Opinion polling and seat projections for the 2024 European Parliament election
The European Parliament election is set to take place in June 2024. This article lists national polls for the European Union (EU) election as well as EU-wide seat projections and popular vote estimates.
Polling aggregations
[edit]Seat projections
[edit]Europe Elects, Der Föderalist and Politico Europe have been presenting seat projections throughout the legislative period. Other institutes started presenting data during the election campaign. All projections make their national-level data transparent, except Politico Europe, which only presents aggregate EU-level data.
Polling aggregator | Date updated | Number of seats | The Left | S&D | G/EFA | Renew | EPP | ECR | ID | NI | Others | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 election | After reorganisation of groups | 16 July 2024 | 720 | 46 | 136 | 53 | 77 | 188 | 78 | 84 (as PfE) | 33+25 ESN | – |
Dynamic[a][b][1] | 9 June 2024 | 720 | 40 | 136 | 54 | 80 | 188 | 82 | 64 | 76 | – | |
Baseline[c][2] | 9 June 2024 | 720 | 39 | 136 | 54 | 78 | 177 | 73 | 58 | 48 | 67 | |
PolitPro[3] | 9 June 2024 | 720 | 40 | 139 | 40 | 81 | 174 | 74 | 89 | 43 | 40 | |
Politico Europe[4] | 6 June 2024 | 720 | 32 | 143 | 41 | 75 | 173 | 76 | 67 | 58 | 55 | |
election.de[5] | 6 June 2024 | 720 | 42 | 138 | 58 | 85 | 181 | 82 | 69 | 65 | – | |
Cassandra-odds.com[6] | 5 June 2024 | 720 | 38 | 145 | 57 | 89 | 167 | 84 | 73 | 67 | – | |
euobserver[7] | 5 June 2024 | 720 | 43 | 140 | 52 | 79 | 178 | 89 | 63 | 76 | – | |
Europe Elects[8] | 4 June 2024 | 720 | 38 | 136 | 55 | 81 | 182 | 79 | 69 | 76 | 4 | |
Der Föderalist[9] | Baseline[c] | 3 Jun 2024 | 720 | 37 | 136 | 57 | 81 | 172 | 79 | 66 | 50 | 42 |
Dynamic[a] | 720 | 40 | 137 | 58 | 85 | 186 | 80 | 78 | 56 | – | ||
Euronews[10] | 23 May 2024 | 720 | 43 | 135 | 54 | 82 | 181 | 80 | 83 | 62 | – | |
2019 election | After Brexit | 1 Feb 2020 | 705 | 40 | 148 | 67 | 97 | 187 | 62 | 76 | 28 | – |
Before Brexit | 26 May 2019 | 751 | 41 | 154 | 74 | 108 | 182 | 62 | 73 | 57 | – |
Popular vote projections
[edit]Europe Elects has been presenting popular vote projections throughout the legislative period. Other institutes started presenting data during the election campaign.
Polling aggregator | Date updated | The Left | S&D | G/EFA | Renew | EPP | ECR | ID | NI | Others | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 election | 9 June 2024 | 6.7 % | 19.2 % | 8.8 % | 10.4 % | 21.2 % | 12.3 % | 9.0 % | 9.0 % | 3.4 % | ||
PolitPro[11] | 9 June 2024 | 5.6% | 19.3% | 5.6% | 11.3% | 24.2% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | ||
The Economist[12] | 9 June 2024 | 6.0% | 16.0% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 22.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 14.0% | ||
Europe Elects[8] | 31 May 2024 | 6.4% | 19.8% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 21.1% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 4.2% | ||
2019 election | ||||||||||||
Before Brexit | 26 May 2019 | 6.5% | 18.5% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 21.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 3.1% |
Seats
[edit]361 seats are needed for an absolute majority in the European Parliament.
Organisation | Release date | Area | Number of seats | The Left | S&D | G/EFA | Renew | EPP | ECR | ID | NI | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
election.de[13] | 6 June 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 42 | 138 | 58 | 85 | 181 | 82 | 69 | 65 | 43 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[14] | 4 June 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 38 | 136 | 55 | 81 | 182 | 79 | 69 | 76 | 4 | 46 |
election.de[15] | 30 May 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 43 | 141 | 57 | 84 | 179 | 81 | 68 | 67 | 38 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[16] | 27 May 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 39 | 138 | 56 | 86 | 180 | 75 | 68 | 76 | 2 | 42 |
Germany's AfD is expelled from the Identity and Democracy (ID) group.[17] | |||||||||||||
election.de[18] | 23 May 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 43 | 139 | 56 | 87 | 179 | 83 | 80 | 53 | 40 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[19] | 16 May 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 43 | 134 | 54 | 85 | 182 | 83 | 83 | 54 | 2 | 48 |
election.de[20] | 9 May 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 40 | 140 | 55 | 89 | 177 | 80 | 84 | 55 | 37 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[21] | 28 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 44 | 140 | 48 | 86 | 183 | 86 | 84 | 48 | 1 | 43 |
EM Analytics[22] | 30 April 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 40 | 139 | 55 | 85 | 176 | 84 | 79 | 62 | 37 | |
Der Föderalist[23] | 26 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 35 | 132 | 51 | 86 | 173 | 81 | 83 | 35 | 44 | 41 |
720 | 39 | 134 | 53 | 89 | 181 | 86 | 99 | 39 | 47 | ||||
EM Analytics[24] | 22 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 39 | 139 | 51 | 86 | 181 | 86 | 77 | 61 | 42 | |
election.de[25] | 22 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 39 | 138 | 52 | 90 | 173 | 80 | 87 | 61 | 35 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[26] | 16 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 40 | 139 | 52 | 84 | 184 | 82 | 84 | 52 | 3 | 45 |
election.de[27] | 8 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 39 | 138 | 55 | 86 | 176 | 81 | 85 | 60 | 38 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[28] | 28 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 47 | 135 | 52 | 87 | 184 | 81 | 82 | 48 | 4 | 49 |
election.de[29] | 22 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 40 | 139 | 54 | 89 | 176 | 84 | 83 | 55 | 37 | |
Ipsos for Euronews[30] | 19 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 42 | 136 | 55 | 85 | 177 | 76 | 81 | 68 | 41 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[31] | 18 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 46 | 135 | 50 | 86 | 183 | 84 | 89 | 43 | 4 | 48 |
Politico Europe[32] | 9 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 33 | 141 | 48 | 90 | 180 | 87 | 89 | 52 | 39 | |
election.de[33] | 8 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 39 | 142 | 51 | 86 | 171 | 86 | 86 | 59 | 29 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[34] | 1 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 45 | 140 | 49 | 82 | 181 | 83 | 92 | 44 | 4 | 41 |
Der Föderalist[35] | 26 Feb 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 35 | 135 | 48 | 85 | 176 | 78 | 85 | 36 | 42 | 41 |
37 | 137 | 48 | 89 | 183 | 82 | 101 | 43 | 46 | |||||
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[36] | 19 Feb 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 44 | 140 | 48 | 85 | 180 | 83 | 92 | 43 | 6 | 40 |
election.de[37] | 7 Feb 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 42 | 138 | 49 | 78 | 176 | 88 | 94 | 55 | 38 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[38] | 1 Feb 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 42 | 140 | 51 | 82 | 180 | 80 | 91 | 49 | 5 | 40 |
ECFR[39] | 23 Jan 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 44 | 131 | 61 | 86 | 173 | 85 | 98 | 42 | 42 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[40] | 15 Jan 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 37 | 143 | 50 | 84 | 178 | 80 | 93 | 49 | 6 | 35 |
election.de[41] | 9 Jan 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 41 | 141 | 45 | 80 | 179 | 86 | 95 | 53 | 38 | |
Politico Europe[42] | 9 Jan 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 33 | 145 | 43 | 86 | 178 | 89 | 96 | 50 | 33 | |
Der Föderalist[43] | 8 Jan 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 33 | 141 | 45 | 86 | 169 | 75 | 89 | 43 | 39 | 28 |
35 | 143 | 47 | 91 | 177 | 85 | 108 | 34 | 34 | |||||
Europe Elects[44] | 30 Dec 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 36 | 142 | 49 | 84 | 179 | 81 | 93 | 50 | 6 | 37 |
Politico Europe[45] | 11 Dec 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 33 | 145 | 47 | 87 | 175 | 91 | 91 | 51 | 30 | |
Europe Elects[46] | 30 Nov 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 38 | 141 | 52 | 89 | 175 | 82 | 87 | 52 | 4 | 35 |
KAS[47] | 29 Nov 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 42 | 143 | 48 | 87 | 171 | 78 | 79 | 41 | 30 | 35 |
Politico Europe[48] | 9 Nov 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 38 | 143 | 49 | 91 | 179 | 90 | 85 | 45 | 36 | |
Der Föderalist[49] | 6 Nov 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 43 | 137 | 43 | 90 | 170 | 78 | 76 | 37 | 45 | 33 |
46 | 138 | 47 | 96 | 178 | 89 | 92 | 34 | 40 | |||||
Europe Elects[50] | 31 Oct 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 45 | 139 | 51 | 92 | 173 | 80 | 76 | 53 | 11 | 34 |
PES (S&D's party) suspends Slovakia's Smer–SD and Hlas–SD due to their coalition with the sovereignist SNS party.[51] | |||||||||||||
Politico Europe[52] | 9 Oct 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 40 | 151 | 49 | 89 | 172 | 93 | 82 | 44 | 21 | |
Europe Elects[53] | 30 Sep 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 43 | 145 | 52 | 90 | 165 | 86 | 74 | 56 | 10 | 21 |
The European Council approves the new apportionment in the European Parliament from 705 to 720 seats.[54] | |||||||||||||
Der Föderalist[55] | 11 Sep 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 43 | 147 | 46 | 91 | 162 | 77 | 74 | 36 | 43 | 15 |
45 | 147 | 50 | 96 | 171 | 90 | 89 | 32 | 24 | |||||
705 | 42 | 144 | 46 | 90 | 157 | 77 | 72 | 35 | 41 | 13 | |||
44 | 144 | 50 | 95 | 165 | 89 | 87 | 31 | 21 | |||||
Politico Europe[56] | 7 Sep 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 42 | 146 | 46 | 91 | 167 | 93 | 76 | 44 | 21 | |
Europe Elects[57] | 31 Aug 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 38 | 149 | 53 | 90 | 164 | 83 | 75 | 58 | 10 | 15 |
Politico Europe[58] | 9 Aug 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 45 | 145 | 48 | 89 | 165 | 89 | 77 | 47 | 20 | |
Europe Elects[59] | 31 Jul 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 45 | 143 | 49 | 90 | 157 | 82 | 82 | 55 | 12 | 14 |
Der Föderalist[60] | 17 Jul 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 41 | 136 | 48 | 94 | 160 | 79 | 70 | 36 | 41 | 24 |
43 | 137 | 52 | 99 | 167 | 89 | 87 | 31 | 30 | |||||
Der Föderalist[61] | 22 May 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 49 | 137 | 50 | 92 | 162 | 79 | 67 | 33 | 36 | 25 |
50 | 137 | 54 | 99 | 172 | 82 | 83 | 28 | 35 | |||||
Europe Elects[62] | 28 Apr 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 51 | 141 | 49 | 89 | 163 | 85 | 64 | 51 | 11 | 22 |
Der Föderalist[63] | 27 Mar 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 44 | 137 | 42 | 94 | 162 | 78 | 68 | 38 | 42 | 25 |
46 | 141 | 46 | 102 | 170 | 81 | 84 | 35 | 29 | |||||
Der Föderalist[64] | 1 Feb 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 50 | 135 | 42 | 96 | 168 | 78 | 65 | 37 | 34 | 33 |
52 | 138 | 47 | 103 | 172 | 82 | 80 | 31 | 34 | |||||
Der Föderalist[65] | 6 Dec 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 51 | 136 | 44 | 93 | 166 | 79 | 64 | 37 | 35 | 30 |
53 | 139 | 50 | 100 | 170 | 83 | 80 | 30 | 31 | |||||
Europe Elects[66] | 7 Dec 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 49 | 142 | 56 | 100 | 158 | 84 | 63 | 46 | 7 | 16 |
Europe Elects[67] | 1 Nov 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 135 | 53 | 106 | 162 | 81 | 66 | 41 | 6 | 27 |
Der Föderalist[68] | 12 Oct 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 127 | 42 | 100 | 169 | 79 | 63 | 35 | 38 | 42 |
54 | 130 | 48 | 108 | 174 | 84 | 80 | 27 | 44 | |||||
Der Föderalist[69] | 20 Aug 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 134 | 47 | 98 | 170 | 75 | 63 | 27 | 39 | 36 |
54 | 137 | 53 | 107 | 175 | 80 | 76 | 23 | 38 | |||||
Der Föderalist[70] | 22 Jun 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 54 | 133 | 44 | 101 | 165 | 77 | 64 | 31 | 36 | 32 |
56 | 136 | 54 | 106 | 168 | 81 | 79 | 25 | 32 | |||||
Der Föderalist[71] | 25 Apr 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 59 | 139 | 39 | 97 | 157 | 78 | 64 | 37 | 35 | 18 |
60 | 143 | 49 | 102 | 159 | 84 | 76 | 32 | 16 | |||||
Der Föderalist[72] | 1 Mar 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 53 | 139 | 36 | 98 | 158 | 78 | 62 | 45 | 36 | 19 |
55 | 142 | 44 | 105 | 160 | 109 | 62 | 28 | 18 | |||||
Europe Elects[73] | 8 Jan 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 49 | 152 | 55 | 99 | 158 | 78 | 62 | 35 | 17 | 6 |
Der Föderalist[74] | 4 Jan 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 51 | 142 | 39 | 99 | 165 | 73 | 62 | 34 | 40 | 23 |
53 | 146 | 43 | 105 | 166 | 102 | 62 | 28 | 20 | |||||
Europe Elects[75] | 7 Dec 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 50 | 155 | 55 | 103 | 146 | 81 | 75 | 36 | 4 | 9 |
Der Föderalist[76] | 8 Nov 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 50 | 144 | 42 | 96 | 155 | 75 | 72 | 36 | 35 | 11 |
52 | 148 | 48 | 107 | 156 | 23 | 120 | 51 | 8 | |||||
Europe Elects[77] | 4 Nov 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 50 | 155 | 51 | 102 | 151 | 81 | 75 | 35 | 5 | 4 |
Europe Elects[78] | 8 Oct 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 50 | 154 | 47 | 94 | 156 | 78 | 75 | 36 | 15 | 2 |
Der Föderalist[79] | 13 Sep 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 54 | 141 | 42 | 98 | 160 | 70 | 75 | 33 | 32 | 19 |
56 | 145 | 48 | 107 | 160 | 22 | 116 | 51 | 15 | |||||
Der Föderalist[80] | 21 Jul 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 133 | 45 | 97 | 167 | 71 | 74 | 31 | 35 | 34 |
54 | 138 | 49 | 108 | 168 | 23 | 117 | 48 | 30 | |||||
Europe Elects[81] | 9 Jul 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 144 | 55 | 94 | 156 | 75 | 77 | 34 | 18 | 12 |
Europe Elects[82] | 5 Jun 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 51 | 146 | 58 | 92 | 155 | 76 | 74 | 35 | 18 | 9 |
Der Föderalist[83] | 24 May 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 50 | 125 | 50 | 95 | 167 | 74 | 73 | 33 | 38 | 42 |
52 | 130 | 54 | 109 | 167 | 87 | 74 | 32 | 37 | |||||
Europe Elects[84] | 2 May 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 144 | 56 | 93 | 158 | 75 | 74 | 34 | 19 | 14 |
Europe Elects[85] | 2 Apr 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 51 | 151 | 52 | 93 | 159 | 74 | 74 | 32 | 19 | 8 |
Der Föderalist[86] | 29 Mar 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 136 | 46 | 96 | 164 | 71 | 73 | 34 | 33 | 28 |
54 | 141 | 49 | 109 | 164 | 85 | 73 | 30 | 23 | |||||
Hungary's Fidesz party leaves the EPP Group.[87] | |||||||||||||
Der Föderalist[88] | 2 Feb 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 135 | 45 | 94 | 184 | 70 | 71 | 21 | 33 | 49 |
53 | 141 | 48 | 107 | 184 | 73 | 71 | 28 | 49 | |||||
Europe Elects[89] | 5 Jan 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 138 | 47 | 97 | 190 | 73 | 72 | 22 | 11 | 52 |
Der Föderalist[90] | 9 Dec 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 136 | 47 | 93 | 188 | 67 | 73 | 20 | 29 | 52 |
53 | 140 | 40 | 103 | 188 | 73 | 73 | 25 | 48 | |||||
Europe Elects[91] | 2 Dec 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 136 | 48 | 95 | 195 | 68 | 73 | 23 | 12 | 59 |
Europe Elects[92] | 31 Oct 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 54 | 136 | 48 | 93 | 197 | 70 | 74 | 24 | 9 | 61 |
Der Föderalist[93] | 12 Oct 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 51 | 127 | 49 | 96 | 193 | 67 | 71 | 21 | 30 | 66 |
52 | 136 | 52 | 102 | 193 | 71 | 71 | 28 | – | 57 | ||||
Europe Elects[94] | 4 Oct 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 136 | 49 | 95 | 195 | 71 | 77 | 23 | 4 | 59 |
Europe Elects[95] | 31 Aug 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 134 | 49 | 96 | 196 | 71 | 75 | 24 | 5 | 62 |
Europe Elects[96] | 14 Aug 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 54 | 134 | 49 | 97 | 198 | 70 | 75 | 23 | 5 | 64 |
Europe Elects[97] | 24 Jul 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 54 | 133 | 48 | 97 | 198 | 71 | 77 | 24 | 3 | 65 |
Europe Elects[98] | 28 May 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 135 | 47 | 98 | 197 | 70 | 77 | 23 | 3 | 62 |
Europe Elects[99] | 30 Apr 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 140 | 46 | 94 | 193 | 72 | 78 | 23 | 4 | 53 |
Europe Elects[100] | 31 Mar 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 57 | 135 | 51 | 92 | 188 | 72 | 83 | 21 | 6 | 53 |
Europe Elects[101] | 29 Feb 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 56 | 133 | 55 | 99 | 184 | 68 | 85 | 21 | 6 | 51 |
Europe Elects[102] | 31 Jan 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 130 | 53 | 101 | 182 | 70 | 85 | 23 | 6 | 52 |
The United Kingdom leaves the European Union.[103] | |||||||||||||
Europe Elects[104] | 31 Dec 2019 | EU27 | 705 | 54 | 131 | 52 | 102 | 182 | 70 | 86 | 25 | 3 | 51 |
Europe Elects[105] | 31 Dec 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 53 | 153 | 52 | 103 | 177 | 103 | 82 | 25 | 3 | 24 |
Europe Elects[106] | 30 Nov 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 49 | 157 | 61 | 107 | 176 | 95 | 80 | 25 | 1 | 19 |
Europe Elects[106] | 31 Aug 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 46 | 151 | 62 | 115 | 175 | 92 | 78 | 30 | 2 | 24 |
Europe Elects[106] | 30 Sep 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 48 | 151 | 63 | 118 | 170 | 87 | 79 | 32 | 3 | 19 |
Europe Elects[106] | 31 Aug 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 47 | 154 | 64 | 116 | 166 | 89 | 80 | 32 | 3 | 12 |
Europe Elects[106] | 31 Jul 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 48 | 153 | 65 | 117 | 168 | 85 | 79 | 33 | 3 | 15 |
Europe Elects[106] | 30 Jun 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 46 | 145 | 74 | 119 | 167 | 64 | 80 | 54 | 2 | 22 |
Redistribution of seats after Brexit | 1 Feb 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 40 | 148 | 68 | 97 | 187 | 62 | 76 | 27 | – | 39 |
2019 European Parliament election | 26 May 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 41 | 154 | 74 | 108 | 182 | 62 | 73 | 57 | – | 28 |
Popular vote
[edit]The following table shows the projected popular vote share for the groups in the EU Parliament aggregated on the European level. EU27 excludes the United Kingdom in this context. EU28 includes the United Kingdom.
Organisation | Release date | Area | The Left | S&D | G/EFA | Renew | EPP | ECR | ID | NI | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Germany's AfD is expelled from the Identity and Democracy group.[17] | ||||||||||||
EM Analytics[22] | 30 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 7.3% | 18.9% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 21.7% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv[107] | 28 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 6.3% | 18.3% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 22.9% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% |
EM Analytics[108] | 22 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 7.0% | 18.5% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 22.0% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv[109] | 16 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 5.9% | 18.0% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 24.3% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv[110] | 28 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 7.7% | 18.4% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 23.0% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv[111] | 18 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 4.8% | 18.5% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 22.2% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.7% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv[112] | 1 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 5.5% | 18.9% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 22.6% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv[113] | 19 Feb 2024 | EU27 | 6.7% | 18.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 22.9% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv[114] | 1 Feb 2024 | EU27 | 6.8% | 18.4% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 22.6% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv[115] | 15 Jan 2024 | EU27 | 5.9% | 18.3% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 23.5% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% |
Europe Elects[116] | 30 Dec 2023 | EU27 | 5.5% | 17.9% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 22.8% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% |
Europe Elects[117] | 30 Nov 2023 | EU27 | 5.7% | 18.4% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 22.4% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.0% |
Europe Elects[118] | 31 Oct 2023 | EU27 | 5.9% | 18.5% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 22.4% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
Europe Elects[119] | 30 Sep 2023 | EU27 | 6.9% | 19.1% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 21.3% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 2.2% |
Europe Elects | 31 Aug 2023 | EU27 | 6.1% | 19.5% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 21.6% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
Europe Elects[120] | 31 Jul 2023 | EU27 | 7.2% | 19.5% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 20.6% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 1.1% |
Europe Elects[121] | 28 Jun 2023 | EU27 | 6.9% | 18.7% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 21.4% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 2.7% |
Europe Elects[122] | 31 May 2023 | EU27 | 7.5% | 18.8% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 20.7% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 1.9% |
Europe Elects[123] | 30 Apr 2023 | EU27 | 7.8% | 18.2% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 21.4% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 3.2% |
Europe Elects[124] | 31 Mar 2023 | EU27 | 7.3% | 19.0% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 21.6% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
Europe Elects[125] | 28 Feb 2023 | EU27 | 7.1% | 18.7% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 21.7% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 3.0% |
Europe Elects[126] | 31 Jan 2023 | EU27 | 7.4% | 18.5% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 21.5% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
Europe Elects[127] | 31 Dec 2022 | EU27 | 7.1% | 18.7% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 21.1% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 2.4% |
Europe Elects[66] | 7 Dec 2022 | EU27 | 7.2% | 18.8% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 21.2% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 2.4% |
Europe Elects[67] | 1 Nov 2022 | EU27 | 8.0% | 18.3% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 21.6% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.3% |
Europe Elects[73] | 8 Jan 2022 | EU27 | 6.7% | 20.6% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 20.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 0.1% |
Europe Elects[75] | 7 Dec 2021 | EU27 | 7.0% | 20.4% | 7.4% | 13.6% | 17.9% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 1.2% |
Europe Elects[77] | 4 Nov 2021 | EU27 | 6.9% | 20.7% | 7.2% | 13.0% | 19.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 1.2% |
Europe Elects[78] | 8 Oct 2021 | EU27 | 7.3% | 20.3% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 20.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | Tie |
Europe Elects[81] | 9 Jul 2021 | EU27 | 7.2% | 17.9% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 21.2% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 3.3% |
Europe Elects[82] | 5 Jun 2021 | EU27 | 7.8% | 18.0% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 20.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
Europe Elects[99] | 2 May 2021 | EU27 | 7.9% | 18.3% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 20.3% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 2.0% |
Europe Elects[100] | 2 Apr 2021 | EU27 | 8.0% | 18.7% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 21.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
Hungary's Fidesz party leaves the EPP Group.[87] | ||||||||||||
Europe Elects[89] | 2 Mar 2021 | EU27 | 7.9% | 18.9% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 23.1% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
Europe Elects[89] | 2 Feb 2021 | EU27 | 8.2% | 18.6% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 24.4% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% |
Europe Elects[89] | 31 Dec 2020 | EU27 | 8.4% | 18.9% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 24.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% |
Europe Elects[91] | 2 Dec 2020 | EU27 | 8.2% | 18.5% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 24.8% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% |
Europe Elects[92] | 31 Oct 2020 | EU27 | 7.6% | 18.4% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 25.0% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% |
Europe Elects[94] | 4 Oct 2020 | EU27 | 7.9% | 17.9% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 24.4% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% |
Europe Elects[95] | 31 Aug 2020 | EU27 | 8.1% | 18.3% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 25.0% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% |
Europe Elects[96] | 14 Aug 2020 | EU27 | 8.0% | 18.0% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 25.3% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% |
Europe Elects[97] | 24 Jul 2020 | EU27 | 8.3% | 17.9% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 25.7% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.8% |
Europe Elects[98] | 28 May 2020 | EU27 | 8.2% | 18.0% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 25.2% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% |
Europe Elects[99] | 30 Apr 2020 | EU27 | 8.2% | 18.5% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 25.3% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% |
Europe Elects[100] | 31 Mar 2020 | EU27 | 8.5% | 18.2% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 24.1% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% |
Europe Elects[101] | 29 Feb 2020 | EU27 | 9.1% | 18.0% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 22.7% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% |
Europe Elects[102] | 31 Jan 2020 | EU27 | 8.0% | 18.6% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 20.5% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
The United Kingdom leaves the European Union.[103] | ||||||||||||
Europe Elects[106] | 31 Dec 2019 | EU28 | 8.1% | 18.8% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 20.9% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
Europe Elects[106] | 30 Nov 2019 | EU28 | 8.0% | 18.4% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 20.3% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
Europe Elects[106] | 31 Oct 2019 | EU28 | 6.5% | 17.8% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 20.3% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 2.5% |
Europe Elects[106] | 30 Sep 2019 | EU28 | 6.6% | 19.5% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 19.6% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 0.1% |
Europe Elects[106] | 31 Aug 2019 | EU28 | 6.9% | 19.0% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 20.0% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 1.0% |
Europe Elects[106] | 31 Jul 2019 | EU28 | 6.6% | 19.0% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 19.3% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 0.3% |
Europe Elects[106] | 30 Jun 2019 | EU28 | 6.9% | 18.9% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 19.1% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 0.2% |
2019 European Parliament election[128] | 26 May 2019 | EU27 | 7.0% | 18.9% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 22.6% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% |
2019 European Parliament election[106] | EU28 | 6.5% | 18.5% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 21.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
National opinion polling
[edit]Austria
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | ÖVP EPP | SPÖ S&D | FPÖ ID | Grüne G/EFA | NEOS Renew | KPÖ Left | DNA ECR | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lazarsfeld Society | 3–4 Jun 2024 | 2,000 | 19-22 4 | 22-25 5 | 27-30 6 | 8-10 2 | 12-15 3 | 3 0 | 2 0 | — | 5 |
Lazarsfeld Society | 24–28 May 2024 | 2,000 | 22 4 | 23 5 | 28 6 | 9 2 | 15 3 | 2 0 | 1 0 | — | 5 |
Market | 24–28 May 2024 | 814 | 22 4 | 24 5 | 27 6 | 9 2 | 14 3 | 3 0 | 1 0 | — | 3 |
IFDD | 22–24 May 2024 | 1,080 | 22 5 | 23 5 | 28 6 | 10 2 | 12 2 | 3 0 | 2 0 | — | 5 |
Lazarsfeld Society | 17–21 May 2024 | 1,000 | 22 4 | 24 5 | 27 6 | 9 2 | 15 3 | 2 0 | 1 0 | — | 3 |
Spectra | 13–20 May 2024 | 1,000 | 22 5 | 23 5 | 26 5 | 11 2 | 13 3 | 3 0 | 2 0 | — | 3 |
IFDD | 15–17 May 2024 | 1,000 | 23 5 | 22 5 | 27 6 | 11 2 | 12 2 | 4 0 | 1 0 | — | 4 |
Peter Hajek | 13–17 May 2024 | 1,200 | 23 5 | 23 5 | 30 6 | 10 2 | 10 2 | 3 0 | 1 0 | — | 7 |
OGM | 7–8 May 2024 | 1,007 | 22 5 | 22 5 | 26 5 | 13 2 | 14 3 | 2 0 | — | 1 0 | 4 |
Lazarsfeld Society | 6–8 May 2024 | 2,000 | 21 4 | 21 4 | 26 6 | 14 3 | 15 3 | 2 0 | 1 0 | — | 5 |
Triple-M | 3–7 May 2024 | 800 | 19 4 | 23 5 | 27 6 | 14 3 | 11 2 | 4 0 | — | 2 0 | 4 |
Market | 22–25 Apr 2024 | 842 | 20 4 | 24 5 | 27 6 | 12 2 | 13 3 | 3 0 | — | 1 0 | 3 |
Lazarsfeld Society | 22–24 Apr 2024 | 2,000 | 21 4 | 23 5 | 27 6 | 12 2 | 13 3 | 3 0 | — | 1 0 | 4 |
Ipsos | 23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | 21.0 4 | 22.0 5 | 28.2 6 | 13.0 3 | 11.8 2 | 2.1 0 | — | 1.9 0 | 6.2 |
Lazarsfeld Society | 26–28 Feb 2024 | 1,000 | 20 4 | 22 5 | 26 5 | 14 3 | 16 3 | 2 0 | — | — | 4 |
Market | 5–7 Feb 2024 | 800 | 24 5 | 23 5 | 27 6 | 11 2 | 12 2 | 2 0 | — | 1 0 | 3 |
Lazarsfeld Society | 29–31 Jan 2024 | 1,000 | 24 5 | 20 4 | 27 6 | 13 2 | 14 3 | 2 0 | — | — | 3 |
OGM | 22–31 Jan 2024 | 2,076 | 22 5 | 21 4 | 26 6 | 14 3 | 12 2 | 2 0 | — | 3 0 | 4 |
IFDD | 25–28 Jan 2024 | 1,000 | 21 4 | 24 5 | 27 6 | 14 3 | 9 2 | 3 0 | — | 2 0 | 3 |
Lazarsfeld Society | 11–13 Dec 2023 | 1,000 | 22 5 | 22 5 | 30 6 | 13 2 | 9 2 | 2 0 | — | 2 0 | 8 |
Peter Hajek | 22–29 Nov 2023 | 1,600 | 23 5 | 24 5 | 30 7 | 12 2 | 7 1 | 3 0 | — | 1 0 | 6 |
IFDD | 1–4 Oct 2023 | 837 | 25 5/6 | 25 5/6 | 25 5/6 | 14 3 | 8 1 | — | — | 3 0 | Tie |
2019 legislative election | 29 Sep 2019 | – | 37.5 8 | 21.2 5 | 16.2 3 | 13.9 3 | 8.1 1 | 0.7 0 | — | 2.5 0 | 16.3 |
2019 European election | 26 May 2019 | – | 34.6 7 | 23.9 5 | 17.2 3 | 14.1 3 | 8.4 1 | 0.8 0 | — | 1.0 0 | 9.7 |
Projected turnout:
According to the OGM poll for the "Kurier" newspaper (May 7-8, 2024), a total of 66% of those surveyed said they are "certain" to vote. This would represent an increase of more than 6% compared to the 2019 election, which had 59.8% turnout. It would also be the highest turnout since the first EU parliament election in Austria in 1996, when turnout was 67.7%.
Other pollsters like the Lazarsfeld Society or Spectra are estimating turnout at between 52% to 63%.
Belgium
[edit]Dutch-speaking
[edit]Date(s) conducted | Polling firm | Publisher | Sample size | N‑VA ECR | VB ID | Open Vld Renew | cd&v EPP | Groen G/EFA | Vooruit S&D | PVDA Left | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 | Ipsos | Euronews[129] | 1,500 | 18.7% 3 | 23.5% 3 | 12.7% 2 | 11.5% 1 | 9.7% 1 | 13.8% 2 | 9.3% 1 | 0.8% 0 | 4.8% |
26 May 2019 | European election | 22.4% 3 | 19.1% 3 | 15.9% 2 | 14.5% 2 | 12.4% 1 | 10.2% 1 | 4.9% 0 | 0.5% 0 | 3.3% |
French-speaking
[edit]Date(s) conducted | Polling firm | Publisher | Sample size | PS S&D | Ecolo G/EFA | MR Renew | PTB Left | LE EPP | DéFI NI | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 | Ipsos | Euronews[129] | 1,500 | 26.7% 2 | 12.8% 1 | 22.8% 2 | 19.2% 2 | 11.0% 1 | 2.8% 0 | 4.7% 0 | 3.9% |
26 May 2019 | European election | 26.7% 2 | 19.9% 2 | 19.3% 2 | 14.6% 1 | 8.9% 1 | 5.9% 0 | 4.7% 0 | 6.8% |
Bulgaria
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample | GERB—SDS EPP | BSPzB S&D | DPS Renew | VMRO ECR | PP–DB Renew-EPP[d] | Revival NI | ITN ECR[e] | Blue Bulgaria ECR | Others | NOTA | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alpha Research | 1-4 June 2024 | 1000 | 25 5 | 7.9 2 | 14.1 3 | — | 15.9 3 | 15.7 3 | 5.9 1 | 2.9 0 | 12.6[f] | — | 9.1 |
CAM | 1-4 June 2024 | 821 | 26.2 5 | 8.1 2 | 14.1 3 | — | 17.7 4 | 14.8 3 | 5.3 0 | 2.1 0 | — | — | 8.5 |
Sova Haris | 29 May-3 June 2024 | 1000 | 26.4 6 | 8.9 2 | 14.4 3 | — | 15.4 3 | 15.3 3 | 5.6 0 | — | 14 | — | 11 |
Market Links | 22 May-2 June 2024 | 1004 | 28.8 6 | 8.7 2 | 12.4 3 | — | 20.2 4 | 11.4 2 | 3.9 0 | 2.2 0 | 7.4[g] | 2.1 | 8.6 |
TREND | 11–18 May 2024 | 1003 | 25.9 5 | 8.1 2 | 14.6 3 | 1.2 0 | 16.1 4 | 15.1 3 | 5.5 0 | 1.8 0 | 12.4[h] | 5.3 | 9.8 |
Sova Harris | 8–13 May 2024 | 1000 | 28.3 6 | 10.3 2 | 13.3 3 | — | 15.8 3 | 15 3 | 5.2 0 | — | 11.5 | — | 12.5 |
MarketLinks | 29 April–9 May 2024 | — | 29.4 6 | 9.3 2 | 13.1 3 | — | 20.6 4 | 12.3 2 | 2.7 0 | 1.7 0 | 6.4[i] | 4.2 | 8.8 |
Alpha Research | 28 April–5 May 2024 | 1000 | 25.1 5 | 8.0 2 | 14.4 3 | — | 18.5 4 | 14.8 3 | 4.8 0 | 2.4 0 | 12.0[j] | — | 6.6 |
Gallup | 22 April–2 May 2024 | 808 | 26.4 5 | 8.2 2 | 14.9 3 | 1.3 0 | 17.5 4 | 14.7 3 | 4.5 0 | 1.4 0 | 11.1[k] | — | 8.9 |
TREND | 12–19 April 2024 | 1002 | 27.2 5 | 9.4 2 | 15.4 3 | — | 17.2 4 | 15.3 3 | 5.1 0 | — | 10.1[l] | — | 10.1 |
Gallup | 28 March-5 April 2024 | 805 | 28.7 5 | 10.1 2 | 15.3 3 | — | 18.2 4 | 15.1 3 | 5.5 0 | — | 9.8 | — | 6.2 |
IPSOS | N/A | N/A | 27.1 5 | 8.8 2 | 13.0 2 | — | 20.9 4 | 15.1 3 | 6.1 1 | — | 8.9[m] | — | 6.2 |
Alpha Research | 1-7 March 2024 | 1000 | 27.0 5 | 10.6 2 | 10.0 2 | — | 23.8 5 | 15.8 3 | 5.9 0 | — | 6.9 | — | 3.2 |
Market Links | 24 February-3 March 2024 | 1058 | 26.4 5 | 9.7 2 | 14.0 3 | — | 22.7 4 | 13.5 3 | 3.8 0 | — | 6.1 | 3.9 | 3.7 |
2019 election | 26 May 2019 | — | 30.4 6 | 23.5 5 | 16.1 3 | 7.1 2 | 5.9[n] 1 | 1.0 0 | — | — | 2.6 | 4.1 | 6.9 |
Croatia
[edit]Publication date | Polling firm | Sample size | HDZ EPP | SDP S&D | Most ECR | PiP NI | IDS RE | DP ID | M! G/EFA | Others | Undecided | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 Jun 2024 | Ipsos | 1001 | 31.9 5 | 24.6 4 | 6.1 1 | - | 3.7 0 | 5.8 1 | 6.5 1 | -[o] | 7.7 | 7.3 |
5 Jun 2024 | Promocija plus | 1300 | 28.4 5 | 20.5 4 | 5.7 1 | 3.9 0 | 3.2 0 | 6.9 1 | 7.4 1 | 11.7[p] 0 | 12.3 | 7.9 |
2 Jun 2024 | 2x1 komunikacije | 1041 | 31.2 5 | 22.0 3 | 7.1 1 | 3.7 0 | 3.8 0 | 8.7 1 | 11.1 2 | - | 11.0 | 9.2 |
25 May 2024 | Ipsos | 990 | 28.5 5 | 17.8 3 | 5.4 1 | 1.8 0 | 3.8 0 | 7.4 1 | 9.9 2 | 12.2[q] 0 | 14.9 | 10.7 |
4 May 2024 | Promocija plus | 1000 | 30.6 5 | 24.2 4 | 5.4 1 | 2.5 0 | 2.3 0 | 6.7 1 | 7.5 1 | - | - | 6.4 |
17 Apr 2024 | 2024 parliamentary election | – | 34.4 | 25.4 | 8.0 | [r] | 2.3 | 9.6 | 9.1 | 11.2 | - | 9.0 |
26 May 2019 | 2019 European election | – | 27.1 4 | 22.1 4 | 17.6 1 | 13.6 2 | 11.9 1 | – | 1.8 0 | 5.8 | - | 5.0 |
Cyprus
[edit]Date | Polling firm | DISY EPP | AKEL Left | ELAM ECR | DIKO S&D | EDEK S&D | DIPA Renew | KOSP G/EFA | APC Left | EP NI | VOLT G/EFA | Fidias NI | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09 June 2024 | Election Results | 24.8 | 21.5 | 11.2 | 9.7 | 5.1 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 2.9 | 19.4 | 0.3 | 3.3 |
27-30 May 2024 | IMR | 26.6 | 28.3 | 13.7 | 10.6 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 3.2 | - | 2.0 | 2.8 | 7.5 | 0.6 | 1.7 |
22-28 May 2024 | CMRC | 28.7 | 27.4 | 14.0 | 12.1 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 3.8 | 1.9 | - | 3.8 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
20-25 May 2024 | RAI Consultants | 27.3 | 25.2 | 12.5 | 9.3 | 4.4 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 4.5 | 8.7 | 0.3 | 2.1 |
13-25 May 2024 | CYMAR Market Research Ltd | 26.0 | 24.0 | 13.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | - | - | 4.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 |
20-24 May 2024 | Symmetron | 25.6 | 24.2 | 12.0 | 10.2 | 3.7 | 4.3 | 2.6 | - | - | 3.9 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
17-24 May 2024 | SIGMA | 29.0 | 27.7 | 13.5 | 12.9 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 3.9 | - | - | 2.6 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
16-22 May 2024 | Pulse Market Research | 25.8 | 23.5 | 13.6 | 12.1 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 3.0 | - | - | 5.3 | 6.1 | 3.0 | 2.3 |
9-14 May 2024 | Analytica Market Research | 24.3 | 24.9 | 14.5 | 11.9 | 6.0 | 3.5 | 3.7 | - | 3.3 | 3.9 | - | 4.0 | 0.6 |
10-22 Apr 2024 | CMRC | 29.0 | 27.5 | 15.2 | 12.3 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 3.6 | 2.9 | - | 3.6 | - | 0.7 | 1.5 |
08-19 Apr 2024 | CYMAR Market Research Ltd | 28.1 | 25.0 | 15.6 | 12.5 | 6.3 | 1.6 | 1.6 | - | - | 3.1 | - | 6.3 | 3.1 |
14–23 Mar 2024 | SIGMA | 28.1 | 28.1 | 15.1 | 13.7 | 4.1 | 2.7 | 2.7 | - | - | 2.7 | - | 2.7 | 0 |
20–26 Feb 2024 | Pulse Market Research | 31.3 | 25.8 | 14.7 | 12.9 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 3.7 | - | - | - | - | 5.5 | 5.5 |
12–16 Feb 2024 | SIGMA | 29.0 | 27.5 | 14.5 | 11.6 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 2.9 | 1.4 | - | 1.4 | - | 2.9 | 1.5 |
11 Feb 2024 | Symmetron | 25.3 | 23.9 | 11.3 | 9.0 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 2.8 | - | - | 2.5 | - | 1.5 | 1.7 |
29 Jan – 02 Feb 2024 | Interview | 31.7 | 31.8 | 15 | 9.0 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 6.8 | - | - | - | - | 1.1 | 0.1 |
22–26 Jan 2024 | L.S.Prime | 26.4 | 26.4 | 13.8 | 11.1 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 2.8 | - | - | - | - | 11.1 | 0 |
03–11 Jan 2024 | IMR | 25.7 | 27.8 | 17.4 | 9.7 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 4.9 | - | - | 1.8 | - | 3.5 | 2.1 |
30 May | Election 2021 | 27.8% | 22.3% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 3.3% | - | 10.3% | 5.5 | |
26 May | Election 2019 | 29.0% | 27.5% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 3.8% | - | 0.8% | - | - | 3.0% | 1.5 |
Czech Republic
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | SPOLU ECR–EPP | ANO Renew | Piráti G/EFA | STAN EPP | SPD– Trikolóra ID | Stačilo! Left | SOCDEM S&D | Svobodní NI | PaM NI | Zelení EGP | PRO NI | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7–8 June 2024 | Election result | 22.3 6 | 26.1 7 | 6.2 1 | 8.7 2 | 5.7 1 | 9.6 2 | 1.9 0 | 1.8 0 | 10.3 2 | 1.6 0 | 2.2 0 | 3.9 0 | 3.8 | |
STEM | 22–26 May 2024 | 1,623 | 21.5 6 | 23.1 6 | 9.4 2 | 10.0 3 | 9.5 2 | 8.1 2 | 2.9 0 | 2.7 0 | 4.7 0 | 1.9 0 | 1.8 0 | 4.1 0 | 1.6 |
STEM/MARK | 20–27 May 2024 | 1,398 | 22.3 5 | 26.1 6 | 12.1 3 | 8.1 2 | 7.9 2 | 7.7 2 | 3.6 0 | 2.3 0 | 7.2 1 | 1.4 0 | 1.0 0 | 0.3 0 | 3.8 |
Phoenix Research | 1–13 May 2024 | 1,018 | 17.5 5 | 27.4 7 | 9.9 2 | 11.5 3 | 6.2 1 | 7.0 2 | 5.0 1 | 1.3 0 | 2.2 0 | — | 4.2 0 | 7.8 1 | 9.9 |
SANEP | 2–7 May 2024 | 1,800 | 19.8 5 | 26.7 7 | 10.6 3 | 9.9 2 | 10.1 3 | 5.9 1 | 3.7 0 | 2.9 0 | 4.8 0 | 0.5 0 | 3.2 0 | 1.9 0 | 6.9 |
STEM/Mark | 28 Mar–8 April 2024 | 1,009 | 20.0 5 | 27.5 7 | 10.1 2 | 10.4 3 | 10.4 2 | 6.7 1 | 3.4 0 | 2.5 0 | 6.0 1 | 0.9 0 | — | 1.9 0 | 7.5 |
Data Collect | 25 Mar 2024 | 20.9 | 27.3 | 10.8 | 9.3 | 10.9 | 7.1 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 6.4 | |
IPSOS | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 1,517 | 21.6 | 26.3 | 11.3 | 13.4 | 7.9 | 6.1 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 4.9 | — | — | — | 4.7 |
IPSOS | Dec 2023 | TBA | 25.2 | 26.3 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 7.7 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 12.8 | 1.1 |
STEM/MARK | 23–28 Nov 2023 | 1,010 | 15.0 | 33.8 | 11.4 | 7.3 | 14.7 | 5.4 | 3.6 | 2.9 | — | — | — | 6.0 | 18.8 |
2021 parliamentary election | 8–9 Oct 2021 | – | 27.8 | 27.1 | 15.6 | 9.6 | 3.6 | 4.7 | 2.8[s] | 4.7 | 1.0 | — | 0.9 | 0.7 | |
2019 European election | 24–25 May 2019 | – | 21.8[t] | 21.2 | 14.0 | 11.7[u] | 9.1 | 6.9 | 4.0 | 0.7 | — | — | — | 10.6 | 0.6 |
Denmark
[edit]Polling execution | Parties | Alliances | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | V Renew | A S&D | F G/EFA | O ID | B Renew | C EPP | Ø Left | Å G/EFA | I EPP | M Renew | Æ ECR | Others | AFÅ | BMV | CI |
2024 EP election | 14.7 2 | 15.6 3 | 17.4 3 | 6.4 1 | 7.1 1 | 8.8 1 | 7.0 1 | 2.7 0 | 7.0 1 | 5.9 1 | 7.4 1 | — | 35.7 6 | 27.7 4 | 15.8 2 | ||
Epinion (exit poll) | 9 June | ? | 13.9 2 | 15.4 3 | 18.4 3 | 6.5 1 | 6.9 1 | 7.4 1 | 6.6 1 | 3.3 0 | 7.8 1 | 6.2 1 | 7.6 1 | — | 37.1 6 | 27.0 4 | 15.2 2 |
Verian | 29 May–5 Jun 2024 | 2,301 | 11.5 2 | 18.9 3 | 16.6 3 | 7.0 1 | 5.4 0 | 6.8 1 | 6.4 1 | 2.0 0 | 10.5 2 | 5.9 1 | 8.8 1 | — | 37.5 6 | 22.8 3 | 17.3 3 |
Verian | 29 May–5 Jun 2024 | 2,301 | 11.5 2 | 18.9 3 | 16.6 3 | 7.0 1 | 5.4 0 | 6.8 1 | 6.4 1 | 2.0 0 | 10.5 2 | 5.9 1 | 8.8 1 | — | 37.5 6 | 22.8 3 | 17.3 3 |
Epinion | 28 May–3 Jun 2024 | 2,085 | 10.8 2 | 17.7 3 | 16.6 3 | 6.4 1 | 4.9 0 | 8.3 1 | 7.8 1 | 4.1 0 | 8.5 2 | 6.0 1 | 8.9 1 | — | 38.4 6 | 21.7 3 | 16.8 3 |
Epinion | 8–14 May 2024 | 2,025 | 12.5 2 | 21.4 4 | 13.1 2 | 7.4 1 | 5.4 1 | 7.1 1 | 6.8 1 | 1.7 0 | 9.9 2 | 4.0 0 | 10.4 1 | — | 36.2 6 | 21.9 3 | 17.0 3 |
Verian | 8–14 May 2024 | 1,565 | 13.6 2 | 18.6 3 | 14.0 3 | 9.6 1 | 4.7 1 | 6.8 1 | 6.2 1 | 1.2 0 | 12.2 2 | 3.9 0 | 9.1 1 | — | 33.8 6 | 22.2 3 | 19.0 3 |
Epinion | 23–29 Apr 2024 | 1,938 | 11.2 2 | 20.1 4 | 14.6 2 | 6.5 1 | 7.0 1 | 6.8 1 | 6.9 1 | 2.3 0 | 12.0 2 | 4.5 0 | 8.1 1 | — | 37.0 6 | 22.7 3 | 18.8 3 |
Epinion | 6–13 Mar 2024 | 1,074 | 12 2 | 24 4 | 14 2 | 7 1 | 5 1 | 5 1 | 7 1 | 3 0 | 9 1 | 7 1 | 7 1 | — | 41 6 | 24 4 | 14 2 |
Ipsos | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | 10.5 2 | 21.0 4 | 12.0 2 | 5.0 0 | 6.0 1 | 6.0 1 | 8.0 1 | 2.0 0 | 13.0 2 | 7.0 1 | 8.5 1 | — | 35.0 6 | 23.5 4 | 19.0 3 |
Epinion | 24–31 Jan 2024 | 1,051 | 11 2 | 22 4 | 12 2 | 7 1 | 6 1 | 6 1 | 7 1 | 1 0 | 10 1 | 7 1 | 9 1 | — | 35 6 | 24 4 | 16 2 |
2022 general election | 13.3 (3) | 27.5 (6) | 8.3 (1) | 2.6 (0) | 3.8 (0) | 5.5 (1) | 5.1 (0) | 3.3 (0) | 7.9 (1) | 9.3 (2) | 8.1 (1) | 5.2 (0) | 39.1 (7) | 26.4 (4) | 13.4 (2) | ||
2021 municipal elections | 21.2 (4) | 28.4 (5) | 7.6 (1) | 4.1 (0) | 5.6 (1) | 15.2 (3) | 7.3 (1) | 0.7 (0) | 1.4 (0) | — | 8.5 (0) | 36.7 (6) | 26.8 (5) | 16.6 (3) | |||
2019 general election | 23.4 (5) | 25.9 (6) | 7.7 (1) | 8.7 (1) | 8.6 (0) | 6.6 (1) | 6.9 (1) | 3.0 (0) | 2.3 (0) | — | 6.9 (0) | 36.6 (7) | 32.0 (5) | 9.0 (1) | |||
2019 EP election | 23.5 (4) | 21.5 3 | 13.2 2 | 10.8 1 | 10.1 2 | 6.2 1 | 5.5 1 | 3.4 0 | 2.2 0 | — | 3.7 0 | — |
Estonia
[edit]Polling execution | Parties | Lead | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | ![]() | ![]() SDE | ![]() Centre | ![]() EKRE ID | ![]() Isamaa EPP | ![]() | EER G/EFA | ![]() | Others | Party | EP group | |||
Norstat | 8–20 May 2024 | 1,471 | 19.1 1 | 19.3 2 | 11.5 1 | 14.2 1 | 21.3 2 | 3.8 0 | 0.9 0 | 4.3 0 | 2.9 0 | 2.7 0 | 2.0 | 4.6 | ||
Kantar Emor | 6–15 May 2024 | 1,471 | 17.2 2 | 23.6 2 | 11.0 1 | 13.6 1 | 14.0 1 | 4.1 0 | 0.9 0 | 7.2 0 | 3.1 0 | 5.4 0 | 6.4 | 9.3 | ||
Norstat | 29 Apr–6 May 2024 | 1,484 | 19.3 2 | 21.4 2 | 9.4 1 | 17.9 1 | 17.1 1 | 3.9 0 | 0.9 0 | 4.5 0 | 3.0 0 | 2.7 0 | 2.1 | 7.3 | ||
Kantar Emor | 8-17 Apr 2024 | 1,484 | 18.8 2 | 20 2 | 13.8 1 | 13.8 1 | 16.8 1 | 4.7 0 | 1.5 0 | 6 0 | — | 4.5 0 | 1.2 | 12.6 | ||
Norstat | 11-15 Apr 2024 | 3,500 | 20.1 2 | 22.0 2 | 11.0 1 | 17.2 1 | 17.6 1 | 5.0 0 | 1.2 0 | 4.7 0 | — | 1.2 0 | 1.9 | 9.1 | ||
Kantar Emor | 14-20 Mar 2024 | 1,135 | 18.9 2 | 21.4 2 | 13.9 1 | 15.4 1 | 16.7 1 | 5.6 0 | —[v] | 5.9 0 | — | 2.1 0 | 2.5 | 11.4 | ||
2023 parliamentary election | 31.2 3 | 9.3 1 | 15.3 1 | 16.1 1 | 8.2 0 | 13.3 1 | 1.0 0 | 2.3 0 | — | 3.3 0 | 15.1 | 30.4 | ||||
2019 EP election | 26.2 2 | 23.3 2 | 14.4 1 | 12.7 1 | 10.3 1 | 3.2 0 | 1.8 0 | — | — | 8.0 0 | 2.9 | 17.3 |
Finland
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | KOK EPP | VIHR G/EFA | SDP S&D | PS ECR | KESK Renew | VAS Left | SFP Renew | KD EPP | LIIK NI | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Taloustutkimus[133] | 29 May–4 June 2024 | 2,111 | 20.6 4 | 9.3 1 | 19.4 3 | 16.4 3 | 11.9 2 | 10.8 2 | 4.2 0 | 4 0 | 1.1 0 | 2.2 0 | 1.2 |
Taloustutkimus[134] | 23–29 Apr 2024 | 2,118 | 21.7 4 | 10.5 2 | 19.7 3 | 14.1 2 | 13.6 2 | 10.5 2 | 4.0 0 | 2.9 0 | 1.0 0 | 2.1 0 | 2.0 |
Verian[135] | 18–25 Mar 2024 | 1,372 | 22 4 | 11 2 | 17 3 | 14 2 | 12 2 | 9 1 | 5 0 | 6 1 | 4 0 | 5 | |
Ipsos[136] | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | 22.5 4 | 9.0 1 | 20.0 4 | 19.0 3 | 10.5 2 | 8.5 1 | 3.5 0 | 3.5 0 | 3.5 0 | 2.5 | |
2023 parliamentary election | 20.8 | 7.0 | 19.9 | 20.1 | 11.3 | 7.1 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 0.7 | ||
2019 EP election | 20.8 3 | 16.0 3 | 14.6 2 | 13.8 2 | 13.5 2 | 6.9 1 | 6.3 1 | 4.9 0 | 3.1 0 | 4.8 |
France
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | LO NI | NPA Left | PCF Left | LFI Left | ND S&D | PS–PP S&D | EELV G/EFA | GE NI | PRG G/EFA[w] | PS diss. | UDMF NI | EAC G/EFA | ÉPT Renew | PP G/EFA | PA Left | Ens. Renew | AR | NE EPP | LR EPP | DLF ECR | UPR NI | LP–VIA ECR | RN ID | REC ECR | Others | Lead | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FNC NI | R! NI | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ipsos | 06–07 Jun 2024 | 8,923 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 9.5 | 0.5 | 14.5 | 5 | – | 0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 2.5 | 15 | 1.5 | – | 7 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 32 | 5.5 | 1[x] | 17 | |
Harris Interactive[failed verification] | 05–07 Jun 2024 | 2,200 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 9.5 | <0.5 | 13 | 5 | – | <0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 2 | 14 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5 | [y] | 18 | |
Elabe | 05–07 Jun 2024 | 2,001 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 9.5 | <0.5 | 14.5 | 5.5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 2.5 | 16 | 1.5 | – | 6 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5.5 | 1.5[z] | 16 | |
Ifop | 04–07 Jun 2024 | 2,710 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 9 | <0.5 | 13.5 | 5.5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | – | 2.5 | 14.5 | 1.5 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 33 | 6 | 1.5 | 18.5 | |
Odoxa | 05–06 Jun 2024 | 1.008 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 7 | 0.5 | 14 | 5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | <0.5 | 3.5 | 15 | 2 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 6 | [aa] | 17 | |
Ipsos | 05–06 Jun 2024 | 1,738 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 9 | <0.5 | 13.5 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | <0.5 | 1.5 | <0.5 | <0.5 | 1.5 | 15.5 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5.5 | 1.5[ab] | 16.5 | |
OpinionWay | 04–06 Jun 2024 | 2,182 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | <1 | 14 | 5 | – | <1 | – | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 3 | 15 | 1 | – | 6 | – | 1 | 1 | 33 | 6 | 3[ac] | 18 | |
Cluster17 | 04–06 Jun 2024 | 1,165 | 1 | 0.5 | 2 | 9 | 0.5 | 13 | 5 | – | 0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | <0.5 | 2.5 | 15 | 1.5 | – | 7 | – | 1.5 | 1.5 | 31 | 5.5 | <3[ad] | 16 | |
OpinionWay | 04–06 Jun 2024 | 1,027 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | – | 13 | 6 | – | <1 | – | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 2 | 15 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 33 | 6 | 4[ae] | 18 | |
Harris Interactive[failed verification] | 04–06 Jun 2024 | 2,200 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 8.5 | <0.5 | 13 | 5.5 | – | <0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 2 | 14.5 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5 | [af] | 17.5 | |
Ifop | 03–06 Jun 2024 | 2,710 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 8.5 | <0.5 | 13.5 | 5.5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | – | 2.5 | 15 | 1.5 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 33 | 6 | 1.5 | 18 | |
Harris Interactive[failed verification] | 04–05 Jun 2024 | 2,130 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 9 | <0.5 | 13 | 6 | – | <0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 2 | 14 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5 | [ag] | 17.5 | |
BVA | 03–05 Jun 2024 | 1,500 | 1 | <0.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 14 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | <0.5 | 1 | <0.5 | <0.5 | 2.5 | 16 | 1 | – | 6.5 | – | 1.5 | 0.5 | 33 | 5 | 3[ah] | 17 | |
Ifop | 01–05 Jun 2024 | 2,724 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8 | <0.5 | 13.5 | 5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | – | 2.5 | 15 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 33 | 6 | 1.5 | 18 | |
YouGov | 31 May – 5 Jun 2024 | 1,035 | 1 | <1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 4 | – | 1 | – | 1 | – | – | – | 3 | 15 | 1 | – | 6 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 6 | 2 | 15 | |
Harris Interactive[failed verification] | 03–04 Jun 2024 | 2,130 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 9 | <0.5 | 13 | 6 | – | <0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 2 | 14.5 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5 | [ai] | 17.5 | |
Ifop | 31 May – 04 Jun 2024 | 2,734 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 14 | 5.5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | – | 2 | 15 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 18 | |
Harris Interactive | 02–03 Jun 2024 | 2,130 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 9 | <0.5 | 13 | 6 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 2 | 14.5 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5 | [aj] | 17.5 | |
Ifop | 30 May – 03 Jun 2024 | 2,751 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 14 | 6 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | – | 2 | 15.5 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 33.5 | 6 | 1.5 | 18 | |
Elabe | 29–31 May 2024 | 1,688 | 1 | 0.5 | 3 | 8.5 | <0.5 | 13 | 7 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 2 | 16 | 1 | – | 6.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32.5 | 5 | 1.5[ak] | 16.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 30–31 May 2024 | 2,178 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8.5 | <0.5 | 13.5 | 5.5 | – | <0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 2 | 14.5 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5.5 | [al] | 17.5 | |
Ifop | 28–31 May 2024 | 2,713 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 7 | <0.5 | 14 | 6.5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | – | 2 | 15.5 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 33.5 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 18 | |
OpinionWay | 28–30 May 2024 | 2,149 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | <1 | 14 | 5 | – | <1 | – | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 2 | 15 | 1 | – | 7 | – | <1 | 1 | 33 | 6 | 4[am] | 17 | |
Cluster17 | 28–30 May 2024 | 1,165 | 1 | 0.5 | 2 | 8 | 0.5 | 13.5 | 5 | – | 0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | <0.5 | 2.5 | 15.5 | 1.5 | – | 7 | – | 1.5 | 1.5 | 30 | 6 | <3[an] | 14.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 29–30 May 2024 | 2,200 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | <0.5 | 13.5 | 5.5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 1.5 | 14.5 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 33 | 5.5 | [ao] | 18.5 | |
Ipsos | 27–30 May 2024 | 11,430 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 8 | 0.5 | 14.5 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 1.5 | 16 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 33 | 5 | [ap] | 17 | |
Ifop | 26–30 May 2024 | 2,700 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 7 | <0.5 | 14 | 6.5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | – | 1.5 | 16 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 33.5 | 6.5 | 1 | 17.5 | |
OpinionWay | 28–29 May 2024 | 1,008 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | – | 14 | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2 | 15 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 7 | 3 | 17 | |
Harris Interactive | 28–29 May 2024 | 2,016 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | 0.5 | 14 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 1 | 14.5 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 32.5 | 5 | 4[aq] | 17.5 | |
Ifop | 25–29 May 2024 | 2,250 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 3 | 7 | <0.5 | 14 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | – | 1.5 | 16 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 33.5 | 6.5 | 1 | 17.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 27–28 May 2024 | 2,016 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 14 | 5 | – | 0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 1 | 15 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5 | 4[ar] | 17 | |
Ifop | 24–28 May 2024 | 1,809 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 14 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | – | 1 | 15.5 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 34 | 6 | 1.5 | 18.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 24–27 May 2024 | 2,016 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 14 | 5 | – | 0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 1 | 14.5 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5 | 4[as] | 17.5 | |
Ifop | 23–27 May 2024 | 1,362 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 14.5 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 16 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 33.5 | 6 | 1 | 17.5 | |
Elabe | 24–25 May 2024 | 1,688 | 1 | <0.5 | 2 | 8 | <0.5 | 13 | 6 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 15.5 | 1.5 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 0.5 | 33 | 5.5 | 2[at] | 17.5 | |
Odoxa | 23–24 May 2024 | 991 | 2 | 1 | 2.5 | 7 | <0.5 | 13.5 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 15 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 0.5 | 1.5 | 34 | 4 | 0.5 | 16.5 | |
Ifop | 21–24 May 2024 | 1,362 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 14.5 | 5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1.5 | 16 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | 1.5 | 33 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 17 | |
OpinionWay | 21–24 May 2024 | 2,024 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | <1 | 13 | 5 | – | <1 | – | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 1 | 15 | <1 | – | 8 | – | <1 | 1 | 32 | 7 | 5[au] | 17 | |
Ifop | 20–23 May 2024 | 1,356 | 1 | 0.5 | 2 | 7 | <0.5 | 15 | 5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 2 | 16 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 33 | 6 | 1.5 | 17 | |
Cluster17 | 21–22 May 2024 | 1,043 | 1 | 0.5 | 2 | 8 | 0.5 | 14 | 5 | – | 1 | – | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 2 | 16 | 1.5 | – | 6.5 | – | 1.5 | 1.5 | 29 | 6 | 3 | 13 | |
OpinionWay | 21–22 May 2024 | 1,067 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | – | 13 | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1 | 16 | 1 | – | 8 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 7 | 3 | 16 | |
Ifop | 20–22 May 2024 | 1,344 | 1 | 0.5 | 2 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 15 | 5.5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1.5 | 16 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32.5 | 6 | 0.5 | 16.5 | |
Vivavoice | 20–21 May 2024 | 1,059 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1 | 6.5 | <0.5 | 14 | 7 | – | <0.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 17 | 1.5 | – | 6.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 6 | 2 | 15 | |
Ifop | 19–21 May 2024 | 1,344 | 1 | <0.5 | 2 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 15 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1.5 | 16.5 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 6 | 0.5 | 15.5 | |
Elabe | 15–17 May 2024 | 1,398 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 13 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 15.5 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5.5 | 3 | 16.5 | |
Ifop | 15–17 May 2024 | 1,334 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7 | 1 | 14.5 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 0.5 | – | 1.5 | 16.5 | 1 | – | 8 | – | <0.5 | <0.5 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 15.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 15–17 May 2024 | 2,014 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8 | 0.5 | 14.5 | 5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 15 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 31.5 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 16.5 | |
BVA | 15–16 May 2024 | 1,500 | 1.5 | 1 | 2.5 | 8 | <0.5 | 13 | 6.5 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 2 | 17 | 1 | <0.5[av] | 6 | 1[aw] | 1 | <0.5 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 14 | |
OpinionWay | 14–16 May 2024 | 2,025 | 1 | <1 | 2 | 7 | <1 | 14 | 6 | – | <1 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 16 | 2 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 31 | 8 | 2 | 15 | |
Ifop | 13–16 May 2024 | 1,338 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7 | 1 | 14.5 | 5.5 | – | <0.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | – | – | 2 | 16.5 | 1.5 | – | 8 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 32 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 15.5 | |
OpinionWay | 14–15 May 2024 | 1,006 | 1 | <1 | 2 | 8 | <1 | 14 | 6 | – | <1 | – | – | <1 | – | – | 1 | 16 | 2 | – | 7 | – | <1 | 1 | 31 | 8 | 3 | 15 | |
Cluster17 | 13–15 May 2024 | 1,285 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8 | 1 | 14 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | 0.5 | – | 1.5 | 15.5 | 1.5 | – | 6 | – | 1.5 | 1.5 | 29.5 | 6 | 2.5 | 14 | |
Ifop | 11–15 May 2024 | 1,348 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 14 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | – | – | 2 | 16.5 | 1.5 | – | 8 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 32.5 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 16 | |
YouGov | 6–15 May 2024 | 1,028 | 1 | <1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 5 | – | <1[ax] | – | 2 | – | – | 1 | 17 | 2 | <1[av] | 6 | – | 2 | 2 | 32 | 6 | 2 | 15 | ||
Ipsos | 13–14 May 2024 | 1,530 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 8 | <0.5 | 14.5 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 16 | 1.5 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 31 | 6 | 1.5 | 15 | |
Ifop | 10–14 May 2024 | 1,348 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 14 | 6 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 17 | 1.5 | – | 8 | – | 1 | 1 | 32.5 | 6 | 0.5 | 15.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 10–13 May 2024 | 2,294 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | 0.5 | 14 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 15 | 2 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 31.5 | 5 | 2.5 | 16.5 | |
Ifop | 9–13 May 2024 | 1,348 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8 | <0.5 | 14 | 6 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | 17 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32.5 | 6 | 1 | 15.5 | |
Ifop | 6–10 May 2024 | 1,325 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 13.5 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 17 | 1.5 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 15 | |
Cluster17 | 6–9 May 2024 | 1,208 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 13 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | 0.5 | – | 2 | 15.5 | 1.5 | – | 6.5 | – | 1.5 | 1.5 | 29.5 | 6 | 3 | 14 | |
Ifop | 5–9 May 2024 | 1,325 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 13 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 17 | 1.5 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 31.5 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
OpinionWay | 6–7 May 2024 | 1,029 | 1 | <1 | 3 | 6 | <1 | 14 | 6 | – | <1 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 17 | 2 | – | 6 | – | 1 | 1 | 30 | 8 | 3 | 13 | |
Ifop | 3–7 May 2024 | 1,325 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 13 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 16.5 | 1.5 | – | 8 | – | 1 | 1 | 31.5 | 6 | 0.5 | 15 | |
OpinionWay | 5–6 May 2024 | 1,026 | 1 | <1 | 3 | 7 | <1 | 14 | 7 | – | <1 | – | – | 1 | – | – | <1 | 16 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 15 | |
Ifop | 2–6 May 2024 | 1,325 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | 0.5 | 13 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 16 | 1 | – | 8 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 32 | 6 | 0.5 | 16 | |
Elabe | 30 Apr – 3 May 2024 | 1,375 | 1 | 0.5 | 2 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 12 | 8 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 16.5 | 1 | <0.5 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 32 | 5 | 2.5 | 15.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 30 Apr – 3 May 2024 | 2,043 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 14 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 15 | 2 | <0.5 | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 31 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 16 | |
Ifop | 30 Apr – 3 May 2024 | 1,345 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 13.5 | 6.5 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 2 | 16.5 | 1 | <0.5 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 31.5 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 15 | |
OpinionWay | 29–30 Apr 2024 | 1,075 | <1 | – | 2 | 6 | <1 | 14 | 7 | – | <1 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 17 | 2 | <1 | 7 | – | 1 | 2 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 14 | |
Ifop | 29 Apr – 2 May 2024 | 1,375 | <0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 13.5 | 7 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 16.5 | 1.5 | <0.5 | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 31 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
Cluster17 | 29 Apr – 1 May 2024 | 1,337 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8 | 0.5 | 13 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 2 | 15.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 6 | – | 1 | 2 | 29.5 | 5.5 | 2 | 14 | |
OpinionWay | 29–30 Apr 2024 | 1,009 | 1 | – | 4 | 7 | <1 | 14 | 7 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 0.5 | 17 | 1 | 0.5 | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 12 | |
Ifop | 26–30 Apr 2024 | 1,360 | <0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 7 | 0.5 | 14 | 7 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 16 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 31.5 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 15.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 24–26 Apr 2024 | 2,319 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 9 | <0.5 | 13 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 16 | 2 | <0.5 | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 31 | 6 | 2 | 15 | |
Ifop | 25–29 Apr 2024 | 1,345 | <0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7 | <0.5 | 14.5 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 16 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 8 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31.5 | 6 | 0.5 | 15.5 | |
Odoxa | 25–26 Apr 2024 | 1,005 | 1.5 | 1 | 2.5 | 7 | <0.5 | 12 | 7 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 15.5 | 1.5 | <0.5 | 8 | – | 1 | 1.5 | 32 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 16.5 | |
BVA | 25–26 Apr 2024 | 1,434 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 6.5 | – | 13 | 8 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 3 | 17 | 1 | <0.5 | 6 | 1[aw] | 1 | 1 | 31 | 5.5 | 1 | 14 | |
Ifop | 23–26 Apr 2024 | 1,345 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 14 | 8 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 16.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 8 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31.5 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 15 | |
OpinionWay | 24–25 Apr 2024 | 1,011 | 1 | – | 3 | 6 | <1 | 14 | 6 | – | <1 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 18 | 1 | <1 | 7 | – | 1 | 2 | 29 | 8 | 3 | 11 | |
Cluster17 | 23–25 Apr 2024 | 1,164 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 12.5 | 6.5 | – | 1 | – | – | 0.5 | 1 | – | 2 | 16 | 2 | 0.5 | 6 | – | 1 | 1.5 | 29.5 | 6 | 2 | 13.5 | |
Ifop | 22–25 Apr 2024 | 1,350 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 13 | 8 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 17.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 8 | – | 0.5 | <0.5 | 31 | 5.5 | 1 | 13.5 | |
OpinionWay | 23–24 Apr 2024 | 1,007 | 1 | – | 3 | 8 | <1 | 13 | 7 | – | <1 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 2 | 18 | 2 | <1 | 6 | – | 1 | 1 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 12 | |
Ifop | 20–24 Apr 2024 | 1,335 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7 | 0.5 | 12.5 | 7.5 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 17.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 8.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 31 | 5.5 | 1 | 13.5 | |
Ipsos | 19–24 Apr 2024 | 10,651 | 0.5 | 1 | 2.5 | 7 | 0.5 | 14 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 17 | 1 | <0.5 | 6.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 15 | |
Ifop | 19–23 Apr 2024 | 1,335 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7 | 0.5 | 12 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 2 | – | – | 1.5 | 17 | 1 | 0.5 | 8 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31.5 | 5.5 | 1 | 14.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 19–22 Apr 2024 | 2,319 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | <0.5 | 13 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 16 | 2 | 0.5 | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 31 | 6 | 1.5 | 15 | |
Ifop | 18–22 Apr 2024 | 1,339 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 7 | 0.5 | 12 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 2 | – | – | 2 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 8 | – | <0.5 | 1 | 31.5 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
Ifop | 16–19 Apr 2024 | 1,371 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 8 | 0.5 | 11.5 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 2 | 17.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 8 | – | <0.5 | 1 | 31.5 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 14 | |
OpinionWay | 17–18 Apr 2024 | 1,021 | <1 | – | 3 | 7 | <1 | 13 | 7 | – | <1 | – | – | 2 | – | – | 1 | 19 | 1 | <1 | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 10 | |
Ifop | 15–18 Apr 2024 | 1,376 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8 | <0.5 | 11.5 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 17.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 8 | – | <0.5 | 1 | 32 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
OpinionWay | 16–17 Apr 2024 | 1,002 | 1 | – | 4 | 8 | <1 | 12 | 6 | – | <1 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 19 | 2 | <1 | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 10 | |
Ifop | 13–17 Apr 2024 | 1,364 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 11.5 | 7.5 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 2 | – | – | 1.5 | 17.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 8 | – | <0.5 | 1 | 32.5 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 15 | |
Ifop | 12–16 Apr 2024 | 1,349 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 3 | 7 | <0.5 | 12 | 7.5 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 18 | 1 | 0.5 | 8 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 32.5 | 6 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 12–15 Apr 2024 | 2,005 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | <0.5 | 14 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 16 | 2 | 0.5 | 7 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 30 | 6 | 2.5 | 14 | |
Ifop | 11–15 Apr 2024 | 1,326 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 3 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 12 | 7 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 18 | 1 | 0.5 | 8 | – | <0.5 | 1 | 32.5 | 6 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
Ifop | 9–12 Apr 2024 | 1,347 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | <0.5 | 12.5 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 18 | 1 | <0.5 | 8.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31.5 | 6 | 0.5 | 13.5 | |
Ipsos | 10–11 Apr 2024 | 1,500 | 1 | 0.5 | 3 | 7 | 0.5 | 13 | 7 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 16 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 6.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 16 | |
Cluster17 | 9–11 Apr 2024 | 1,164 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8.5 | 1 | 12 | 6 | – | 1 | – | – | 0.5 | 1 | – | 1.5 | 17 | 1 | 0.5 | 6 | – | 1.5 | 1.5 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 12 | |
Ifop | 8–11 Apr 2024 | 1,355 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | 0.5 | 12.5 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 18 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 8.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 13 | |
Ifop | 6–10 Apr 2024 | 1,343 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8 | 0.5 | 12 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 18.5 | 1 | <0.5 | 8.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31.5 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 13 | |
Ifop | 5–9 Apr 2024 | 1,335 | 1 | 0.5 | 3 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 12 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 18.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 8 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 32 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 13.5 | |
YouGov | 3–9 Apr 2024 | 1,028 | 2 | – | 2 | 5 | – | 12 | 6 | – | 1[ax] | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 19 | <1 | – | – | 7 | 2[aw] | – | – | 29 | 9 | 2 | 10 | |
Harris Interactive | 5–8 Apr 2024 | 2,018 | 1 | – | 3 | 9 | – | 12 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | 1 | – | 1 | 17 | 1 | 0.5 | 7 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 30 | 6 | 3.5 | 13 | |
Ifop | 4–8 Apr 2024 | 1,343 | 1 | 0.5 | 3 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 11 | 6.5 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 2 | 19 | <0.5 | <0.5 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 13 | |
OpinionWay | 3–5 Apr 2024 | 1,509 | 1 | – | 2 | 7 | – | 12 | 7 | – | <1[ax] | – | 1 | – | – | 2 | 19 | 2 | <1 | 8 | – | 1 | – | 29 | 7 | 2 | 10 | ||
Elabe | 2–4 Apr 2024 | 1,504 | 1.5 | – | 2.5 | 7.5 | – | 12 | 8.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 2 | – | – | 1 | 16.5 | 1 | <0.5 | 7 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 30 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 13.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 28–29 Mar 2024 | 2,220 | 1 | – | 3 | 8 | – | 13 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 17 | 1 | 0.5 | 7 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 31 | 6 | 2.5 | 14 | |
BVA | 27–28 Mar 2024 | 1,518 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7 | – | 11 | 6 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | – | <0.5 | 1 | 20 | 1 | <0.5 | 8 | 3[aw] | 1 | 1 | 30 | 5.5 | 1 | 10 | |
Harris Interactive | 22–25 Mar 2024 | 2,027 | 1 | – | 3 | 7 | – | 12 | 7 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 18 | 1 | 0.5 | 7 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 30 | 6 | 2 | 12 | |
Ifop | 19–20 Mar 2024 | 1,112 | 0.5 | – | 3 | 6 | – | 11 | 7 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 21 | 1 | 0.5 | 7 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 30 | 6 | 0.5 | 9 | |
Harris Interactive | 15–18 Mar 2024 | 2,124 | 1 | – | 2 | 8 | – | 13 | 7 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 1 | 18 | 1 | 0.5 | 7 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 12 | |
OpinionWay | 13–14 Mar 2024 | 1,008 | 1 | – | 2 | 6 | – | 11 | 8 | – | 1[ax] | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 20 | 1 | – | <1 | 8 | 3 | 1 | – | 27 | 6 | 3 | 7 | |
Cluster17 | 8–9 Mar 2024 | 1,016 | 0.5 | – | 3 | 8 | – | 10 | 8 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 17 | 2 | 0.5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | – | 29 | 6 | 2 | 12 | |
Elabe | 5–7 Mar 2024 | 1,504 | 2 | – | 3 | 7.5 | – | 8.5 | 9.5 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 17 | 1 | – | – | 7 | 3 | 0.5 | – | 29.5 | 4.5 | 3 | 12.5 |
YouGov | 26 Feb – 7 Mar 2024 | 1,008 | 1 | – | 2 | 6 | – | 10 | 7 | – | <1[ax] | – | 1 | – | – | 2 | 20 | 1 | – | – | 6 | 3 | – | – | 33 | 5 | 3 | 13 | |
Ipsos | 1–6 Mar 2024 | 11,700 | 1 | 3.5 | 7 | – | 11.5 | 8.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | – | – | – | 1.5 | 18 | 0.5 | – | – | 7 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31 | 5 | 1.5 | 13 | |
Ipsos | 23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 | 2,000 | – | – | 3.0 | 7 | – | 12.2 | 8.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 18.1 | – | – | – | 7.6 | 2.5 | – | – | 30.7 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 12.6 |
Ifop | 29 Feb – 1 Mar 2024 | 1,348 | 1 | 3.5 | 8 | – | 9 | 8 | – | 1[ax] | – | 1 | – | – | 2 | 19 | <0.5 | 1.5 | <0.5 | 8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 10 | ||
BVA | 27–28 Feb 2024 | 1,344 | 2 | – | 3 | 7 | – | 11 | 7 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | <0.5 | 1.5 | 18[ay] | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 8 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
Odoxa | 21–22 Feb 2024 | 1,005 | 1.5 | – | 1.5 | 6 | – | 11 | 8.5 | – | <0.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 19[az] | 1 | – | – | 8.5 | 4 | – | – | 30 | 7 | 2 | 11 |
Stack Data Strategy | 17–22 Feb 2024 | 799 | 0.5 | 3.1 | 9.9 | – | 9.9 | 5.6 | – | 2.8[ax] | – | 2.6 | – | – | 1.4 | 14.5[ba] | – | 1.3 | – | 4.7 | 3.1 | – | – | 31.5 | 6.5 | 3.2 | 16.0 | ||
OpinionWay | 14–15 Feb 2024 | 1,009 | <1 | – | 3 | 7 | – | 10 | 8 | – | 2[ax] | – | 1 | – | – | <1 | 19 | 1 | – | <1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | – | 27 | 8 | 3 | 8 | |
Elabe | 7–9 Feb 2024 | 1,426 | 1.5 | – | 2.5 | 9 | – | 9 | 9.5 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 2 | – | – | 2 | 16.5 | 1 | – | – | 8 | 3 | 0.5 | – | 27.5 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
Ifop | 7–8 Feb 2024 | 1,356 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 7 | – | 9.5 | 8 | – | 1.5[ax] | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 19[az] | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 7 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 29 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 10 | ||
1 | 3 | 7.5 | – | 10.5 | 8.5 | – | 1[ax] | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 19[ba] | 1 | 1 | <0.5 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 1 | <0.5 | 28.5 | 6 | 1.5 | 9.5 | |||||
1 | 3.5 | 8 | – | 10.5 | 8 | – | 1.5[ax] | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 18[ay] | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 28 | 6 | 1.5 | 10 | |||||
YouGov | 29 Jan – 7 Feb 2024 | 1,001 | 1 | – | 2 | 8 | – | 8 | 8 | – | 1[ax] | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 19[bb] | 1 | – | – | 6 | 2 | – | – | 32 | 8 | 3 | 13 | |
Portland | 24–31 Jan 2024 | 469 | 2 | – | 3 | 6 | – | 9 | 9 | – | 1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 14 | 1 | – | – | 8 | 3 | – | – | 33 | 6 | 5 | 19 |
OpinionWay | 17–18 Jan 2024 | 1,019 | 1 | – | 4 | 8 | – | 10 | 6 | – | 2[ax] | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 20 | <1 | – | <1 | 8 | 2 | – | – | 27 | 7 | 3 | 7 | |
Ifop | 16–17 Jan 2024 | 1,348 | 0.5 | 4 | 7.5 | – | 9.5 | 7 | – | 1.5[ax] | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 19[bb] | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 6.5 | 2 | <0.5 | 0.5 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 12 | ||
Harris Interactive | 12–15 Jan 2024 | 1,217 | 1 | – | 3 | 7 | – | 11 | 8 | – | 1 | – | – | 2 | – | – | 1 | 19[bb] | 1 | – | – | 8 | 2.5 | – | – | 28 | 6 | 1.5 | 9 |
Ifop | 12–15 Jan 2024 | 875 | 1 | 4 | 6.5 | – | 9 | 9 | – | – | – | – | 1 | – | – | – | 20[bb] | 1 | – | – | 7.5 | 3 | – | – | 30 | 6 | 2 | 10 | |
YouGov | 8–15 Jan 2024 | 1,004 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | – | 8 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 20[bc] | – | – | – | 6 | 4 | – | – | 30 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
Cluster17 | 13–14 Jan 2024 | 1,209 | 1 | – | 3 | 7.5 | – | 11 | 8 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 18[bb] | 1 | – | – | 7 | 3 | – | – | 28.5 | 7 | 2 | 10.5 |
Elabe | 10–12 Jan 2024 | 1,400 | 1.5 | – | 3 | 7.5 | – | 9.5 | 8.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 18[bc] | 1 | – | – | 8.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | – | 28.5 | 5 | 3 | 10.5 |
Ifop | 3–5 Jan 2024 | 1,090 | 0.5 | 3 | 6 | – | 10 | 9 | – | 3[ax] | – | 2.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 17[bc] | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 8 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 28 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 11 | ||
Odoxa | 13–14 Dec 2023 | 1,004 | 2.5 | – | 3 | 6.5 | – | 9 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 21[bc] | 0.5 | – | – | 9 | 2 | – | – | 31 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
OpinionWay | 13–14 Dec 2023 | – | 1 | – | 3 | 6 | – | 10 | 8 | – | 2[ax] | – | <1 | – | – | 1 | 19 | <1 | – | <1 | 9 | 3 | – | – | 27 | 8 | 3 | 8 | |
Ipsos | 29 Nov – 12 Dec 2023 | 11,691 | 1.5 | 3 | 7.5 | – | 10.5 | 9.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 20[bc] | 0.5 | – | – | 8 | 2.5 | – | – | 28 | 6.5 | 2 | 8 | |
Ifop | 8–11 Dec 2023 | 1,062 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 7 | – | 10 | 8 | – | – | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | – | 18[bc] | 1 | – | – | 7.5 | 2.5 | – | – | 30 | 7.5 | 1 | 12 | |
OpinionWay | 15–16 Nov 2023 | – | 2 | – | 3 | 7 | – | 9 | 8 | – | 3[ax] | – | <1 | – | – | 1 | 19 | <1 | – | – | 8 | 2 | – | – | 28 | 7 | 3 | 9 | |
Ipsos | 9–10 Nov 2023 | 1,412 | 2 | 2 | 8.5 | – | 10 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22[bd] | – | – | – | 6 | 2 | – | – | 29 | 6 | 2.5 | 7 | |
2 | 2 | 8.5 | – | 10.5 | 10.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 20[bc] | – | – | – | 6.5 | 2 | – | – | 29 | 6 | 3 | 9 | ||||
Ifop | 12–13 Oct 2023 | 1,515 | 1 | 5 | 9 | – | 9 | 8 | – | – | – | – | 2 | – | – | – | 20[bc] | – | – | – | 8 | 2 | – | – | 28 | 6 | 2 | 8 | |
1 | 5 | 9 | – | 9 | 9 | – | – | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | – | 20[be] | – | – | – | 8.5 | 2.5 | – | – | 28 | 5 | 1 | 8 | ||||
Ifop | 30–31 Aug 2023 | 1,126 | 1 | 5 | 10 | – | 9 | 8 | – | – | – | – | 2 | – | – | – | 21[bc] | – | – | – | 8 | 3 | – | – | 25 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 4 | |
2 | 6 | 12[bf] | 10 | – | – | – | – | 2 | – | – | – | 23[bc] | – | – | – | 9 | 3 | – | – | 25 | 7 | 2 | 2 | ||||||
1 | 5 | 9[bg] | – | 10 | 8 | – | – | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | – | 21[bc] | – | – | – | 9 | 3 | – | – | 25 | 6.5 | 1 | 4 | ||||
Cluster17 | 16–19 Aug 2023 | 983 | 1.5 | – | 3 | 22.5 | – | 2.5 | – | – | 5 | – | – | 2.5 | 20.5[bc] | – | – | – | 7 | 3 | – | – | 23 | 7 | 2.5 | 0.5 | |||
1.5 | – | 20.5 | 7.5 | – | 2.5 | – | – | 3 | – | – | 2.5 | 20[bc] | – | – | – | 7 | 3 | – | – | 23.5 | 7 | 2 | 3 | ||||||
1.5 | – | 25[bh] | – | 2.5 | – | – | 4 | – | – | 2.5 | 20[bc] | – | – | – | 7.5 | 4 | – | – | 24 | 7 | 2 | 1 | |||||||
1 | – | 25[bi] | – | 3 | – | – | 4 | – | – | 3 | 20[bc] | – | – | – | 7.5 | 3.5 | – | – | 24 | 7 | 1.5 | 1 | |||||||
2 | – | 23[bj] | – | 3 | – | – | 4.5 | – | – | 3 | 21[bc] | – | – | – | 7.5 | 3 | – | – | 24 | 7 | 2 | 1 | |||||||
2 | – | 25[bk] | – | 2.5 | – | – | 4.5 | – | – | 2.5 | 20[bc] | – | – | – | 7 | 4 | – | – | 24 | 7 | 1.5 | 1 | |||||||
Ifop | 4–5 Jul 2023 | 1,008 | 1 | 4 | 8 | – | 9 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 20[bc] | – | – | – | 11 | 4 | – | – | 26 | 7 | 1 | 6 | |
Ipsos | 16–26 Jun 2023 | 10,631 | 1.5 | 4 | 8.5 | – | 10 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 21[bc] | – | – | – | 9 | 2.5 | – | – | 24 | 6.5 | 3 | 3 | |
2 | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24[bc] | – | – | – | 10 | 3 | – | – | 25 | 7 | 5 | 1 | ||||||||
1.5 | 5 | 9.5 | – | 15 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 23[bc] | – | – | – | 9 | 2.5 | – | – | 25 | 6.5 | 3 | 2 | |||||
Elabe | 19–21 Jun 2023 | 1,397 | 1.5 | 2 | 8.5 | – | 9.5 | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22.5 | – | – | – | 8.5 | 2.5 | – | – | 26 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | |
1.5 | 24.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 26 | – | – | – | 9 | 2.5 | – | – | 27 | 5.5 | 4 | 1 | ||||||||
Cluster17 | 17–19 May 2023 | 1,760 | 2 | 4 | 11 | – | 9 | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 19.5[bc] | – | – | – | 7.5 | 3 | – | – | 24 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 | |
2 | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 23[bc] | – | – | – | 8.5 | 4 | – | – | 25.5 | 7 | 3 | 1.5 | ||||||||
Ifop | 10–11 May 2023 | 1,310 | 1 | 5 | 10 | – | 10 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 19[bc] | – | – | – | 8 | 3 | – | – | 25 | 6 | 3 | 6 | |
2 | 26[bl] | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22[bc] | – | – | – | 11 | 3 | – | – | 26 | 6 | 4 | Tie | ||||||||
Harris Interactive | 5–9 May 2023 | 1,262 | 2 | 23[bm] | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3 | 26 | – | – | – | 13 | 2 | – | – | 21 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||||
1 | 19[bm] | 5 | – | 6 | – | – | – | – | 3 | 24 | – | – | – | 12 | 2 | – | – | 20 | 5 | 3 | 4 | ||||||||
1 | 3 | 9 | – | 10 | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1 | 23 | – | – | – | 12 | 2 | – | – | 20 | 5 | 3 | 3 | ||||
2019 European election | 26 May 2019 | – | 0.8 | [bn] | 2.5 | 6.3 | 6.2 | 13.5 | 1.8[bo] | [bp] | – | 0.1 | [bq] | – | 0.1 | 2.2 | 24.9[br] | – | – | – | 8.5 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 23.3 | – | 7.0 | 0.9 |
Germany
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Union EPP | Grüne G/EFA | SPD S&D | AfD NI | Linke Left | FDP Renew | PARTEI NI | FW Renew | Tiersch. Left | ÖDP G/EFA | FAM EPP | Volt G/EFA | PIRAT G/EFA | BSW NI–Left | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wahlkreisprognose | 6–7 Jun 2024 | 1,000 | 30 | 13.5 | 12.5 | 15.5 | 2.5 | 4.5 | — | 2.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 7.5 | 11.5 | 14.5 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 4–6 Jun 2024 | 1,300 | 31 | 14.5 | 14.5 | 14 | 2.5 | 4 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 6.5 | 11 | 16.5 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 5–6 Jun 2024 | 1,223 | 30 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 3 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | 7 | 13 | 16 |
Ipsos | 29 May–5 Jun 2024 | 2,000 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 3 | 5 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 8 | 15 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 27 May – 1 Jun 2024 | 2,000 | 30.5 | 15 | 13.5 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 7.5 | 15.5 |
INSA | 30–31 May 2024 | 1,001 | 29 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 3 | 4 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 11 | 13 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 27–29 May 2024 | 1,197 | 30 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 13 | 15 |
Infratest dimap | 27–29 May 2024 | 1,515 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 3 | 4 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 12 | 14 |
INSA | 23–24 May 2024 | 1,002 | 30 | 13 | 14 | 17 | 3 | 4 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 9 | 13 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 13–21 May 2024 | 2,600 | 31 | 15 | 12.5 | 16 | 3 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 6.5 | 6.5 | 15 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 14–16 May 2024 | 1,247 | 31 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 3 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 13 | 16 |
INSA | 10–13 May 2024 | 2,100 | 29 | 13 | 15.5 | 17 | 4 | 4 | — | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 7 | 5.5 | 12 |
YouGov | 3–8 May 2024 | 1,247 | 29 | 15 | 16 | 20 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 6 | 9 |
Infratest dimap | 29–30 Apr 2024 | 1,323 | 30 | 15 | 14 | 15 | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 15 | 15 |
INSA | 25–26 Apr 2024 | 1,202 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 4 | 4 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 7 | 12 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 23–25 Apr 2024 | 1,228 | 30 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 13 | 13 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 9–11 Apr 2024 | 1,254 | 30 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 12 | 14 |
INSA | 5–8 Apr 2024 | 2,100 | 28.5 | 11.5 | 16.5 | 19 | 4 | 5 | — | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 4 | 9.5 |
Ipsos | 23 Feb–02 Mar 2024 | 2,613 | 29 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 4 | 12 |
Forsa | 12–13 Mar 2024 | 1,008 | 34 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 2 | 3 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 9 | 18 |
INSA | 8–11 Mar 2024 | 2,100 | 28.5 | 11 | 16 | 20 | 4.5 | 6 | 1 | 2.5 | 2 | — | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 8.5 |
Ipsos | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 2,613 | 29 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 4 | 4 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 4[bs] | 12 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 24–29 Feb 2024 | 1,900 | 31.5 | 16 | 12 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | — | — | — | — | 7.5 | 4.5 | 15.5 |
Stack Data Strategy | 17–22 Feb 2024 | 980 | 25.5 | 9.8 | 16.5 | 15.1 | 2.7 | 6.0 | 3.2 | 4.1 | 3.1 | — | — | 1.3 | 1.2 | 9.3 | 3.4 | 9.0 |
INSA | 8–12 Feb 2024 | 2,101 | 27 | 10.5 | 16 | 22 | 4.5 | 3 | 1 | 3.5 | 3 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 5 |
Portland | 24–31 Jan 2024 | 555 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 12 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 11–18 Jan 2024 | 1,440 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 23 | 3 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 1.5 | — | — | — | — | 7 | 4.5 | 5 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 1–7 Dec 2023 | 1,440 | 31 | 12 | 10 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 7 | 3 | 6 |
INSA | 31 Jul 2023 | 1,001 | 26 | 15 | 19 | 23 | 5 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 3 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 7–14 Jul 2023 | 1,040 | 23 | 13.5 | 15 | 22 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | — | — | — | — | 8.5 | 5.5 | 1 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 15–16 Dec 2022 | 1,100 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 18.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 2 | 3.5 | 2.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.5 | 1 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 24–26 Feb 2022 | 1,722 | 22 | 19.5 | 22.5 | 12.5 | 3 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.5 | 0.5 |
2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 24.2 | 14.7 | 25.7 | 10.4 | 4.9 | 11.4 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.2 | — | 0.4 | 0.4 | — | 2.9 | 1.6 |
2019 European election | 26 May 2019 | – | 28.9 | 20.5 | 15.8 | 11.0 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | — | 3.8 | 8.4 |
Greece
[edit]Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | ND EPP | SYRIZA Left | PASOK S&D | KKE NI | XA[bt] NI | EL ECR | MeRA25 Left | PE NI | R NI | Antarsya NI | SP NI | NIKI NI | FL ECR | NA Left | DIMO Renew | KOS G/EFA | PAT NI | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alco/Alpha[137] | 13–15 May 2024 | 1,000 | 32.5 | 16.0 | 13.0 | 9.0 | — | 10.0 | 2.2 | 3.3 | — | — | — | 3.5 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 2.5 | — | — | 3.0 | 16.5 |
Pulse RC/Skai[138] | 13–15 May 2024 | 1,104 | 33.0 | 16.0 | 12.5 | 8.0 | — | 9.0 | 3.0 | 3.5 | — | — | — | 3.5 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 2.1 | — | 1.2 | 2.8 | 17.0 |
MARC/ANT1[139] | 10–15 May 2024 | 1,209 | 33.8 | 15.2 | 12.2 | 8.0 | — | 8.3 | 3.0 | 4.5 | — | — | — | 3.2 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 2.5 | — | — | 3.3 | 18.6 |
MRB/Open[140] | 10–14 May 2024 | 1,100 | 32.3 | 16.0 | 14.0 | 8.0 | — | 9.9 | 2.2 | 3.4 | — | — | — | 2.9 | 2.8 | 3.8 | 2.4 | — | — | 2.2 | 16.3 |
Interview/Politic[141] | 8–13 May 2024 | 2,405 | 33.3 | 17.2 | 12.2 | 6.7 | — | 7.8 | — | 2.7 | — | — | — | 3.4 | — | 5.0 | — | — | — | 11.8 | 16.1 |
Good Affairs/To Vima[142] | — | — | 31.8 | 16.1 | 11.8 | 8.3 | — | 10.3 | 2.3 | 3.1 | — | — | — | 4.2 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 1.1 | — | 15.7 | |
Marc/Proto Thema[143] | 18–25 Apr 2024 | 1,049 | 33.4 | 14.7 | 11.4 | 8.5 | — | 9.8 | 2.4 | 5.4 | — | — | 2.4 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 1.7 | — | — | 2.2 | 18.7 |
GPO/Parapolitika[144] | 17–22 Apr 2024 | 1,400 | 33.6 | 16.3 | 13.5 | 8.8 | — | 9.1 | 2.1 | 3.1 | — | — | 2.4 | 3.4 | — | 2.7 | 2.2 | — | — | 2.8 | 17.3 |
Metron Analysis/Mega[145] | 10–16 Apr 2024 | 1,304 | 32.3 | 15.4 | 12.0 | 9.8 | — | 8.3 | 1.6 | 4.2 | — | — | 2.5 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | 2.8 | 16.9 |
Prorata/Attica[146] | 5–10 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 29.5 | 15.0 | 12.7 | 9.2 | — | 9.8 | 2.3 | 4.6 | — | — | 1.7 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 1.2 | — | 3.0 | 14.5 |
Opinion Poll/Action 24[147] | 8–10 Apr 2024 | 1,006 | 32.1 | 15.0 | 12.4 | 8.5 | — | 10.7 | 1.3 | 3.7 | — | — | 2.6 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 3.2 | 3.0 | — | — | 2.3 | 17.1 |
Interview/Politic[148][149] | 4–8 Apr 2024 | 2,355 | 27.7 | 16.1 | 12.7 | 6.9 | — | 11.8 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 1.7 | — | 1.2 | 4.3 | 2.3 | 4.7 | 2.2 | — | — | 3.2 | 11.6 |
Alco/Alpha[150] | 2–5 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 29.9 | 14.3 | 13.3 | 9.4 | — | 9.6 | 2.3 | 4.1 | — | — | 2.7 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 3.0 | 2.2 | — | — | 3.5 | 15.6 |
Palmos Analysis/Eleftheros Typos[151] | 1–4 Apr 2024 | 1,008 | 31.8 | 14.1 | 13.0 | 9.4 | — | 10.3 | — | 4.2 | — | — | 3.3 | 3.5 | — | 4.0 | — | — | — | 6.6 | 17.7 |
GPO/Parapolitika[152] | 1–3 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 33.4 | 15.9 | 14.2 | 9.0 | — | 9.5 | 1.8 | 3.0 | — | — | 2.2 | 3.3 | — | 2.2 | 2.2 | — | — | 3.3 | 17.5 |
MRB/Open[153] | 1–3 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 31.5 | 15.9 | 13.4 | 8.1 | — | 9.9 | 1.9 | 4.3 | — | — | 2.1 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 1.6 | — | — | 2.3 | 15.6 |
Pulse RC/Skai[154] | 1–3 Apr 2024 | 1,105 | 33.0 | 15.0 | 12.5 | 8.5 | — | 9.0 | 2.5 | 3.5 | — | — | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 1.8 | — | — | 2.9 | 18.0 |
Opinion Poll/Action24[155] | 15–20 Mar 2024 | 1,010 | 34.4 | 13.4 | 12.5 | 9.4 | — | 10.1 | 1.9 | 2.9 | — | — | 2.5 | 4.3 | — | 2.9 | 2.8 | — | — | 2.8 | 21.0 |
Metron Analysis/Mega[156] | 12–19 Mar 2024 | 1,317 | 31.4 | 15.1 | 13.0 | 10.1 | — | 9.7 | 1.9 | 4.3 | — | 0.6 | 2.0 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | — | 1.7 | 16.3 |
Good Affairs/To Vima[157] | 12–14 Mar 2024 | 3,229 | 30.8 | 13.1 | 12.9 | 8.2 | — | 9.8 | 2.2 | 2.1 | — | — | 2.2 | 3.6 | — | 2.5 | 2.9 | — | — | 1.5 | 17.7 |
Marc/Proto Thema[158] | 11–14 Mar 2024 | 1,086 | 36.2 | 13.4 | 12.6 | 9.4 | — | 9.2 | 2.4 | 3.1 | — | — | 2.6 | 2.8 | — | 2.6 | 2.1 | — | — | 3.7 | 22.8 |
GPO/Star[159] | 11–13 Mar 2024 | 1,200 | 34.8 | 14.3 | 13.9 | 9.5 | — | 8.0 | 2.3 | 2.9 | — | — | 1.8 | 3.4 | — | 3.0 | 2.6 | — | — | 3.5 | 20.5 |
Interview/Politic[160] | 7–11 Mar 2024 | 2,250 | 29.1 | 14.4 | 12.4 | 7.1 | — | 12.0 | — | 2.5 | — | — | 1.8 | 4.6 | — | 4.9 | — | — | — | 11.3 | 14.7 |
Alco/Alpha[161] | 1–6 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | 32.8 | 12.7 | 14.1 | 10.8 | — | 7.9 | 2.8 | 3.6 | — | — | 2.9 | 4.5 | — | 3.4 | — | — | — | 4.0 | 18.7 |
Ipsos/Euronews[162] | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | 35.0 | 13.6 | 13.4 | 9.0 | — | 8.7 | <3.0 | 3.2 | — | — | 2.9 | 4.0 | — | 3.3 | — | — | — | 3.9 | 21.4 |
Pulse RC/Skai[163] | 27 Feb–1 Mar 2024 | 1,106 | 35.5 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 9.0 | — | 8.5 | 2.5 | 3.0 | — | — | 3.0 | 4.0 | — | 3.0 | — | — | — | 3.5 | 21.5 |
GPO/Parapolitika[164] | 26–29 Feb 2024 | 1,000 | 36.4 | 13.5 | 14.4 | 10.7 | — | 8.2 | 2.4 | 2.7 | — | — | 2.2 | 3.4 | — | 2.9 | — | — | — | 3.2 | 22.0 |
Opinion Poll/Action24[165] | 21–27 Feb 2024 | 1,504 | 33.9 | 11.9 | 13.9 | 10.1 | — | 10.2 | 2.6 | 3.5 | — | — | 2.7 | 4.2 | — | 3.3 | — | — | — | 3.7 | 20.0 |
Opinion Poll/Action24[166] | 13–16 Feb 2024 | 1,004 | 34.3 | 12.5 | 14.6 | 9.4 | — | 9.5 | 2.4 | 3.7 | — | — | 2.7 | 3.8 | — | 3.3 | — | — | — | 3.8 | 19.7 |
Interview/Politic[167] | 6–12 Feb 2024 | 2,155 | 33.3 | 14.2 | 12.8 | 8.3 | — | 9.1 | — | 2.6 | — | — | 2.1 | 5.1 | — | 5.1 | — | — | — | 9.7 | 19.1 |
Alco/Alpha[168] | 1–7 Feb 2024 | 1,201 | 34.5 | 12.6 | 15.0 | 11.2 | — | 7.5 | 2.2 | 3.1 | — | — | 2.8 | 3.9 | — | 2.6 | — | — | — | 4.3 | 19.5 |
GPO/Star[169] | 20–25 Jan 2024 | 1,100 | 38.8 | 14.0 | 14.2 | 9.6 | — | 7.2 | 2.7 | 2.6 | — | — | 2.2 | 3.3 | — | 3.0 | — | — | — | 2.4 | 24.6 |
MRB/Open[170] | 22–24 Jan 2024 | 1,000 | 36.1 | 12.1 | 12.1 | 9.3 | — | 9.5 | 2.8 | 4.0 | — | — | 2.8 | 3.7 | — | 2.7 | — | — | — | 4.8 | 24.0 |
Marc/Ant1[171] | 17–23 Jan 2024 | 1,092 | 37.1 | 12.6 | 16.8 | 9.4 | — | 7.0 | 2.9 | 3.0 | — | — | 3.1 | 3.1 | — | 2.4 | — | — |