 9.5
3 June 1996[30] ROMIR 31 49
12 June 1996[30] VCIOM 36 53 11
12 June 1996[30] ROMIR 30 46

Polls during runoff

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Date Agency Zyuganov Yeltsin Against all Not vote Undecided
16 June 1996[73] CNN/Moscow Times 24.8 50.0
1 July 1996[74] Betanelli 38.5 56.0 5.0
3 July 1996 Election result 40.7 54.4 4.9

Exit polls

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Agency Zyuganov Yeltsin Against all
CESSI[67] 41 54
Election result 40.7 54.4 4.9

Hypothetical polling

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With Chernomyrdin

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Date Agency Chernomyrdin Lebed Yavlinsky Against all Would not vote Undecided
14 January 1996[27] FOM 34.6 65.4
39.1 60.9

With B. Fyodorov

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Date Agency B. Fyodorov Lebed Zhirinovsky Against all Would not vote Undecided
20 February 1995[75] VCIOM 28 20 28 24
May 10, 1995[76] VCIOM 31 9 40 20

With S. Fyodorov

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Date Agency S. Fyodorov Gaidar Yavlinsky Against all Would not vote Undecided
20 February 1995[77] VCIOM 41 17 42
20 April 1995[78] VCIOM 30 31 19 19

With Gaidar

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Date Agency Gaidar S. Fyodorov Yavlinsky Zhirinovsky Zyuganov Against all Would not vote Undecided
20 May 1994[79] VCIOM 38 14 48
20 February 1995[77] VCIOM 17 41 42
May 10, 1995[3] VCIOM 20.4 29.6 50
10–23 November 1995[80] VCIOM 26 20 38 17

With Lebed

[edit]
Graph of Lebed–Yavlinsky polls
Graph of Lebed–Zyuganov polls
Date Agency Lebed Chernomyrdin B. Fyodorov Yavlinsky Yeltsin Zyuganov Against all Would not vote Undecided
20 February 1995[75] VCIOM 20 28 24
10 January 1996[30] ROMIR 35 29
14 January 1996[27] FOM 65.4 34.6
47.25 52.75
57.9 42.1
28 January 1996[30] VCIOM 28 28 20 12 12
30 January 1996[81][82][83] VCIOM 32 39 33 21 6
40 22 32 6
34 33 27 7
13 February 1996