Opinion polling for the 2025 German federal election

In the run-up to the 2025 German federal election, various organisations are carrying out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in Germany. Results of such polls are displayed in this list.

The "union" of CDU/CSU, with CSU only running in Bavaria where CDU is not present, is usually combined, but sometimes counted separately. Some members of Linke split from the party in late 2023, forming BSW, which has therefore also been present in the Bundestag and in the polls since 2024. The Free Voters (FW) are present in two state parliaments and one state government coalition.

Poll results

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Graphical summary

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Local regression of polls conducted

2024

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Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW BSW Others Lead
Infratest dimap 28–30 Oct 2024 1,333 16 34 11 4 17 6 12 17
Verian 23–29 Oct 2024 1,443 16 32 11 3 17 3 8 10 15
INSA 25–28 Oct 2024 2,008 15 31 11 4 19 2.5 9 8.5 12
Forsa 22–28 Oct 2024 2,503 23 16 32 9 4 17 3 7 12 15
INSA 21–25 Oct 2024 1,204 15 30 11 4 19 3 9 9 11
INSA 18–21 Oct 2024 2,006 16.5 30.5 10 4 19 2.5 9 8.5 11.5
Forsa 15–21 Oct 2024 2,500 16 31 11 3 17 3 7 12 14
INSA 14–18 Oct 2024 1,201 16 31 10 4 19 3 9 8 12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 15–17 Oct 2024 1,249 12 16 31 11 3 18 4 8 9 13
INSA 11–14 Oct 2024 2,002 16 31.5 10 4 18.5 3.5 9 7.5 13
Forsa 8–14 Oct 2024 2,501 16 31 10 4 17 3 7 12 14
INSA 7–11 Oct 2024 1,202 16 31 11 4 19 3 9 7 12
Allensbach 28 Sep11 Oct 2024 1,041 16 36 10.5 4.5 16 9 9 20
Infratest dimap 7–9 Oct 2024 1,321 16 31 13 3 17 3 3 8 6 14
YouGov 4–8 Oct 2024 1,773 16 32 11 5 18 3 1 8 6 14
INSA 4–7 Oct 2024 2,010 16 31.5 10.5 4 20 2.5 8 7.5 11.5
Forsa 1–7 Oct 2024 2,001 17 31 11 3 17 3 6 12 14
Ipsos 2–4 Oct 2024 1,000 15 31 11 4 18 3 3 8 7 13
INSA 30 Sep4 Oct 2024 1,237 16 31 11 4 20 3 8 7 11
Verian 25 Sep1 Oct 2024 1,452 16 31 11 4 17 3 3 7 8 14
INSA 27–30 Sep 2024 2,002 15 31.5 11 4 19 2.5 9.5 7.5 12.5
Forsa 24–30 Sep 2024 2,501 17 31 10 4 17 3 6 12 14
INSA 23–27 Sep 2024 1,203 15 32 11 4 19 3 10 6 13
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 24–26 Sep 2024 1,348 16 16 31 12 4 17 4 8 8 14
INSA 20–23 Sep 2024 2,002 15.5 32 9.5 3.5 20 2.5 10 7 12
Forsa 17–23 Sep 2024 2,500 21 15 32 11 4 17 7 14 15
INSA 16–19 Sep 2024 1,202 15 32 10 4 20 2 10 7 12
INSA 13–16 Sep 2024 2,008 14 33 10 4.5 19.5 2.5 10 6.5 13.5
GMS 11–16 Sep 2024 1,006 14 34 11 4 18 2 3 7 7 16
Forsa 10–16 Sep 2024 2,501 15 31 11 4 17 3 6 13 14
INSA 9–13 Sep 2024 1,206 14 33 10 4 19 3 10 7 14
Allensbach 29 Aug11 Sep 2024 1,017 16 35.5 10 4 17 9 8.5 18.5
YouGov 6–10 Sep 2024 1,752 14 32 13 4 18 4 1 8 6 14
INSA 6–9 Sep 2024 2,010 14 32.5 10 4 19.5 2.5 10 7.5 13
Forsa 3–9 Sep 2024 2,500 14 33 11 3 17 3 7 12 16
Ipsos 6–7 Sep 2024 1,000 13 32 11 4 18 3 2 9 8 14
INSA 2–6 Sep 2024 1,202 15 31 10 4 19 3 10 8 12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 3–5 Sep 2024 1,328 14 15 33 11 4 17 4 7 9 16
Infratest dimap 3–4 Sep 2024 1,309 15 33 11 4 17 3 8 9 16
Verian 28 Aug3 Sep 2024 1,427 15 31 12 4 17 3 8 10 14
INSA 30 Aug2 Sep 2024 2,002 15 31.5 10.5 4.5 19 2.5 9.5 7.5 12.5
Forsa 27 Aug2 Sep 2024 2,508 14 32 11 5 17 3 7 11 15
INSA 26–30 Aug 2024 1,202 16 31 11 4 19 3 9 7 12
INSA 23–26 Aug 2024 2,004 15 31.5 11.5 5.5 18.5 3 9 6 13
Forsa 20–26 Aug 2024 2,501 15 31 11 5 17 3 7 11 14
INSA 19–23 Aug 2024 1,202 16 31 11 5 18 3 9 7 13
INSA 16–19 Aug 2024 2,006 15.5 30.5 10.5 5 19 3 9.5 7 11.5
Forsa 13–19 Aug 2024 2,503 15 31 11 5 17 3 7 11 14
INSA 12–16 Aug 2024 1,203 16 30 11 5 19 3 9 7 11
Allensbach 3–15 Aug 2024 1,051 16 34 11.5 5 16 3 7 7.5 18
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 12–14 Aug 2024 1,334 14 14 32 13 4 16 3 8 10 16
YouGov 9–13 Aug 2024 1,998 15 31 12 5 19 3 1 8 6 12
INSA 9–12 Aug 2024 2,008 15 30.5 10.5 5 18 3 9.5 8.5 12.5
Forsa 6–12 Aug 2024 2,502 22 15 30 11 5 17 3 7 12 13
GMS 6–12 Aug 2024 1,006 14 32 12 5 17 3 2 8 7 15
INSA 5–9 Aug 2024 1,203 16 31 10 5 18 3 9 8 13
Infratest dimap 5–7 Aug 2024 1,311 15 32 12 5 16 9 11 16
Verian 31 Jul6 Aug 2024 1,449 16 31 13 5 16 3 7 9 15
INSA 2–5 Aug 2024 2,002 15 30.5 10.5 5 17 3 9.5 9.5 13.5
Forsa 30 Jul5 Aug 2024 2,500 20 15 30 11 5 17 3 3 7 9 13
Ipsos 2–4 Aug 2024 1,000 14 30 13 5 16 3 2 8 9 14
INSA 29 Jul2 Aug 2024 1,199 15 31 10 5 18 3 9 9 13
INSA 26–29 Jul 2024 2,006 15 30 10 5 18 3.5 9.5 9 12
Forsa 23–29 Jul 2024 2,501 21 15 30 11 4 17 3 7 13 13
INSA 22–26 Jul 2024 1,203 15 30 11 5 18 3 10 8 12
INSA 19–22 Jul 2024 2,010 15 31 10.5 5 17 3.5 9 9 14
Forsa 16–22 Jul 2024 2,504 18 14 31 11 5 17 4 7 11 14
INSA 15–19 Jul 2024 1,207 15 30 11 5 17 3 9 10 13
Allensbach 5–19 Jul 2024 1,003 16.5 32 11.5 6 17 8 9 15
INSA 12–15 Jul 2024 2,500 15 31 11.5 5 18 3 8.5 8 13
Forsa 9–15 Jul 2024 2,503 18 14 32 11 5 16 3 7 12 16
INSA 8–12 Jul 2024 1,449 15 30 12 5 18 2 9 9 12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 9–11 Jul 2024 1,341 15 14 32 13 4 17 3 7 10 15
Verian 3–9 Jul 2024 1,486 15 31 13 5 16 3 7 10 15
INSA 5–8 Jul 2024 2,007 15 30.5 11 5.5 17.5 3 1.5 8.5 7.5 13
Forsa 2–8 Jul 2024 2,504 19 14 30 11 5 17 8 15 13
Ipsos 5–7 Jul 2024 1,000 14 30 12 5 16 3 2 8 10 14
INSA 1–5 Jul 2024 1,204 15 30 11 5 18 2 9 10 12
Infratest dimap 1–3 Jul 2024 1,294 14 31 13 5 17 3 8 9 14
YouGov 28 Jun3 Jul 2024 1,711 14 30 12 6 19 3 2 9 6 11
INSA 28 Jun1 Jul 2024 2,006 15 29.5 12 5.5 17.5 2.5 2 8.5 7.5 12
Forsa 25 Jun1 Jul 2024 2,506 18 15 31 11 6 16 7 14 15
INSA 24–28 Jun 2024 1,203 15 30 12 6 17 2 2 9 7 13
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 25–27 Jun 2024 1,186 11 14 31 13 4 17 3 7 11 14
INSA 21–24 Jun 2024 2,008 14.5 30.5 11.5 5 17.5 3 2 8.5 7.5 13
Forsa 18–24 Jun 2024 2,505 19 15 31 11 5 16 3 7 12 15
INSA 17–21 Jun 2024 1,204 15 30 12 5 17 3 2 8 8 13
INSA 14–17 Jun 2024 2,010 15 31 11 5 17 3 2 8 8 14
Forsa 11–17 Jun 2024 2,504 15 30 12 5 16 2 7 12 14
GMS 11–17 Jun 2024 1,007 14 31 14 5 18 3 2 6 7 13
INSA 10–15 Jun 2024 1,205 16 31 11 5 17 3 2 7 8 14
Allensbach 1–13 Jun 2024 1,084 16 32 13 6 15 3 7 8 16
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 10–12 Jun 2024 1,334 15 14 30 14 5 16 7 14 14
Verian 5–11 Jun 2024 1,425 16 30 13 5 17 3 3 6 7 13
INSA 7–10 Jun 2024 2,008 15.5 30 12 5 16 3 2.5 7.5 8.5 14
Forsa 4–10 Jun 2024 2,505 22 16 30 13 6 16 6 13 14
2024 EU Parliament Election 9 Jun 2024 13.9 30.0 11.9 5.2 15.9 2.7 2.7 6.2 11.5 14.1
INSA 3–7 Jun 2024 1,203 16 30 12 5 16 3 3 8 7 14
YouGov 31 May5 Jun 2024 1,894 14 29 12 4 18 4 2 9 8 11
Ipsos 29 May5 Jun 2024 957 15 29 13 5 17 3 3 8 7 12
INSA 31 May3 Jun 2024 2,002 16 30.5 12 5 15.5 3.5 2.5 7.5 7.5 14.5
Forsa 28 May3 Jun 2024 2,506 22 17 30 13 6 15 6 13 13
INSA 27–31 May 2024 1,205 16 31 12 5 16 3 3 7 7 15
Infratest dimap 27–29 May 2024 1,479 15 31 14 4 18 3 3 5 7 13
INSA 24–27 May 2024 2,004 15 30.5 12 5 17 3 2.5 7 8 13.5
Forsa 21–27 May 2024 2,503 22 16 30 13 6 15 6 14 14
INSA 21–24 May 2024 1,202 15 30 13 5 17 3 3 7 7 13
INSA 17–21 May 2024 2,010 16 30 12.5 5 17 3 3 7 6.5 13
Wahlkreisprognose 13–19 May 2024 2,500 24 16.5 31 13.5 6 15 3 6 9 14.5
Forsa 14–17 May 2024 2,001 16 32 14 5 15 5 13 16
INSA 13–17 May 2024 1,206 16 30 12 5 17 3 3 7 7 13
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 14–16 May 2024 1,247 18 15 31 13 5 16 4 5 11 15
Allensbach 4–16 May 2024 1,093 17.5 32.5 13 6 14 3 8 6 15
Verian 7–14 May 2024 1,506 16 30 14 5 16 4 3 5 7 14
INSA 10–13 May 2024 2,087 15.5 30.5 13 5 17 3.5 2.5 7 6 13.5
Forsa 7–13 May 2024 2,006 23 16 32 13 5 15 3 5 11 16
INSA 6–10 May 2024 1,247 15 30 13 5 17 4 2 7 7 13
YouGov 3–8 May 2024 1,749 16 30 14 4 19 4 1 7 5 11
INSA 3–6 May 2024 2,006 15.5 30.5 12 5 18 3.5 2.5 7.5 5.5 12.5
Forsa 30 Apr6 May 2024 2,000 16 31 12 6 15 3 4 13 15
GMS 30 Apr6 May 2024 1,005 15 31 14 4 18 2 3 6 7 13
Ipsos 2–5 May 2024 2,000 16 28 13 5 18 4 3 7 6 10
INSA 29 Apr3 May 2024 1.203 15 30 12 5 18 4 2 7 7 12
Infratest dimap 29–30 Apr 2024 1,280 15 31 15 5 18 5 11 13
INSA 26–29 Apr 2024 2.004 16.5 29.5 12.5 5 18.5 3.5 2.5 7 5 11
Forsa 23–29 Apr 2024 2,505 23 17 30 12 5 16 3 4 13 13
INSA 22–26 Apr 2024 1,203 16 29 13 5 18 4 2 7 6 11
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 23–25 Apr 2024 1,228 18 15 30 15 4 17 4 5 10 13
INSA 19–22 Apr 2024 2,008 15 30.5 12.5 5 18.5 4 2.5 7 5 12
Forsa 16–22 Apr 2024 2,501 25 16 31 12 5 16 5 15 15
INSA 15–19 Apr 2024 1,204 15 30 13 5 18 4 2 7 6 12
Allensbach 5–18 Apr 2024 1,041 16 32.5 15 6 16 3 7 4.5 16.5
Verian 10–16 Apr 2024 1,445 16 30 14 5 18 3 3 5 6 12
INSA 12–15 Apr 2024 2,006 16 29.5 13 6 18.5 3 2.5 6.5 5 11
Forsa 9–15 Apr 2024 2,505 23 16 31 12 5 17 5 14 14
INSA 8–12 Apr 2024 1,203 16 30 13 5 18 3 2 6 7 12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 9–11 Apr 2024 1,254 20 16 31 12 4 18 3 6 10 13
YouGov 5–10 Apr 2024 1,588 14 29 15 5 19 4 1 7 6 10
INSA 5–8 Apr 2024 2,084 15 30.5 13 5 18.5 3.5 2.5 6.5 5.5 12
Forsa 2–8 Apr 2024 2,506 24 16 30 13 5 17 5 14 13
Ipsos 5–7 Apr 2024 2,000 15 29 13 5 18 4 3 7 6 11
INSA 2–5 Apr 2024 1,243 15 31 13 5 19 3 2 6 6 12
Infratest dimap 2–3 Apr 2024 1,304 15 30 15 4 18 3 3 5 7 12
INSA 28 Mar2 Apr 2024 2,004 15 30 12.5 5 19.5 3.5 2.5 6.5 5.5 10.5
Forsa 26–28 Mar 2024 1,508 24 16 31 13 4 17 5 14 14
INSA 25–28 Mar 2024 1,210 15 30 13 5 20 3 2 6 6 10
INSA 22–25 Mar 2024 2,008 15.5 30 12.5 5 19.5 3.5 2.5 6.5 5 10.5
Forsa 19–25 Mar 2024 2,503 24 16 31 13 4 17 3 3 5 8 14
INSA 18–22 Mar 2024 1,204 16 30 13 5 19 3 2 6 6 11
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 19–21 Mar 2024 1,296 19 16 31 13 4 18 3 6 9 13
Wahlkreisprognose 18–20 Mar 2024 1,300 25 19.5 29 14 4 15 3.5 6.5 8.5 9.5
Verian 13–19 Mar 2024 1,480 17 29 15 5 18 3 5 8 11
INSA 15–18 Mar 2024 2,002 16 29.5 12 5 19.5 3.5 2.5 6.5 5.5 10
Forsa 12–18 Mar 2024 2,500 24 16 31 13 4 17 3 3 5 8 14
INSA 11–15 Mar 2024 1,199 15 30 12 5 19 3 2 6 8 11
Allensbach 1–14 Mar 2024 1,027 15 34 14 5 16 3 7 6 18
INSA 8–11 Mar 2024 2,079 14.5 31 12.5 5.5 18.5 3.5 2.5 6.5 5.5 12.5
Forsa 5–11 Mar 2024 2,502 26 15 30 14 5 17 3 3 5 8 13
INSA 4–8 Mar 2024 1,249 15 31 12 5 19 3 2 7 6 12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 5–7 Mar 2024 1,260 19 15 30 15 4 18 3 3 5 7 12
Infratest dimap 4–6 Mar 2024 1,288 16 29 14 5 19 3 6 8 10
YouGov 1–5 Mar 2024 1,762 15 29 14 4 19 4 1 7 7 10
INSA 1–4 Mar 2024 2,024 14.5 30.5 13 5.5 19.5 3 2.5 6.5 5 11
Forsa 27 Feb4 Mar 2024 2,506 15 31 14 5 17 3 3 4 8 14
Ipsos 1–3 Mar 2024 2,000 15 29 14 5 18 3 3 7 6 11
INSA 26 Feb1 Mar 2024 1,200 15 30 13 5 19 3 3 7 5 11
Verian 21–27 Feb 2024 1,392 16 30 15 5 18 3 4 9 12
INSA 23–26 Feb 2024 2,006 15.5 30.5 13 4.5 19 3 3 7.5 4 11.5
Forsa 20–26 Feb 2024 2,503 14 30 15 5 17 3 3 4 9 13
INSA 19–23 Feb 2024 1,203 15 30 13 5 19 3 3 8 4 11
Wahlkreisprognose 21–22 Feb 2024 1,300 14 28.5 12.5 5.5 19 2 2 8.5 8 9.5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 20–22 Feb 2024 1,294 18 15 30 14 4 19 4 5 9 11
Verian 14–20 Feb 2024 1,505 16 29 15 4 19 3 5 9 10
INSA 16–19 Feb 2024 2,007 14.5 30.5 12.5 4.5 19.5 3.5 3 7.5 4.5 11
Forsa 13–19 Feb 2024 2,504 24 15 30 14 5 17 3 3 4 9 13
INSA 12–16 Feb 2024 1,203 14 31 13 4 19 3 3 8 5 12
Allensbach 3–15 Feb 2024 1,053 15 32 14 6 18 3 7 5 14
INSA 9–12 Feb 2024 2,083 15 30 12.5 3.5 20.5 3.5 3 7.5 4.5 9.5
Forsa 6–12 Feb 2024 2,502 25 15 31 14 4 18 3 5 10 13
INSA 5–8 Feb 2024 1,276 15 30 13 4 20 3 3 7 5 10
YouGov 2–6 Feb 2024 2,018 14 31 12 4 20 3 1 7 6 11
INSA 2–5 Feb 2024 2,004 15 30 12.5 4.5 20.5 3.5 3 7.5 3.5 9.5
GMS 31 Jan5 Feb 2024 1,012 16 32 13 4 18 2 3 5 7 14
Forsa 30 Jan5 Feb 2024 2,503 25 15 31 14 4 18 3 3 5 7 13
Ipsos 2–4 Feb 2024 2,000 15 30 13 4 18 4 3 8 5 12
INSA 29 Jan2 Feb 2024 1,202 15 30 13 4 20 4 3 7 4 10
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 30 Jan1 Feb 2024 1,217 20 15 31 13 4 19 3 3 6 6 12
Infratest dimap 29–31 Jan 2024 1,303 16 30 14 4 19 3 5 9 11
INSA 26–29 Jan 2024 2,002 14.5 30 12.5 5 21 3.5 2.5 7 4 9
Forsa 23–29 Jan 2024 2,506 27 15 32 14 3 19 3 3 3 8 13
INSA 22–26 Jan 2024 1,201 14 31 13 4 21 4 2 7 4 10
Wahlkreisprognose 22–24 Jan 2024 1,366 26 17.5 30.5 11 4.5 22 2.5 4 8 8.5
15.5 27.5 12.5 6.5 19 2.5 2 9 5.5 8.5
Verian 16–23 Jan 2024 1,922 16 29 16 4 19 4 3 9 10
pollytix 19–22 Jan 2024 1,530 15 29 12 5 22 4 9 4 7
INSA 19–22 Jan 2024 2,006 13.5 30.5 12.5 5 21.5 3 2.5 11.5 8
Forsa 16–22 Jan 2024 2,503 14 31 14 4 20 4 3 3 7 11
INSA 15–19 Jan 2024 1,203 13 30 13 5 22 3 3 7 4 8
Allensbach 5–18 Jan 2024 1,018 15 34 13.5 6 19.5 4 3 5 14.5
INSA 12–15 Jan 2024 2,004 14 31 12 5 23 4 3 8 8
Forsa 9–15 Jan 2024 2,504 13 31 14 4 22 4 3 9 9
INSA 11–12 Jan 2024 1,002 14 27 12 4 18 3 3 14 5 9
INSA 8–12 Jan 2024 1,202 15 30 12 5 22 4 3 9 8
Verian 9–11 Jan 2024 1,359 14 31 16 4 22 4 3 6 9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 9–11 Jan 2024 1,337 21 13 31 14 4 22 4 4 4 4 9
INSA 5–8 Jan 2024 2,008 16 32 12 5 23 4 3 5 9
YouGov 3–8 Jan 2024 1,614 15 29 12 6 24 5 2 7 5
Forsa 2–8 Jan 2024 2,502 15 30 14 4 22 4 3 8 8
Ipsos 5–7 Jan 2024 2,000 15 30 13 6 22 5 9 8
INSA 2–5 Jan 2024 1,204 16 31 12 5 23 4 3 6 8
Wahlkreisprognose 2–4 Jan 2024 1,500 24 12 34 10.5 4.5 24.5 3 4 7.5 9.5
Infratest dimap 2–3 Jan 2024 1,321 14 31 13 5 22 4 3 8 9
INSA 29 Dec2 Jan 2024 2,002 15 32 13 5 22.5 4 3 5.5 9.5
GMS 27 Dec2 Jan 2024 1,004 14 33 13 6 23 3 3 5 10
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 23.4 25.7 24.2 14.7 11.4 10.4 4.9 2.4 6.3 1.6

2023

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Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW Others Lead
INSA 28–29 Dec 2023 1,001 15 32 12 5 23 4 3 6 9
INSA 22–27 Dec 2023 2,000 15 32 12 5 23 4 3 6 9
Forsa 19–22 Dec 2023 14 31 14 5 22 3 11 9
INSA 18–22 Dec 2023 1,202 15 32 12 5 22 4 3 7 10
Infratest dimap 18–20 Dec 2023 1,210 14 32 14 5 21 3 4 7 11
Verian 13–19 Dec 2023 1,421 15 31 15 4 21 4 10 10
INSA 15–18 Dec 2023 2,002 15.5 31.5 12.5 5 23 4 2.5 6 8.5
Forsa 12–18 Dec 2023 2,501 26 14 31 13 5 23 3 11 8
INSA 11–15 Dec 2023 1,202 15 32 12 5 23 4 2 7 9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 12–14 Dec 2023 1,146 21 14 32 14 5 22 4 3 6 10
Allensbach 1–14 Dec 2023 1,013 17 34 15 5 18 3.5 3 4.5 16
Verian 6–12 Dec 2023 1,515 15 30 16 5 20 4 10 10
INSA 8–11 Dec 2023 2,008 16 30 12.5 6 22.5 4 3 6 7.5
GMS 6–11 Dec 2023 1,001 14 32 15 5 22 2 3 7 10
Forsa 5–11 Dec 2023 2,501 27 14 31 13 5 22 4 11 9
INSA 4–8 Dec 2023 1,203 16 30 12 6 22 4 3 7 8
Infratest dimap 4–6 Dec 2023 1,364 14 32 15 4 21 3 3 8 11
YouGov 1–6 Dec 2023 1,669 14 30 14 6 23 4 2 7 7
Verian 29 Nov5 Dec 2023 1,402 14 30 17 4 20 4 11 10
INSA 1–4 Dec 2023 2,006 15.5 29.5 13 6 22.5 3.5 3 7 7
Forsa 28 Nov4 Dec 2023 2,501 14 30 14 5 22 4 11 8
Ipsos 1–3 Dec 2023 2,000 16 29 13 6 21 5 10 8
INSA 27 Nov1 Dec 2023 1,202 16 30 13 6 22 3 3 7 8
Verian 20–28 Nov 2023 1,806 17 29 16 5 19 4 10 10
Wahlkreisprognose 25–27 Nov 2023 1,200 25 15 31 13 5 26 3.5 6.5 5
INSA 24–27 Nov 2023 2,007 15.5 30.5 12.5 6 22 4 3 6.5 8.5
Forsa 21–27 Nov 2023 2,500 25 14 30 15 5 21 4 11 9
INSA 20–24 Nov 2023 1,202 16 30 12 6 22 4 3 7 8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 21–23 Nov 2023 1,242 22 15 31 15 5 22 4 8 9
Verian 14–21 Nov 2023 1,452 16 29 17 5 20 4 9 9
INSA 17–20 Nov 2023 2,003 16.5 30 13 5.5 21 4.5 3 6.5 9
Forsa 14–20 Nov 2023 2,501 26 15 30 14 5 21 3 3 9 9
INSA 13–17 Nov 2023 1,201 16 30 13 6 21 4 3 7 9
Allensbach 1–16 Nov 2023 1,047 17 32 13.5 6 19 3.5 4 5 13
Verian 8–14 Nov 2023 1,421 16 28 16 6 20 4 10 8
INSA 10–13 Nov 2023 2,008 16.5 30.5 13.5 5 21.5 4.5 3 5.5 9
Forsa 7–13 Nov 2023 2,504 14 30 14 5 21 4 3 9 9
INSA 6–10 Nov 2023 1,204 17 30 14 5 21 4 3 6 9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 7–9 Nov 2023 1,234 21 16 30 15 5 21 4 3 6 9
Infratest dimap 7–8 Nov 2023 1,195 15 30 15 5 21 4 3 7 9
YouGov 3–7 Nov 2023 1,732 15 29 15 5 22 5 2 7 7
Kantar 1–7 Nov 2023 1,443 16 28 16 6 20 4 3 7 8
INSA 3–6 Nov 2023 2,006 16.5 29.5 13.5 5.5 22 4.5 3 5.5 7.5
Forsa 31 Oct6 Nov 2023 2,502 15 29 14 5 21 4 3 9 8
Ipsos 3–5 Nov 2023 2,000 17 28 15 6 20 5 9 8
INSA 30 Oct3 Nov 2023 1,204 16 30 13 6 22 4 3 6 8
Infratest dimap 30 Oct1 Nov 2023 1,314 16 30 14 4 22 5 3 6 8
Kantar 25–31 Oct 2023 1,418 17 27 16 5 21 4 10 6
INSA 27–30 Oct 2023 2,010 16.5 30.5 13 5.5 21 4 3.5 6 9.5
Forsa 24–30 Oct 2023 2,501 26 15 29 14 5 22 3 3 9 7
INSA 23–27 Oct 2023 1,216 16 31 13 6 21 4 3 6 10
Wahlkreisprognose 23–25 Oct 2023 1,300 24 14.5 30 14 6 22 4 9.5 8
Kantar 18–24 Oct 2023 1,422 16 28 16 5 20 5 10 8
INSA 20–23 Oct 2023 2,004 16.5 28.5 13 5.5 22 5 3.5 6 6.5
Forsa 17–23 Oct 2023 2,504 14 31 14 5 21 4 3 8 10
INSA 16–20 Oct 2023 1,202 16 29 13 5 22 5 4 6 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 17–19 Oct 2023 1,252 21 15 30 14 5 21 5 3 7 9
Allensbach 6–19 Oct 2023 1,010 17 34 13 5 19 3 4 5 15
Kantar 11–17 Oct 2023 1,388 14 31 15 5 21 4 3 7 10
INSA 13–16 Oct 2023 2,006 16.5 28 13 6 23 4.5 4 5 5
Forsa 10–16 Oct 2023 2,501 22 14 32 14 4 21 4 3 8 11
INSA 9–13 Oct 2023 1,202 17 28 13 6 23 5 4 4 5
Infratest dimap 10–11 Oct 2023 1,203 15 29 13 5 23 4 4 5 6
YouGov 6–10 Oct 2023 1,842 16 29 15 5 21 6 2 5 8
Kantar 4–10 Oct 2023 1,386 16 27 15 6 22 5 3 6 5
INSA 6–9 Oct 2023 2,001 17 27 13.5 6 22.5 5 3 6 4.5
Forsa 4–9 Oct 2023 2,003 18 28 14 6 20 4 10 8
Ipsos 6–8 Oct 2023 2,000 17 26 14 7 22 5 9 4
INSA 2–6 Oct 2023 1,201 17 27 14 6 22 5 3 6 5
INSA 29 Sep2 Oct 2023 2,010 18 26.5 13.5 7 22 5 2.5 5.5 4.5
Forsa 26–29 Sep 2023 2,004 25 18 28 14 5 20 4 11 8
INSA 25–29 Sep 2023 1,206 18 26 14 7 22 5 3 5 4
Kantar 26–28 Sep 2023 1,391 16 26 16 7 21 5 9 5
Infratest dimap 25–27 Sep 2023 1,302 16 28 14 6 22 4 3 7 6
Kantar 20–26 Sep 2023 1,356 16 27 15 7 21 5 9 6
Wahlkreisprognose 24–25 Sep 2023 1,200 24 18.5 24 15 6.5 23 3.5 9.5 1
INSA 22–25 Sep 2023 2,003 17.5 27 13.5 6.5 21.5 5 3 6 5.5
Forsa 19–25 Sep 2023 2,503 27 17 27 14 6 21 4 11 6
INSA 18–22 Sep 2023 1,203 17 27 14 6 22 5 3 6 5
Kantar 13–19 Sep 2023 1,370 17 27 15 7 21 4 9 6
INSA 15–18 Sep 2023 2,008 17 26.5 14.5 6 21 5 3.5 6.5 5.5
GMS 13–18 Sep 2023 1,002 16 27 15 6 23 4 9 4
Forsa 12–18 Sep 2023 2,504 27 17 27 14 6 22 4 10 5
INSA 11–15 Sep 2023 1,204 17 27 15 6 21 5 3 6 6
Allensbach 4–15 Sep 2023 1,030 18 30 14 7 19 5 7 11
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 12–14 Sep 2023 1,201 21 17 26 16 6 21 5 3 6 5
Infratest dimap 12–13 Sep 2023 1,222 16 28 15 7 22 4 8 6
Kantar 6–12 Sep 2023 1,442 16 26 15 7 22 5 9 4
INSA 8–11 Sep 2023 2,002 18 26.5 14 7 22 4.5 8 4.5
Forsa 5–11 Sep 2023 2,505 28 17 27 13 7 21 4 11 6
INSA 4–8 Sep 2023 1,201 18 27 13 7 22 5 8 5
YouGov 1–6 Sep 2023 1,833 16 29 14 5 23 5 1 8 6
Kantar 30 Aug5 Sep 2023 1,441 17 26 15 6 21 5 10 5
INSA 1–4 Sep 2023 2,010 17.5 26.5 13.5 7.5 21.5 4.5 9 5
Forsa 29 Aug4 Sep 2023 2,506 16 27 14 7 21 4 11 6
Ipsos 1–3 Sep 2023 2,000 17 26 14 8 21 6 8 5
INSA 28 Aug1 Sep 2023 1,195 18 27 13 7 21 5 9 6
Infratest dimap 28–30 Aug 2023 1,310 16 29 14 6 22 4 9 7
Kantar 23–29 Aug 2023 1,330 18 25 15 7 20 5 10 5
INSA 25–28 Aug 2023 2,006 18 26.5 14.5 7 21 4.5 8.5 5.5
Forsa 22–28 Aug 2023 2,504 29 17 26 14 7 21 4 11 5
Wahlkreisprognose 22–27 Aug 2023 1,200 26 20.5 25 13 7.5 22 4 8 3
INSA 21–25 Aug 2023 1,285 18 27 14 7 21 5 8 6
Kantar 16–22 Aug 2023 1,426 18 26 14 7 20 5 10 6
INSA 18–21 Aug 2023 2,008 18.5 26.5 14 8 20.5 5 7.5 6
Forsa 15–21 Aug 2023 2,506 29 18 26 14 7 20 4 11 6
INSA 14–18 Aug 2023 1,203 18 27 14 8 21 5 7 6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 15–17 Aug 2023 1,288 26 19 26 15 7 20 5 8 6
Infratest dimap 15–16 Aug 2023 1,216 17 27 14 7 21 4 10 6
Allensbach 4–16 Aug 2023 1,026 19 29 14 7 19 5 7 10
Kantar 9–15 Aug 2023 1,426 18 26 15 7 19 5 10 7
INSA 11–14 Aug 2023 2,002 19.5 26 13.5 7 21 4.5 8.5 5
Forsa 8–14 Aug 2023 2,501 28 17 25 15 7 21 4 11 4
INSA 7–11 Aug 2023 1,200 20 26 13 7 21 5 8 5
GMS 2–9 Aug 2023 1,004 17 27 14 7 21 4 10 6
Kantar 2–8 Aug 2023 1,330 19 27 16 6 18 6 8 8
INSA 4–7 Aug 2023 2,004 19 27 14.5 7.5 20.5 4.5 7 6.5
Forsa 1–7 Aug 2023 2,502 28 17 25 15 7 21 4 11 4
Ipsos 4–6 Aug 2023 1,000 17 26 15 8 22 5 7 4
INSA 31 Jul4 Aug 2023 1,203 19 27 14 7 21 5 7 6
Infratest dimap 31 Jul2 Aug 2023 1,297 17 27 15 7 21 4 9 6
Kantar 26 Jul1 Aug 2023 1,310 19 27 16 6 19 5 8 8
YouGov 25 Jul2 Aug 2023 1,756 17 27 14 5 23 6 1 7 4
INSA 28–31 Jul 2023 2,003 18.5 26.5 14 6.5 21.5 5 8 5
Forsa 25–31 Jul 2023 2,500 28 17 25 15 6 21 5 11 4
INSA 24–28 Jul 2023 1,200 18 26 14 7 22 5 8 4
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jul 2023 1,525 23 20.5 25 13 7 20.5 4.5 3 6.5 4.5
Kantar 19–25 Jul 2023 1,402 18 27 16 6 20 5 8 7
INSA 21–24 Jul 2023 2,006 18.5 26.5 14 7.5 21.5 4.5 7.5 5
Forsa 18–24 Jul 2023 2,504 28 18 27 14 6 19 5 11 8
INSA 17–21 Jul 2023 1,266 18 26 14 7 22 5 8 4
Infratest dimap 18–19 Jul 2023 1,235 18 28 13 7 20 4 10 8
Allensbach 7–19 Jul 2023 1,011 19 29 16 7 18 4 7 10
Kantar 12–18 Jul 2023 1,403 18 26 16 7 20 5 8 6
INSA 14–17 Jul 2023 2,004 18 27 14 7 20.5 5 8.5 6.5
Forsa 11–17 Jul 2023 2,502 26 18 26 15 7 20 4 10 6
INSA 10–14 Jul 2023 1,184 18 27 14 7 20 5 9 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 11–13 Jul 2023 1,347 27 17 27 16 7 20 4 9 7
Kantar 5–11 Jul 2023 1,393 19 26 15 7 20 5 8 6
INSA 7–10 Jul 2023 2,008 19 26 14 7 20.5 5 8.5 5.5
Ipsos 7–9 Jul 2023 1,000 18 26 14 7 22 5 8 4
Forsa 4–7 Jul 2023 2,003 25 18 27 14 7 19 5 10 8
INSA 3–7 Jul 2023 1,204 19 27 13 7 20 5 9 7
Infratest dimap 3–5 Jul 2023 1,305 18 28 14 7 20 4 9 8
YouGov 30 Jun4 Jul 2023 1,694 18 27 14 6 21 6 1 6 6
Kantar 28 Jun4 Jul 2023 1,403 18 27 15 6 20 5 9 7
INSA 30 Jun3 Jul 2023 2,897 19 25.5 14.5 6.5 21 5 8.5 4.5
GMS 28 Jun3 Jul 2023 1,005 17 28 14 7 20 4 10 8
Forsa 27 Jun3 Jul 2023 2,501 25 18 27 15 6 19 5 10 8
INSA 26–30 Jun 2023 1,401 19 26 14 7 20 5 9 6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 27–29 Jun 2023 1,379 24 18 28 16 6 19 5 8 9
Kantar 20–27 Jun 2023 1,408 18 26 15 7 19 5 10 7
INSA 23–26 Jun 2023 2,004 19.5 26.5 13.5 6.5 20.5 4.5 9 6
Forsa 20–26 Jun 2023 2,506 25 18 27 15 7 19 4 10 8
Wahlkreisprognose 22–25 Jun 2023 1,399 25 21 24 14.5 6 21 4.5 9 3
INSA 19–23 Jun 2023 1,203 20 26 13 7 20 4 10 6
Allensbach 9–22 Jun 2023 1,039 19 31 15 8 17 4 6 12
Infratest dimap 20–21 Jun 2023 1,191 17 29 15 6 19 4 10 10
Kantar 14–20 Jun 2023 1,406 19 27 15 7 20 4 8 7
INSA 16–19 Jun 2023 2,006 20 26.5 13.5 7.5 20 4.5 8 6.5
Forsa 13–19 Jun 2023 2,503 25 18 27 15 7 19 4 10 8
INSA 12–16 Jun 2023 1,203 20 27 13 8 19 4 9 7
Civey 9–16 Jun 2023 10,031 19 25 16 7 20 5 8 5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 13–15 Jun 2023 1,224 21 19 28 16 6 18 5 8 9
Kantar 6–13 Jun 2023 1,387 20 27 15 6 19 5 8 7
INSA 9–12 Jun 2023 2,003 20 27 13 8 19.5 4.5 8 7
Forsa 6–12 Jun 2023 2,504 24 18 29 14 7 19 4 9 10
INSA 5–9 Jun 2023 1,201 20 27 13 8 19 5 8 7
YouGov 2–7 Jun 2023 1,628 19 28 13 5 20 6 1 7 8
Kantar 31 May6 Jun 2023 1,402 20 27 15 7 18 5 8 7
INSA 2–5 Jun 2023 2,009 19 26.5 13.5 9 19 5 8 7.5
GMS 31 May5 Jun 2023 1,001 18 29 15 7 19 4 8 10
Forsa 30 May5 Jun 2023 2,505 23 18 30 14 7 17 4 10 12
Ipsos 2–4 Jun 2023 1,000 20 28 13 8 19 6 6 8
Wahlkreisprognose 1–2 Jun 2023 1,100 24 21 27 13 8 19 4 8 6
INSA 30 May2 Jun 2023 1,205 19 27 13 9 19 5 8 8
Infratest dimap 30–31 May 2023 1,302 18 29 15 7 18 4 9 11
INSA 26–30 May 2023 2,004 20.5 28 13 8.5 18 4.5 7.5 7.5
Kantar 23–30 May 2023 1,379 20 27 15 8 17 5 8 7
Forsa 23–26 May 2023 2,001 23 18 29 14 7 17 5 10 11
INSA 22–26 May 2023 1,207 20 28 13 9 18 4 8 8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 23–25 May 2023 1,257 24 20 28 16 6 17 5 8 8
Kantar 16–23 May 2023 1,321 18 29 15 8 16 5 9 11
INSA 19–22 May 2023 2,004 20.5 27.5 14 8.5 17 5 7.5 7
Forsa 16–22 May 2023 2,003 18 30 14 7 16 5 10 12
INSA 15–19 May 2023 1,195 21 28 14 8 17 5 7 7
Kantar 9–16 May 2023 1,401 18 28 16 8 16 5 9 10
INSA 12–15 May 2023 2,010 20 28 14.5 8.5 16.5 5 7.5 8
Forsa 9–15 May 2023 2,503 25 17 30 15 8 16 4 10 13
INSA 8–12 May 2023 1,205 20 28 15 9 16 4 8 8
Infratest dimap 9–10 May 2023 1,220 18 28 16 8 16 5 9 10
Allensbach 28 Apr10 May 2023 1,001 18 32 16 8 15 5 6 14
YouGov 5–9 May 2023 1,700 16 31 16 5 17 6 2 7 14
Kantar 3–9 May 2023 1,405 18 29 17 8 16 5 7 11
INSA 5–8 May 2023 2,008 20 28 14 9 16.5 4.5 8 8
Forsa 2–8 May 2023 2,505 18 29 16 7 16 4 10 11
Ipsos 5–7 May 2023 1,000 19 29 15 8 16 5 8 10
INSA 2–5 May 2023 1,204 20 28 14 9 16 4 9 8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 2–4 May 2023 1,225 28 19 30 17 6 15 5 8 11
Infratest dimap 2–3 May 2023 1,360 17 30 16 7 16 5 9 13
INSA 28 Apr2 May 2023 2,006 21 27 15 8 16.5 4.5 8 6
Kantar 26 Apr2 May 2023 1,394 17 31 16 8 16 4 8 14
Wahlkreisprognose 26–30 Apr 2023 1,400 24 21 27.5 14 10.5 15 3.5 8.5 6.5
Forsa 25–28 Apr 2023 2,007 17 30 16 7 16 4 10 13
INSA 24–28 Apr 2023 1,202 21 28 14 8 16 5 8 7
Kantar 18–25 Apr 2023 1,426 18 30 16 7 16 5 8 12
INSA 21–24 Apr 2023 2,004 20 27.5 14.5 9 16 4.5 8.5 7.5
Forsa 18–24 Apr 2023 2,506 23 18 30 16 7 15 4 10 12
INSA 17–21 Apr 2023 1,202 20 28 15 9 16 4 8 8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 18–20 Apr 2023 1,266 24 18 31 18 6 15 4 8 13
Kantar 12–18 Apr 2023 1,407 19 29 17 7 15 4 9 10
Allensbach 3–18 Apr 2023 1,007 20 31 15 7.5 16 5 5.5 11
INSA 14–17 Apr 2023 2,008 21 27.5 15 8 16 4.5 8 6.5
Forsa 11–17 Apr 2023 2,508 24 18 29 17 7 15 4 10 11
INSA 11–14 Apr 2023 1,204 21 27 15 8 16 5 8 6
Infratest dimap 11–12 Apr 2023 1,204 19 29 17 7 15 4 9 10
INSA 6–11 Apr 2023 2,005 20 27.5 15.5 8 16 4.5 8.5 7.5
Kantar 5–11 Apr 2023 1,367 21 27 17 8 14 5 8 6
Forsa 4–6 Apr 2023 1,501 25 18 30 18 7 14 4 10 12
INSA 3–6 Apr 2023 1,204 20 28 16 8 16 4 8 8
Infratest dimap 3–5 Apr 2023 1,304 18 30 17 7 15 4 9 12
Ipsos 3–4 Apr 2023 1,000 21 27 17 8 15 4 8 6
YouGov 30 Mar4 Apr 2023 1,522 20 30 15 6 17 6 1 6 10
Kantar 29 Mar4 Apr 2023 1,269 20 27 18 8 14 5 8 7
INSA 31 Mar3 Apr 2023 2,007 20 28 15.5 7.5 16 4.5 8.5 8
GMS 29 Mar3 Apr 2023 1,007 19 31 17 6 15 4 8 12
Forsa 28 Mar3 Apr 2023 2,502 25 18 29 18 7 14 4 10 11
INSA 27–31 Mar 2023 1,200 21 27 16 8 16 4 8 6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 28–30 Mar 2023 1,379 25 19 30 17 7 15 5 7 11
Kantar 21–28 Mar 2023 1,387 18 28 19 7 15 4 9 10
INSA 24–27 Mar 2023 2,004 20.5 28 16 8 15.5 4 8 7.5
Forsa 21–27 Mar 2023 2,506 24 19 29 18 6 14 4 10 10
Wahlkreisprognose 23–26 Mar 2023 1,200 23 23 26.5 15 7.5 13.5 4 10.5 3.5
INSA 20–24 Mar 2023 1,203 21 28 16 8 15 4 8 7
Kantar 14–21 Mar 2023 1,504 18 28 18 7 15 5 9 10
INSA 17–20 Mar 2023 2,006 21.5 28 15 7.5 16 5 7 6.5
Forsa 14–20 Mar 2023 2,503 23 19 29 18 6 14 5 9 10
INSA 13–17 Mar 2023 1,202 21 28 15 8 16 5 7 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 14–16 Mar 2023 1,146 24 21 29 19 5 14 5 7 8
Infratest dimap 14–15 Mar 2023 1,215 18 30 16 7 15 5 9 12
Allensbach 2–15 Mar 2023 1,101 21 31 16 6.5 15 4.5 6 10
Kantar 8–14 Mar 2023 1,432 19 28 18 7 15 5 8 9
INSA 10–13 Mar 2023 2,002 21.5 28.5 15.5 7.5 16 4 7 7
Forsa 7–13 Mar 2023 2,505 22 20 29 17 6 14 5 9 9
INSA 6–10 Mar 2023 1,268 21 29 16 7 15 4 8 8
YouGov 3–7 Mar 2023 1,649 20 28 16 6 17 7 1 6 8
Kantar 1–7 Mar 2023 1,504 19 29 19 7 13 5 8 10
INSA 3–6 Mar 2023 2,007 20 29.5 15.5 7.5 15.5 5 7 9.5
Forsa 28 Feb6 Mar 2023 2,504 20 31 17 5 13 5 9 11
Ipsos 3–4 Mar 2023 1,000 20 27 18 7 15 5 8 7
INSA 27 Feb3 Mar 2023 1,203 20 30 16 7 15 5 7 10
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 28 Feb2 Mar 2023 1,165 24 21 29 18 5 15 5 7 8
Infratest dimap 27 Feb1 Mar 2023 1,311 18 31 17 6 14 5 9 13
Wahlkreisprognose 27 Feb1 Mar 2023 1,419 25 23.5 32 15.5 5 14 3 7 8.5
Kantar 21–28 Feb 2023 1,722 20 28 18 6 14 6 8 8
INSA 24–27 Feb 2023 2,010 20.5 29.5 15.5 7.5 15.5 4.5 7 9
Forsa 21–27 Feb 2023 2,501 22 20 31 17 5 13 5 9 11
INSA 20–24 Feb 2023 1,200 21 29 16 7 15 5 7 8
Kantar 14–21 Feb 2023 1,373 21 29 17 6 15 5 7 8
INSA 17–20 Feb 2023 2,006 21.5 29 15.5 7 15.5 5 6.5 7.5
GMS 15–20 Feb 2023 1,004 19 29 17 7 15 5 8 10
Forsa 14–20 Feb 2023 2,510 19 31 17 6 13 5 9 12
INSA 13–17 Feb 2023 1,207 21 29 16 7 16 5 6 8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 14–16 Feb 2023 1,361 25 20 30 19 5 14 5 7 10
Infratest dimap 14–15 Feb 2023 1,216 19 29 17 6 15 5 9 10
Kantar 8–14 Feb 2023 1,386 21 26 18 7 15 5 8 5
INSA 10–13 Feb 2023 2,005 20 28 16 7.5 16 5 7.5 8
Forsa 7–13 Feb 2023 2,505 23 21 28 18 6 13 5 9 7
INSA 6–10 Feb 2023 1,457 20 28 16 8 16 5 7 8
YouGov 3–9 Feb 2023 1,736 19 27 16 6 17 6 2 7 8
Allensbach 27 Jan9 Feb 2023 1,088 22.5 30 16 7.5 14 4 6 7.5
Kantar 31 Jan7 Feb 2023 1,410 21 25 19 7 15 5 8 4
INSA 3–6 Feb 2023 2,008 21 27 16 8 15.5 5 7.5 6
Forsa 31 Jan6 Feb 2023 2,502 24 21 28 18 7 13 5 8 7
Ipsos 3 Feb 2023 1,000 20 26 17 8 16 5 8 6
INSA 30 Jan3 Feb 2023 1,462 21 28 16 8 15 5 7 7
Infratest dimap 30 Jan1 Feb 2023 1,328 20 27 18 7 15 4 9 7
Kantar 25–31 Jan 2023 1,405 21 25 19 7 15 5 8 4
INSA 27–30 Jan 2023 2,007 20.5 28.5 16 7.5 15 5 7.5 8
Forsa 24–30 Jan 2023 2,503 20 27 19 7 13 5 9 7
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jan 2023 1,421 26 24 24 18 6.5 14.5 3.5 9.5 Tie
INSA 24–27 Jan 2023 1,506 20 29 16 7 15 5 8 9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 24–26 Jan 2023 1,345 26 21 27 19 6 15 6 6 6
Kantar 18–24 Jan 2023 1,392 21 27 19 7 14 5 7 6
INSA 20–23 Jan 2023 2,009 20.5 28 16.5 7.5 15 4.5 8 7.5
Forsa 17–23 Jan 2023 2,502 23 19 28 20 7 12 5 9 8
INSA 16–21 Jan 2023 1,504 20 28 16 7 15 5 9 8
Infratest dimap 17–18 Jan 2023 1,211 19 29 19 6 14 4 9 10
Allensbach 5–18 Jan 2023 1,023 21 31 17 6 14 4.5 6.5 10
Kantar 11–17 Jan 2023 1,418 20 27 20 6 14 5 8 7
Wahlkreisprognose 15–16 Jan 2023 1,500 21.5 24.5 17 8 16.5 3.5 9 3
INSA 13–16 Jan 2023 2,006 21 28 16.5 7.5 15 5 7 7
Forsa 10–16 Jan 2023 2,500 24 18 28 20 7 13 5 9 8
INSA 9–13 Jan 2023 1,202 20 27 17 8 15 5 8 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 10–12 Jan 2023 1,259 26 20 27 21 6 14 6 6 6
Civey 5–12 Jan 2023 10,065 18 28 20 7 14 5 8 8
Ipsos 9–10 Jan 2023 1,000 19 27 18 7 15 6 8 8
YouGov 6–10 Jan 2023 1,561 18 27 17 8 16 6 1 6 9
Kantar 4–10 Jan 2023 1,398 19 28 18 7 14 4 10 9
INSA 6–9 Jan 2023 2,006 20 27 17.5 7.5 15 5 8 7
Forsa 3–9 Jan 2023 2,502 23 18 29 20 7 13 5 8 9
INSA 2–6 Jan 2023 1,465 20 27 18 7 15 5 8 7
Infratest dimap 2–4 Jan 2023 1,314 18 29 19 6 15 5 8 10
GMS 28 Dec3 Jan 2023 1,002 19 29 17 7 14 5 9 10
INSA 29 Dec2 Jan 2023 2,010 20 27 17.5 7.5 15 4.5 8.5 7
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 23.4 25.7 24.2 14.7 11.4 10.4 4.9 2.4 6.3 1.6

2022

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW Others Lead
INSA 27–29 Dec 2022 1,205 20 26 18 7 15 5 9 6
INSA 19–22 Dec 2022 1,203 21 27 17 8 14 5 8 6
YouGov 16–21 Dec 2022 1,608 19 30 17 7 14 5 1 8 11
INSA 16–19 Dec 2022 2,005 21 27.5 17.5 7.5 14.5 4.5 7.5 6.5
Forsa 13–19 Dec 2022 2,503 24 19 28 19 7 13 5 9 9
INSA 12–16 Dec 2022 1,501 21 27 18 7 15 5 7 6
Kantar 13–15 Dec 2022 1,717 19 29 18 7 14 5 8 10
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 12–15 Dec 2022 1,365 22 20 28 20 6 15 5 6 8
Allensbach 2–15 Dec 2022 1,035 22 30 18 7.5 12 4.5 6 8
INSA 9–12 Dec 2022 2,007 20 28.5 18 7 15.5 4.5 6.5 8.5
Kantar 7–12 Dec 2022 1,429 18 28 19 7 14 5 9 9
Forsa 6–12 Dec 2022 2,506 24 19 29 19 7 12 5 9 10
Wahlkreisprognose 7–9 Dec 2022 1,500 22.5 25 16.5 7 14.5 4 10.5 2.5
INSA 2–9 Dec 2022 1,502 20 28 18 7 15 4 8 8
Infratest dimap 6–7 Dec 2022 1,259 18 29 18 6 15 5 9 11
Kantar 30 Nov6 Dec 2022 1,443 19 27 19 6 15 5 9 8
INSA 3–5 Dec 2022 2,008 20.5 28 17 7 14.5 5 8 7.5
Forsa 29 Nov5 Dec 2022 2,500 25 19 29 19 7 12 5 9 10
Ipsos 2–3 Dec 2022 1,000 19 27 19 7 14 6 8 8
INSA 28 Nov2 Dec 2022 1,502 20 28 17 7 15 5 8 8
Civey 25 Nov2 Dec 2022 10,016 19 28 21 7 13 4 8 7
GMS 28 Nov1 Dec 2022 1,005 18 28 21 7 12 4 10 7
Infratest dimap 28–30 Nov 2022 1,318 18 30 18 5 15 5 9 12
Kantar 22–29 Nov 2022 1,414 18 27 20 7 14 5 9 7
INSA 25–28 Nov 2022 2,006 21 27 17.5 7 15 5 7.5 6
Forsa 22–28 Nov 2022 2,505 24 19 29 20 6 12 5 9 9
INSA 21–25 Nov 2022 1,501 21 27 18 7 15 5 7 6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 22–24 Nov 2022 1,273 26 19 28 22 5 14 6 6 6
Kantar 15–22 Nov 2022 1,430 19 29 19 7 13 4 9 10
INSA 18–21 Nov 2022 2,004 20 28 17 7.5 15 5 7.5 8
Forsa 15–21 Nov 2022 2,502 25 19 28 20 6 13 5 9 8
INSA 14–18 Nov 2022 1,314 20 28 17 7 15 5 8 8
Allensbach 5–17 Nov 2022 1,042 20 29.5 20 7 14 4 5.5 9.5
Kantar 9–15 Nov 2022 1,443 20 27 19 7 13 5 9 7
INSA 11–14 Nov 2022 2,010 20.5 27.5 17.5 7 15 4.5 8 7
Forsa 8–14 Nov 2022 2,503 25 19 28 20 6 14 4 9 8
INSA 8–11 Nov 2022 1,255 21 28 18 7 15 4 7 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 8–10 Nov 2022 1,310 23 19 28 22 5 15 5 6 6
Infratest dimap 8–9 Nov 2022 1,225 18 28 19 7 14 4 10 9
YouGov 4–9 Nov 2022 1,608 18 29 20 5 16 7 1 5 9
Wahlkreisprognose 7–8 Nov 2022 1,300 24.5 25.5 16 8.5 14 3.5 8 1
Kantar 2–8 Nov 2022 1,442 21 26 20 7 14 5 7 5
Ipsos 4–7 Nov 2022 1,000 19 27 20 7 13 6 8 7
INSA 4–7 Nov 2022 2,007 21 27 17.5 8 14.5 4.5 7.5 6
Forsa 1–7 Nov 2022 2,502 24 19 28 19 6 14 5 9 9
INSA 1–4 Nov 2022 1,286 21 27 17 8 15 5 7 6
Infratest dimap 31 Oct2 Nov 2022 1,307 19 28 19 6 14 5 9 9
Kantar 25 Oct2 Nov 2022 1,516 21 26 19 8 14 5 7 5
INSA 28–31 Oct 2022 2,009 20.5 26 18 9 15 4.5 7 5.5
Forsa 25–31 Oct 2022 2,503 23 20 27 20 6 14 4 9 7
INSA 24–28 Oct 2022 1,230 20 26 18 9 15 5 7 6
Kantar 19–25 Oct 2022 1,406 21 25 20 7 15 5 7 4
GMS 19–25 Oct 2022 1,002 18 28 20 6 15 4 9 8
INSA 21–24 Oct 2022 2,007 20.5 26.5 17.5 8.5 15 4.5 7.5 6
Forsa 18–24 Oct 2022 2,502 22 19 28 20 6 14 4 9 8
Wahlkreisprognose 18–21 Oct 2022 1,910 22 25 17.5 8 16 3.5 8 3
INSA 17–21 Oct 2022 1,503 20 27 18 8 15 5 7 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 18–20 Oct 2022 1,389 22 19 28 21 6 15 5 6 7
Kantar 12–18 Oct 2022 1,435 22 23 20 7 16 4 8 1
INSA 14–17 Oct 2022 2,000 19.5 27.5 18.5 7.5 15.5 4.5 7 8
Forsa 11–17 Oct 2022 2,505 20 27 20 6 14 4 9 7
INSA 10–14 Oct 2022 1,327 19 28 18 8 15 5 7 9
Allensbach 1–13 Oct 2022 1,021 19 30.5 19 7 14 5 5.5 11.5
Infratest dimap 11–12 Oct 2022 1,225 19 26 20 6 15 5 9 6
YouGov 7–12 Oct 2022 1,617 16 29 19 6 15 6 2 7 10
Kantar 5–11 Oct 2022 1,433 20 25 21 6 15 5 8 4
Forsa 4–10 Oct 2022 2,501 24 18 28 20 6 14 5 9 8
INSA 4–10 Oct 2022 2,005 19.5 27.5 19 7.5 15 5 6.5 8
Ipsos 7–9 Oct 2022 1,000 18 27 21 7 13 6 8 6
INSA 4–7 Oct 2022 1,315 19 27 19 8 15 5 7 8
Wahlkreisprognose 3–6 Oct 2022 1,923 21 25 16 9 16 4.5 8.5 4
Infratest dimap 3–5 Oct 2022 1,307 17 28 19 7 15 5 9 9
Kantar 28 Sep4 Oct 2022 1,864 18 27 20 8 14 6 7 7
INSA 30 Sep3 Oct 2022 2,008 19 27.5 18.5 8 15 5.5 6.5 8.5
Forsa 27–30 Sep 2022 2,001 25 18 28 20 6 14 5 9 8
INSA 26–30 Sep 2022 1,210 19 28 18 8 15 6 6 9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 27–29 Sep 2022 1,355 27 18 27 22 7 14 5 7 5
Kantar 22–27 Sep 2022 1,381 19 27 21 8 13 5 7 6
INSA 23–26 Sep 2022 2,102 18 27.5 19.5 8 15 5.5 6.5 8
Forsa 20–26 Sep 2022 2,505 23 18 28 20 7 13 5 9 8
INSA 19–23 Sep 2022 1,255 19 28 19 8 14 5 7 9
Wahlkreisprognose 20–22 Sep 2022 1,700 22 26 18 8 13.5 4 8.5 4
Kantar 14–20 Sep 2022 1,444 19 27 20 7 14 5 8 7
GMS 14–20 Sep 2022 1,003 18 28 21 7 13 4 9 7
INSA 16–19 Sep 2022 2,080 18.5 28.5 19 7.5 14 5.5 7 9.5
Forsa 13–19 Sep 2022 2,506 23 19 28 19 7 13 5 9 9
INSA 12–16 Sep 2022 1,476 19 28 19 7 13 6 8 9
Infratest dimap 13–14 Sep 2022 1,224 17 28 21 7 14 5 8 7
Allensbach 1–14 Sep 2022 1,030 20 30 19 7 13 5.5 5.5 10
YouGov 9–13 Sep 2022 1,635 16 29 19 6 14 7 1 7 10
Kantar 7–13 Sep 2022 1,443 20 26 21 7 13 5 8 5
Forsa 6–13 Sep 2022 2,501 19 28 20 6 13 5 9 8
INSA 9–12 Sep 2022 2,039 18 28 20 8 13.5 5.5 7 8
Wahlkreisprognose 9–11 Sep 2022 1,300 20 25.5 19 7 14 5.5 9 5.5
INSA 5–9 Sep 2022 1,443 19 27 20 8 13 5 8 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 6–8 Sep 2022 1,299 25 19 28 23 6 13 5 6 5
Kantar 31 Aug6 Sep 2022 1,416 20 25 21 8 12 5 9 4
INSA 2–5 Sep 2022 2,004 18 28 20.5 7.5 13.5 5.5 7 7.5
Forsa 30 Aug5 Sep 2022 2,500 25 18 26 24 7 11 5 9 2
Ipsos 2–4 Sep 2022 1,000 19 26 21 8 12 6 8 5
INSA 29 Aug2 Sep 2022 1,203 19 28 20 8 13 5 7 8
Infratest dimap 29–31 Aug 2022 1,324 17 27 22 8 13 5 8 5
Kantar 24–30 Aug 2022 1,411 21 24 22 8 12 5 8 2
INSA 26–29 Aug 2022 2,138 19 27.5 20.5 8 13 5.5 6.5 7
Forsa 23–29 Aug 2022 2,503 25 17 26 25 7 11 5 9 1
INSA 22–26 Aug 2022 1,204 20 28 21 8 12 5 6 7
Civey 18–25 Aug 2022 10,014 19 27 22 7 11 5 9 5
Kantar 17–23 Aug 2022 1,431 19 26 23 7 12 5 8 3
INSA 19–22 Aug 2022 2,091 18.5 28 21 7.5 13 5.5 6.5 7
Forsa 16–22 Aug 2022 2,505 25 18 26 25 7 11 4 9 1
INSA 15–19 Aug 2022 1,427 19 28 21 8 12 5 7 7
Wahlkreisprognose 16–18 Aug 2022 1,433 18 25 26 6 14 3 8 1
Allensbach 5–18 Aug 2022 1,038 19.5 29 21 8 12 5 5.5 8
Infratest dimap 16–17 Aug 2022 1,273 18 28 23 7 12 4 8 5
Kantar 10–16 Aug 2022 1,429 20 28 23 6 12 4 7 5
INSA 12–15 Aug 2022 2,146 19 28 22 8 12 5 6 6
Forsa 9–15 Aug 2022 2,500 28 18 26 25 6 11 4 10 1
INSA 8–12 Aug 2022 1,502 19 27 22 9 12 5 6 5
Wahlkreisprognose 6–12 Aug 2022 2,920 16 24 25.5 8 14.5 3.5 8.5 1.5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 9–11 Aug 2022 1,389 25 19 26 26 7 12 4 6 Tie
YouGov 5–10 Aug 2022 1,595 19 27 21 6 14 6 1 7 6
Kantar 3–9 Aug 2022 1,422 21 27 22 7 11 5 7 5
Ipsos 5–8 Aug 2022 1,000 19 27 22 8 11 5 8 5
INSA 5–8 Aug 2022 2,099 18 27 21.5 8 12.5 5.5 7.5 5.5
Forsa 2–8 Aug 2022 2,504 26 18 26 24 7 10 5 10 2
INSA 1–5 Aug 2022 1,701 19 27 21 9 12 5 7 6
Infratest dimap 1–3 Aug 2022 1,313 17 28 23 7 13 4 8 5
Kantar 26 Jul2 Aug 2022 1,426 21 25 23 6 11 5 9 2
INSA 29 Jul1 Aug 2022 2,144 18.5 26.5 22 8 12 5 8 4.5
Forsa 26 Jul1 Aug 2022 2,504 18 27 24 7 10 5 9 3
INSA 25–29 Jul 2022 1,202 19 26 22 9 12 5 7 4
Kantar 19–26 Jul 2022 1,413 21 26 22 7 11 5 8 4
INSA 22–25 Jul 2022 2,043 18.5 26.5 22 8 12 5 8 4.5
GMS 20–25 Jul 2022 1,005 18 27 23 9 10 5 8 4
Forsa 19–25 Jul 2022 2,510 22 19 26 24 6 10 5 10 2
INSA 18–22 Jul 2022 1,501 18 27 23 8 12 5 7 4
Allensbach 8–21 Jul 2022 1,006 22 27.5 22 7 11 5 5.5 5.5
Infratest dimap 19–20 Jul 2022 1,210 19 27 22 7 12 4 9 5
Wahlkreisprognose 19–20 Jul 2022 1,400 22 24 24 8.5 10.5 3.5 7.5 Tie
Kantar 13–19 Jul 2022 1,392 19 25 23 8 11 5 9 2
INSA 15–18 Jul 2022 2,062 18.5 26.5 22 8 12 4.5 8.5 4.5
Forsa 12–18 Jul 2022 2,501 20 26 24 6 9 5 10 2
Civey 11–18 Jul 2022 10,018 20 27 23 7 10 5 8 4
INSA 11–15 Jul 2022 1,277 19 26 22 8 11 5 9 4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 12–14 Jul 2022 1,167 25 21 26 25 6 11 5 6 1
Kantar 6–12 Jul 2022 1,433 20 25 24 8 11 4 8 1
INSA 8–11 Jul 2022 2,044 20 27 21 8.5 11 4.5 8 6
Forsa 5–11 Jul 2022 2,503 22 19 26 24 7 9 5 10 2
INSA 4–8 Jul 2022 1,202 19 28 22 8 10 4 9 6
Wahlkreisprognose 5–6 Jul 2022 1,700 22 25 22 8 10 4 9 3
Infratest dimap 4–6 Jul 2022 1,327 19 27 23 8 11 4 8 4
YouGov 1–5 Jul 2022 1,655 19 28 20 7 12 5 1 8 8
Kantar 28 Jun5 Jul 2022 1,426 20 25 24 7 10 5 9 1
INSA 1–4 Jul 2022 2,066 19 28 21 9.5 11 4 7.5 7
Forsa 28 Jun4 Jul 2022 2,502 23 20 26 24 8 9 4 9 2
Ipsos 1–2 Jul 2022 1,000 22 26 20 9 10 5 8 4
INSA 27 Jun2 Jul 2022 1,253 20 27 22 9 11 4 7 5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 28–30 Jun 2022 1,186 20 21 27 25 6 10 5 6 2
Kantar 21–28 Jun 2022 1,410 20 26 25 8 10 4 7 1
INSA 24–27 Jun 2022 2,101 20 27 21.5 9 10.5 4 8 5.5
Forsa 21–27 Jun 2022 2,500 22 20 26 24 8 9 4 9 2
Wahlkreisprognose 23–26 Jun 2022 2,430 22 25 21 7 12 4 9 3
INSA 20–24 Jun 2022 1,414 20 26 22 9 11 4 8 4
Infratest dimap 21–22 Jun 2022 1,248 20 26 23 8 12 4 7 3
Kantar 14–21 Jun 2022 1,769 20 26 24 8 10 4 8 2
INSA 17–20 Jun 2022 2,063 19.5 28 21 9.5 10 4 8 7
GMS 15–20 Jun 2022 1,003 21 29 21 8 8 4 9 8
Forsa 14–20 Jun 2022 2,504 25 19 28 23 8 9 4 9 5
INSA 13–17 Jun 2022 1,501 20 27 21 9 10 4 9 6
Allensbach 3–17 Jun 2022 1,046 23 27 22 8 10 4.5 5.5 4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 13–15 Jun 2022 1,133 22 22 26 25 6 10 5 6 1
Kantar 8–14 Jun 2022 1,895 20 28 22 8 9 4 9 6
INSA 10–13 Jun 2022 2,082 20 27.5 21 9.5 10.5 3.5 8 6.5
Forsa 7–13 Jun 2022 2,511 20 20 27 23 8 9 4 9 4
INSA 7–10 Jun 2022 1,203 21 27 21 9 10 4 8 6
Wahlkreisprognose 7–8 Jun 2022 1,603 22 24 20 7 13 6 8 2
Ipsos 3–7 Jun 2022 1,000 23 27 19 9 10 4 8 4
YouGov 3–7 Jun 2022 1,633 18 30 21 7 12 6 1 6 9
INSA 3–7 Jun 2022 2,055 20 27 21.5 9.5 10.5 3.5 8 5.5
Kantar 1–7 Jun 2022 1,428 22 26 23 9 8 4 8 3
Forsa 31 May3 Jun 2022 2,002 20 19 27 23 8 10 4 9 4
INSA 30 May3 Jun 2022 1,501 22 27 20 9 9 4 9 5
Infratest dimap 30 May1 Jun 2022 1,226 21 27 21 8 11 4 8 6
Wahlkreisprognose 30 May1 Jun 2022 1,500 18 27 25.5 8 9 4 8.5 1.5
Kantar 24–31 May 2022 1,428 20 28 23 8 8 4 9 5
INSA 27–30 May 2022 2,056 22 27 20.5 8.5 10 3.5 8.5 5
GMS 25–30 May 2022 1,005 22 30 20 8 7 4 9 8
Forsa 24–30 May 2022 2,004 21 19 29 24 7 9 4 8 5
INSA 23–27 May 2022 1,337 23 27 19 9 9 4 9 4
Kantar 17–24 May 2022 1,422 21 27 21 8 9 5 9 6
INSA 20–23 May 2022 2,100 22 28.5 20 8.5 10.5 3 7.5 6.5
Forsa 17–23 May 2022 2,505 22 21 28 23 7 9 4 8 5
Civey 16–23 May 2022 10,050 22 27 20 8 11 5 7 5
INSA 16–20 May 2022 1,214 21 28 19 10 10 3 9 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 17–19 May 2022 1,162 22 22 26 24 7 10 4 7 2
Allensbach 6–18 May 2022 1,118 24 29 20.5 8 9 4.5 5 5
Kantar 11–17 May 2022 1,425 22 26 21 8 10 5 8 4
Wahlkreisprognose 15–16 May 2022 1,302 23.5 29 23 5.5 7.5 2.5 9 5.5
INSA 13–16 May 2022 2,147 21.5 28 20.5 9 11 3 7 6.5
Forsa 10–16 May 2022 2,502 23 22 27 22 8 8 4 9 5
INSA 9–13 May 2022 1,501 22 27 18 10 10 4 9 5
Infratest dimap 10–11 May 2022 1,226 22 26 20 8 11 4 9 4
YouGov 6–10 May 2022 1,659 20 28 19 9 10 5 1 7 8
Kantar 4–10 May 2022 1,426 22 26 20 9 10 5 8 4
Wahlkreisprognose 8–9 May 2022 1,610 24 23.5 22.5 10.5 9 3 7.5 0.5
INSA 6–9 May 2022 2,086 22.5 27.5 19 10 10.5 3.5 7 5
Forsa 3–9 May 2022 2,501 23 26 21 9 9 4 8 3
Ipsos 6 May 2022 906 24 25 16 11 11 5 8 1
INSA 2–6 May 2022 1,501 23 27 18 11 10 3 8 4
pollytix 29 Apr4 May 2022 1,303 22 26 17 12 12 5 6 4
Kantar 26 Apr3 May 2022 1,570 23 27 19 9 9 5 8 4
INSA 29 Apr2 May 2022 2,146 23 27 19 9.5 10.5 4.5 6.5 4
Forsa 26 Apr2 May 2022 2,508 23 26 20 9 9 4 9 3
INSA 25–29 Apr 2022 1,202 23 26 18 10 11 4 8 3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 26–28 Apr 2022 1,170 21 25 23 21 9 11 4 7 2
Infratest dimap 25–27 Apr 2022 1,314 24 26 18 9 11 3 9 2
Kantar 19–26 Apr 2022 1,431 23 25 20 9 9 5 9 2
INSA 22–25 Apr 2022 2,056 24 26.5 18 9 11.5 4.5 6.5 2.5
GMS 20–25 Apr 2022 1,003 26 26 18 8 9 4 9 Tie
Forsa 19–25 Apr 2022 2,507 25 24 25 20 9 9 4 9 1
Civey 8–25 Apr 2022 10,011 24 25 20 9 11 4 7 1
Wahlkreisprognose 23 Apr 2022 1,007 24.5 22.5 22 11 8.5 3 8.5 2
INSA 19–22 Apr 2022 1,296 24 26 18 9 11 5 7 2
Kantar 12–19 Apr 2022 1,715 25 25 19 9 9 4 9 Tie
INSA 15–18 Apr 2022 2,073 23.5 26 19 9 11 4.5 7 2.5
Forsa 12–14 Apr 2022 1,501 25 25 25 20 8 9 4 9 Tie
INSA 11–14 Apr 2022 1,402 25 26 17 10 10 5 7 1
Infratest dimap 11–12 Apr 2022 1,226 24 26 18 8 11 4 9 2
YouGov 8–12 Apr 2022 1,643 21 26 18 9 12 6 1 7 5
Kantar 6–12 Apr 2022 1,960 26 25 19 8 10 4 8 1
INSA 8–11 Apr 2022 2,061 25 27 17.5 9 11 4.5 6 2
Forsa 5–11 Apr 2022 2,500 25 27 24 19 8 9 4 9 3
INSA 4–8 Apr 2022 1,503 25 26 16 10 11 4 8 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 5–7 Apr 2022 1,230 21 27 24 19 8 11 4 7 3
Infratest dimap 4–6 Apr 2022 1,325 24 25 19 9 11 4 8 1
Allensbach 25 Mar6 Apr 2022 1,075 28 24 17 9 9 6 7 4
Kantar 30 Mar5 Apr 2022 1,437 27 25 19 8 10 4 7 2
Wahlkreisprognose 3–4 Apr 2022 2,450 27 25.5 19 8.5 9 3 8 1.5
INSA 1–4 Apr 2022 2,063 25 26 17.5 10.5 10.5 4.5 6 1
Ipsos 1 Apr 2022 912 25 23 15 12 12 6 7 2
Forsa 29 Mar4 Apr 2022 2,508 24 27 24 19 8 9 4 9 3
INSA 25 Mar1 Apr 2022 1,501 26 26 16 10 11 4 7 Tie
Kantar 23–29 Mar 2022 1,428 25 26 18 9 9 5 8 1
INSA 25–28 Mar 2022 2,070 25 26 16.5 10 10.5 5.5 6.5 1
Forsa 22–28 Mar 2022 2,507 22 24 26 18 9 9 5 9 2
INSA 21–25 Mar 2022 1,205 26 26 16 10 11 5 6 Tie
Kantar 16–22 Mar 2022 1,429 26 25 18 9 9 6 7 1
INSA 18–21 Mar 2022 2,122 24.5 26.5 16.5 11 11 4.5 6 2
Forsa 15–21 Mar 2022 2,501 22 23 27 18 10 9 5 8 4
Allensbach 9–21 Mar 2022 1,041 25 25 17 10.5 10 5 7.5 Tie
Wahlkreisprognose 18–20 Mar 2022 1,923 26.5 25.5 18.5 10 8.5 3 8 1
INSA 14–18 Mar 2022 1,198 26 26 16 10 10 5 7 Tie
Infratest dimap 15–16 Mar 2022 1,254 25 26 17 9 11 4 8 1
Kantar 9–15 Mar 2022 1,416 26 26 19 8 9 5 7 Tie
INSA 11–14 Mar 2022 2,073 25 25.5 15.5 10.5 10.5 5 8 0.5
Forsa 8–14 Mar 2022 2,502 25 26 18 9 9 5 8 1
INSA 7–11 Mar 2022 1,201 26 24 16 10 10 6 8 2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 8–10 Mar 2022 1,345 19 27 24 18 9 10 5 7 3
YouGov 4–8 Mar 2022 1,629 23 26 16 9 11 6 1 7 3
Kantar 2–8 Mar 2022 1,426 25 26 19 8 10 5 7 1
INSA 4–7 Mar 2022 2,103 25 24.5 15.5 11 10.5 6 7.5 0.5
Ipsos 4 Mar 2022 935 25 24 16 11 11 6 7 1
Forsa 1–7 Mar 2022 2,501 22 26 25 18 9 7 6 9 1
INSA 28 Feb4 Mar 2022 1,185 25 25 15 11 11 6 7 Tie
Infratest dimap 28 Feb2 Mar 2022 1,320 25 26 16 9 11 5 8 1
Kantar 23 Feb1 Mar 2022 1,405 26 26 17 8 10 6 7 Tie
INSA 25–28 Feb 2022 2,067 23 27 15.5 11 10.5 6.5 6.5 4
Forsa 24–28 Feb 2022 1,500 25 26 18 9 7 6 9 1
Wahlkreisprognose 24–27 Feb 2022 2,030 26 23.5 17.5 11.5 10.5 4 7 2.5
GMS 23–26 Feb 2022 1,005 24 27 15 10 9 6 9 3
INSA 21–25 Feb 2022 1,405 23 26 15 11 12 7 6 3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 21–23 Feb 2022 1,103 20 26 24 17 9 11 6 7 2
Kantar 16–22 Feb 2022 1,432 26 25 17 9 10 7 6 1
INSA 18–21 Feb 2022 1,539 23 27 14.5 12.5 11 6 6 4
Forsa 15–21 Feb 2022 2,500 23 23 27 17 9 9 6 9 4
INSA 14–18 Feb 2022 1,303 22 27 15 11 12 7 6 5
Infratest dimap 15–16 Feb 2022 1,202 24 26 15 9 12 5 9 2
Allensbach 3–16 Feb 2022 1,033 23 27 15 10.5 10 6 6.5 4
Wahlkreisprognose 13–15 Feb 2022 1,200 25 24.5 17 9.5 9.5 6 8.5 0.5
YouGov 10–15 Feb 2022 1,659 21 27 17 9 11 7 1 6 6
Kantar 8–15 Feb 2022 1,434 24 24 16 10 12 6 8 Tie
INSA 11–14 Feb 2022 2,141 22.5 26 15 12 12 6 6.5 3.5
Forsa 8–14 Feb 2022 2,504 22 23 27 16 9 9 6 10 4
INSA 7–11 Feb 2022 1,504 22 26 16 11 12 6 7 4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 8–10 Feb 2022 1,224 18 25 25 16 9 11 6 8 Tie
pollytix 4–8 Feb 2022 1,547 23 27 15 9 12 8 6 4
Kantar 1–8 Feb 2022 1,287 22 26 16 10 12 6 8 4
INSA 4–7 Feb 2022 2,067 23 26 15 12 11 7 6 3
Ipsos 4 Feb 2022 910 25 24 16 8 12 8 7 1
Forsa 1–7 Feb 2022 2,502 23 22 27 16 9 10 6 10 5
INSA 1–4 Feb 2022 1,202 22 27 16 11 11 6 7 5
Wahlkreisprognose 1–3 Feb 2022 2,330 21 28 19 8.5 10 5.5 8 7
Civey 22 Jan3 Feb 2022 10,070 25 25 15 10 11 6 8 Tie
Infratest dimap 31 Jan2 Feb 2022 1,339 22 27 16 10 12 5 8 5
Kantar 26 Jan1 Feb 2022 1,410 24 24 17 9 11 6 9 Tie
INSA 28–31 Jan 2022 2,247 24 25 15 12.5 10 6.5 7 1
Forsa 25–31 Jan 2022 2,501 23 23 27 16 9 10 6 9 4
INSA 24–28 Jan 2022 1,383 26 24 16 11 11 6 6 2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 25–27 Jan 2022 1,249 21 24 23 18 10 10 7 8 1
YouGov 21–25 Jan 2022 1,602 23 26 15 8 12 8 2 7 3
Kantar 19–25 Jan 2022 1,415 24 24 18 10 10 6 8 Tie
INSA 21–24 Jan 2022 2,146 26 24 15 11.5 11 6 6.5 2
Forsa 18–24 Jan 2022 2,502 22 25 24 16 10 10 6 9 1
INSA 17–21 Jan 2022 1,204 26 23 16 12 12 6 5 3
Allensbach 6–20 Jan 2022 1,090 27.5 23 14.5 12.5 10 5.5 7 4.5
Infratest dimap 18–19 Jan 2022 1,424 25 24 16 10 12 5 8 1
Wahlkreisprognose 15–18 Jan 2022 1,920 27.5 22.5 17 10.5 10 4.5 8 5
Kantar 12–18 Jan 2022 1,441 26 22 17 9 12 6 8 4
INSA 14–17 Jan 2022 2,130 26 22.5 15.5 12 12 6 6 3.5
Forsa 11–17 Jan 2022 2,504 22 25 25 16 10 10 5 9 Tie
INSA 10–14 Jan 2022 1,504 27 23 16 11 12 5 6 4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 11–13 Jan 2022 1,128 21 27 22 16 11 10 6 8 5
Kantar 5–11 Jan 2022 1,426 26 23 17 10 10 6 8 3
INSA 7–10 Jan 2022 2,107 26.5 23 15 12 12 5 6.5 3.5
Forsa 3–10 Jan 2022 3,003 22 25 25 17 10 9 5 9 Tie
Ipsos 6–9 Jan 2022 929 25 21 15 11 12 6 10 4
INSA 3–7 Jan 2022 1,504 27 23 16 12 11 5 6 4
Infratest dimap 3–5 Jan 2022 1,325 26 23 16 11 11 5 8 3
INSA 30 Dec3 Jan 2022 2,060 26.5 23 15.5 11 11.5 6 6.5 3.5
GMS 29 Dec3 Jan 2022 1,003 26 24 16 12 11 4 7 2
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 23.4 25.7 24.2 14.7 11.4 10.4 4.9 2.4 6.3 1.5

2021

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW Others Lead
INSA 27–30 Dec 2021 1,201 27 24 16 10 11 5 7 3
INSA 20–23 Dec 2021 1,195 28 23 15 11 11 5 7 5
INSA 17–20 Dec 2021 2,075 27.5 21.5 14.5 13 11.5 5.5 6.5 6
Forsa 14–20 Dec 2021 2,501 26 24 16 10 9 5 10 2
Wahlkreisprognose 18–19 Dec 2021 1,120 30 21.5 14.5 11.5 10 4 8.5 8.5
INSA 13–18 Dec 2021 1,501 27 23 14 12 12 5 7 4
Kantar 14–16 Dec 2021 1,436 27 22 16 11 11 5 8 5
Allensbach 1–15 Dec 2021 1,069 26 24 15 13 10.5 5 6.5 2
YouGov 10–14 Dec 2021 1,715 27 23 16 10 11 6 2 6 4
Kantar 8–14 Dec 2021 1,440 27 22 16 11 10 5 9 5
INSA 10–13 Dec 2021 2,221 27 22 14.5 13 11.5 5.5 6.5 5
Forsa 7–13 Dec 2021 2,509 26 23 15 11 10 5 10 3
INSA 6–10 Dec 2021 1,480 26 22 15 13 11 5 8 4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 7–9 Dec 2021 1,303 21 28 21 17 12 10 5 7 7
Infratest dimap 7–8 Dec 2021 1,266 26 23 16 12 11 5 7 3
Civey 1–8 Dec 2021 10,043 27 23 15 11 11 5 8 4
Kantar 1–7 Dec 2021 1,439 28 21 15 11 11 5 3 6 7
INSA 3–6 Dec 2021 2,119 26 22 15 13.5 11.5 5.5 6.5 4
Wahlkreisprognose 1–6 Dec 2021 1,002 29 18 16.5 13.5 11 4 8 11
Forsa 30 Nov6 Dec 2021 2,503 25 22 17 11 10 5 10 3
INSA 29 Nov3 Dec 2021 1,348 26 21 15 13 12 5 8 5
Infratest dimap 29 Nov1 Dec 2021 1,316 25 23 17 12 11 5 7 2
Civey 24 Nov1 Dec 2021 10,078 26 24 15 11 11 5 8 2
Kantar 24–30 Nov 2021 1,425 27 20 16 12 11 6 8 7
INSA 26–29 Nov 2021 2,129 25 21 16 14 11 5.5 7.5 4
Forsa 23–29 Nov 2021 2,509 24 22 17 12 10 5 10 2
INSA 22–26 Nov 2021 1,403 26 21 15 13 12 6 7 5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 23–25 Nov 2021 1,344 19 28 19 17 13 11 5 7 9
Infratest dimap 23–24 Nov 2021 1,239 25 21 17 13 11 5 8 4
Wahlkreisprognose 22–24 Nov 2021 1,002 27 22.5 15.5 11.5 10 5 8.5 4.5
Civey 17–24 Nov 2021 10,064 25 24 15 11 11 5 9 1
YouGov 19–23 Nov 2021 1,797 25 23 16 11 12 6 2 5 2
Kantar 17–23 Nov 2021 1,424 24 22 18 11 11 6 8 2
INSA 19–22 Nov 2021 2,096 26 22 14 14 11 5.5 7.5 4
Forsa 16–22 Nov 2021 2,501 21 24 22 17 12 10 5 10 2
INSA 15–19 Nov 2021 1,501 26 21 15 13 12 5 8 5
Civey 10–17 Nov 2021 10,077 26 23 15 12 11 5 8 3
Kantar 10–16 Nov 2021 1,433 24 21 18 12 11 6 8 3
INSA 12–15 Nov 2021 2,091 27 21 15 13 11.5 5.5 7 6
Forsa 9–15 Nov 2021 2,510 21 24 22 17 12 10 5 10 2
INSA 8–12 Nov 2021 1,202 26 22 15 13 11 5 8 4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 9–11 Nov 2021 1,257 16 28 20 16 13 11 5 7 8
Allensbach 29 Oct11 Nov 2021 1,016 27 23 15 14 9.5 5.5 6 4
Civey 3–10 Nov 2021 9,999 26 22 15 13 11 5 8 4
Kantar 3–9 Nov 2021 1,424 25 21 16 14 10 6 8 4
INSA 5–8 Nov 2021 2,112 26.5 20.5 16 13.5 10.5 5.5 7.7 6
Forsa 2–8 Nov 2021 2,502 25 22 16 14 9 5 9 3
INSA 1–5 Nov 2021 1,212 27 21 15 14 11 5 7 6
Wahlkreisprognose 31 Oct5 Nov 2021 1,200 28 20.5 15.5 14 10.5 4 7.5 7.5
GMS 1–4 Nov 2021 1,005 26 21 16 15 10 4 8 5
Infratest dimap 2–3 Nov 2021 1,329 27 21 16 13 10 5 8 6
Civey 27 Oct3 Nov 2021 10,069 26 22 15 13 11 5 8 4
Kantar 27 Oct2 Nov 2021 1,417 25 22 16 13 10 5 3 6 3
INSA 29 Oct1 Nov 2021 2,140 27 20 16 13.5 11.5 5 7 7
Forsa 26 Oct1 Nov 2021 2,501 25 21 16 15 9 5 9 4
INSA 25–29 Oct 2021 1,503 27 21 16 13 11 5 7 6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 26–28 Oct 2021 1,208 15 27 20 16 14 11 5 7 7
Infratest dimap 26–27 Oct 2021 1,239 26 22 16 13 10 4 9 4
Civey 20–27 Oct 2021 10,050 25 21 15 14 12 5 8 4
Kantar 19–26 Oct 2021 1,422 25 21 17 14 11 5 7 4
INSA 22–25 Oct 2021 2,105 28 20 16 14 11 5 6 8
Forsa 19–25 Oct 2021 2,510 25 20 17 16 9 5 8 5
INSA 18–22 Oct 2021 1,205 27 20 17 14 11 4 7 7
Civey 13–20 Oct 2021 10,028 25 20 15 15 11 6 8 5
Kantar 13–19 Oct 2021 1,424 25 21 16 13 11 5 9 4
INSA 15–18 Oct 2021 2,140 28 18.5 16 15 11.5 5 6 9.5
Forsa 12–18 Oct 2021 2,502 26 20 16 15 9 5 9 6
INSA 11–15 Oct 2021 1,195 28 19 16 13 11 4 9 9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 12–14 Oct 2021 1,329 14 28 19 17 13 11 5 7 9
Allensbach 1–14 Oct 2021 1,045 28 21 15 14 9.5 5 7.5 7
Civey 6–13 Oct 2021 9,999 26 20 14 15 11 6 8 6
Kantar 6–12 Oct 2021 1,410 26 19 17 14 10 5 9 7
INSA 8–11 Oct 2021 2,101 28.5 19.5 16 14.5 11 4 6.5 9
Wahlkreisprognose 7–10 Oct 2021 1,210 27 19 17.5 14 10 4 8.5 8
Forsa 5–11 Oct 2021 2,503 26 20 16 14 9 5 10 6
INSA 4–8 Oct 2021 1,509 28 20 15 14 10 5 8 8
Civey 29 Sep6 Oct 2021 10,009 28 19 15 14 11 6 7 9
Kantar 28 Sep5 Oct 2021 1,985 26 20 17 13 10 5 3 6 6
INSA 1–4 Oct 2021 2,000 28 21 15.5 13.5 10 4.5 7.5 7
Forsa 27 Sep4 Oct 2021 3,004 26 20 16 14 9 5 10 6
INSA 27 Sep1 Oct 2021 1,254 28 21 16 12 10 5 8 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 28–30 Sep 2021 1,249 15 28 20 16 13 10 5 8 8
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 23.4 25.7 24.2 14.7 11.4 10.4 4.9 2.4 6.3 1.5

CDU and CSU

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
SPD CDU Grüne FDP AfD CSU Linke FW BSW Others Lead
INSA 25–28 Oct 2024 2,008 15 24.5 11 4 19 6.5 2.5 9 8.5 5.5
INSA 18–21 Oct 2024 2,006 16,5 23.5 10 4 19 7 2.5 9 8.5 4.5
INSA 11–14 Oct 2024 2,002 16 24.5 10 4 18.5 7 3.5 9 7.5 6
INSA 4–7 Oct 2024 2,010 16 24 10.5 4 20 7.5 2.5 8 7.5 4
INSA 27–30 Sep 2024 2,004 15 24.5 11 4 19 7 2.5 9.5 7.5 5.5
INSA 20–23 Sep 2024 2,002 15.5 25.5 9.5 3.5 20 6.5 2.5 10 7 5.5
INSA 13–16 Sep 2024 2,008 14 26 10 4.5 19.5 7 2.5 10 6.5 6.5
INSA 6–9 Sep 2024 2,010 14 25.5 10 4 19.5 7 2.5 10 7.5 6
INSA 30 Aug2 Sep 2024 2,002 15 24.5 10.5 4.5 19 7 2.5 9.5 7.5 5.5
INSA 23–26 Aug 2024 2,004 15 24.5 11.5 5.5 18.5 7 3 9 6 6
INSA 16–19 Aug 2024 2,006 15.5 24 10.5 5 19 6.5 3 9.5 7 5
INSA 9–12 Aug 2024 2,008 15 23.5 10.5 5 18 7 3 9.5 8.5 5.5
INSA 2–5 Aug 2024 2,002 15 24 10.5 5 17 6.5 3 9.5 9.5 7
INSA 26–29 Jul 2024 2,006 15 24.5 10 5 18 5.5 3.5 9.5 9 6.5
INSA 19–22 Jul 2024 2,010 15 24.5 10.5 5 17 6.5 3.5 9 9 7.5
INSA 12–15 Jul 2024 2,500 15 24.5 11.5 5 18 6.5 3 8.5 8 6.5
INSA 5–8 Jul 2024 2,007 15 24 11 5.5 17.5 6.5 3 1.5 8.5 7.5 6.5
INSA 28 Jun1 Jul 2024 2,006 15 24 12 5.5 17.5 5.5 2.5 2 8.5 7.5 6.5
INSA 21–24 Jun 2024 2,008 14.5 24.5 11.5 5 17.5 6 3 2 8.5 7.5 7
INSA 14–17 Jun 2024 2,010 15 24.5 11 5 17 6.5 3 2 8 8 7.5
INSA 7–10 Jun 2024 2,008 15.5 23 12 5 16 7 3 2.5 7.5 8.5 7
INSA 31 May3 Jun 2024 2,002 16 24 12 5 15.5 6.5 3.5 2.5 7.5 7.5 8
INSA 24–27 May 2024 2,004 15 25 12 5 17 5.5 3 2.5 7 8 8
INSA 17–21 May 2024 2,010 16 23.5 12.5 5 17 6.5 3 3 7 6.5 6.5
INSA 10–13 May 2024 2,087 15.5 24.5 13 5 17 6 3.5 2.5 7 6 7.5
INSA 3–6 May 2024 2,006 15.5 23.5 12 5 18 7 3.5 2.5 7.5 5.5 5.5
Forsa 30 Apr6 May 2024 2,000 16 24.5 12 6 15 6.5 3 4 13 8.5
INSA 26–29 Apr 2024 2,004 16.5 23.5 12.5 5 18.5 6 3.5 2.5 7 5 5
INSA 19–22 Apr 2024 2,008 15 23.5 12.5 5 18.5 7 4 2.5 7 5 5
INSA 12–15 Apr 2024 2,006 16 23.5 13 6 18.5 6 3 2.5 6.5 5 5
INSA 5–8 Apr 2024 2,084 15 23.5 13 5 18.5 7 3.5 2.5 6.5 5.5 5
INSA 28 Mar2 Apr 2024 2,004 15 23.5 12.5 5 19.5 6.5 3.5 2.5 6.5 5.5 4
INSA 22–25 Mar 2024 2,008 15.5 23.5 12.5 5 19.5 6.5 3.5 2.5 6.5 5 4
INSA 15–18 Mar 2024 2,002 16 23.5 12 5 19.5 6 3.5 2.5 6.5 5.5 4
INSA 8–11 Mar 2024 2,079 14.5 25.5 12.5 5.5 18.5 5.5 3.5 2.5 6.5 5.5 7
INSA 1–4 Mar 2024 2,007 14.5 24.5 13 5.5 19.5 6 3 2.5 6.5 5 5
INSA 23–26 Feb 2024 2,006 15.5 24 13 4.5 19 6.5 3 3 7.5 4 5
INSA 16–19 Feb 2024 2,007 14.5 24 12.5 4.5 19.5 6.5 3.5 3 7.5 4.5 4.5
INSA 9–12 Feb 2024 2,083 15 23.5 12.5 3.5 20.5 6.5 3.5 3 7.5 4.5 3
INSA 2–5 Feb 2024 2,004 15 24 12.5 4.5 20.5 6 3.5 3 7.5 3.5 3.5
INSA 26–29 Jan 2024 2,002 14.5 23.5 12.5 5 21 6.5 3.5 2.5 7 4 2.5
INSA 19–22 Jan 2024 2,006 13.5 23.5 12.5 5 21.5 7 3 2.5 11.5 2
INSA 12–15 Jan 2024 2,004 14 24 12 5 23 7 4 3 8 1
INSA 5–8 Jan 2024 2,008 16 25 12 5 23 7 4 3 5 2
INSA 29 Dec2 Jan 2024 2,002 15 25 13 5 22.5 7 4 3 5.5 2.5
INSA 22–27 Dec 2023 2,000 15 25 12 5 23 7 4 3 6 2
INSA 15–18 Dec 2023 2,002 15,5 24.5 12.5 5 23 7 4 2.5 6 1.5
INSA 8–11 Dec 2023 2,008 16 23.5 12.5 6 22.5 6.5 4 3 6 1
INSA 1–4 Dec 2023 2,006 15.5 23 13 6 22.5 6.5 3.5 3 7 0.5
INSA 24–27 Nov 2023 2,007 15.5 24.5 12.5 6 22 6 4 3 6.5 2.5
INSA 17–20 Nov 2023 2,008 16.5 25.5 13 5.5 21 4.5 4.5 3 6.5 4.5
INSA 10–13 Nov 2023 2,008 16.5 24.5 13.5 5 21.5 6 4.5 3 5.5 3
INSA 3–6 Nov 2023 2,006 16.5 23 13.5 5.5 22 6.5 4.5 3 5.5 1
INSA 27–30 Oct 2023 2,010 16.5 23.5 13 5.5 21 7 4 3.5 6 2.5
INSA 20–23 Oct 2023 2,004 16.5 22 13 5.5 22 6.5 5 3.5 6 Tie
INSA 13–16 Oct 2023 2,006 16.5 21.5 13 6 23 6.5 4.5 4 5 1.5
INSA 6–9 Oct 2023 2,001 17 20.5 13.5 6 22.5 6.5 5 3 6 2
INSA 29 Sep2 Oct 2023 2,010 18 21 13.5 7 22 5.5 5 2.5 5.5 1
INSA 22–25 Sep 2023 2,003 17.5 20.5 13.5 6.5 21.5 6.5 5 3 6 1
INSA 15–18 Sep 2023 2,008 17 21 14.5 6 21 5.5 5 3.5 6.5 Tie
INSA 8–11 Sep 2023 2,002 18 19.5 14 7 22 7 4.5 8 2.5
INSA 1–4 Sep 2023 2,010 17.5 20 13.5 7.5 21.5 6.5 4.5 9 1.5
INSA 25–28 Aug 2023 2,006 18 20.5 14.5 7 21 6 4.5 8.5 0.5
INSA 18–21 Aug 2023 2,008 18.5 19.5 14 8 20.5 7 5 7.5 1
INSA 11–14 Aug 2023 2,002 19.5 19.5 13.5 7 21 6.5 4.5 8.5 1.5
INSA 4–7 Aug 2023 2,004 19 22 14.5 7.5 20.5 5 4.5 7 1.5
INSA 28–31 Jul 2023 2,003 18.5 20 14 6.5 21.5 6.5 5 8 1.5
INSA 21–24 Jul 2023 2,006 18.5 20.5 14 7.5 21.5 6 4.5 7.5 1
INSA 14–17 Jul 2023 2,004 18 20 14 7 20.5 7 5 8.5 0.5
INSA 7–10 Jul 2023 2,008 19 21 14 7 20.5 5 5 8.5 0.5
INSA 30 Jun3 Jul 2023 2,897 19 20.5 14.5 6.5 21 5 5 8.5 0.5
INSA 23–26 Jun 2023 2,004 19.5 20 13.5 6.5 20.5 6.5 4.5 9 0.5
INSA 16–19 Jun 2023 2,006 20 20.5 13.5 7.5 20 6 4.5 8 0.5
INSA 9–12 Jun 2023 2,003 20 21 13 8 19.5 6 4.5 8 1
INSA 2–5 Jun 2023 2,009 19 20.5 13.5 9 19 6 5 8 1.5
INSA 26–30 May 2023 2,004 20.5 23 13 8.5 18 5 4.5 7.5 2.5
INSA 19–22 May 2023 2,004 20.5 21 14 8.5 17 6.5 5 7.5 0.5
INSA 12–15 May 2023 2,010 20 22 14.5 8.5 16.5 6 5 7.5 2
INSA 5–8 May 2023 2,008 20 22 14 9 16.5 6 4.5 8 2
INSA 28 Apr2 May 2023 2,006 21 21 15 8 16.5 6 4.5 8 Tie
INSA 21–24 Apr 2023 2,004 20 21 14.5 9 16 6.5 4.5 8.5 1
INSA 14–17 Apr 2023 2,008 21 20.5 15 8 16 7 4.5 8 0.5
INSA 6–11 Apr 2023 2,005 20 22 15.5 8 16 5.5 4.5 8.5 2
INSA 31 Mar3 Apr 2023 2,007 20 22 15.5 7.5 16 6 4.5 8.5 2
INSA 24–27 Mar 2023 2,004 20.5 23 16 8 15.5 5 4 8 2.5
INSA 17–20 Mar 2023 2,006 21.5 22 15 7.5 16 6 5 7 0.5
INSA 10–13 Mar 2023 2,002 21.5 22 15.5 7.5 16 6.5 4 7 0.5
INSA 3–6 Mar 2023 2,007 20 23.5 15.5 7.5 15.5 6 5 7 3.5
INSA 24–27 Feb 2023 2,010 20.5 23.5 15.5 7.5 15.5 6 4.5 7 3
INSA 17–20 Feb 2023 2,006 21.5 24 15.5 7 15.5 5 5 6.5 2.5
INSA 10–13 Feb 2023 2,005 20 21 16 7.5 16 7 5 7.5 1
INSA 3–6 Feb 2023 2,008 21 20 16 8 15.5 7 5 7.5 1
INSA 27–30 Jan 2023 2,007 20.5 21 16 7.5 15 7.5 5 7.5 0.5
INSA 20–23 Jan 2023 2,009 20.5 22 16.5 7.5 15 6 4.5 8 1.5
INSA 13–16 Jan 2023 2,006 21 21 16.5 7.5 15 7 5 7 Tie
INSA 6–9 Jan 2023 2,006 20 21 17.5 7.5 15 6 5 8 1
INSA 29 Dec2 Jan 2023 2,010 20 21 17.5 7.5 15 6 4.5 8.5 1
INSA 16–19 Dec 2022 2,005 21 22 17.5 7.5 14.5 5.5 4.5 7.5 1
INSA 9–12 Dec 2022 2,007 20 21.5 18 7 15.5 7 4.5 6.5 1.5
INSA 3–5 Dec 2022 2,008 20.5 22 17 7 14.5 6 5 8 1.5
INSA 25–28 Nov 2022 2,006 21 21 17.5 7 15 6 5 7.5 Tie
INSA 18–21 Nov 2022 2,004 20 22 17 7.5 15 6 5 7.5 2
INSA 11–14 Nov 2022 2,010 20.5 21 17.5 7 15 6.5 4.5 8 0.5
INSA 4–7 Nov 2022 2,007 21 21 17.5 8 14.5 6 4.5 7.5 Tie
INSA 28–31 Oct 2022 2,009 20.5 20 18 9 15 6 4.5 7 0.5
INSA 21–24 Oct 2022 2,007 20.5 20.5 17.5 8.5 15 6 4.5 7.5 Tie
INSA 14–17 Oct 2022 2,000 19.5 20.5 18.5 7.5 15.5 7 4.5 7 1
INSA 7–10 Oct 2022 2,005 19.5 20.5 19 7.5 15 7 5 6.5 1
INSA 30 Sep3 Oct 2022 2,008 19 21.5 18.5 8 15 6 5.5 6.5 2.5
INSA 23–26 Sep 2022 2,102 18 21.5 19.5 8 15 6 5.5 6.5 2
INSA 16–19 Sep 2022 2,080 18.5 22 19 7.5 14 6.5 5.5 7 3
INSA 9–12 Sep 2022 2,039 18 22 20 8 13.5 6 5.5 7 2
INSA 2–5 Sep 2022 2,004 18 22 20.5 7.5 13.5 6 5.5 7 1.5
INSA 26–29 Aug 2022 2,138 19 22.5 20.5 8 13 5 5.5 6.5 2
INSA 19–22 Aug 2022 2,091 18.5 22 21 7.5 13 6 5.5 6.5 1
INSA 12–15 Aug 2022 2,146 19 22 22 8 12 6 5 6 Tie
INSA 5–8 Aug 2022 2,099 18 21 21.5 8 12.5 6 5.5 7.5 0.5
INSA 29 Jul1 Aug 2022 2,144 18.5 20.5 22 8 12 6 5 8 1.5
INSA 22–25 Jul 2022 2,043 18.5 21.5 22 8 12 5 5 8 0.5
INSA 15–18 Jul 2022 2,062 18.5 21.5 22 8 12 5 4.5 8.5 0.5
INSA 8–11 Jul 2022 2,044 20 21.5 21 8.5 11 5.5 4.5 8 0.5
INSA 1–4 Jul 2022 2,066 19 23 21 9.5 11 5 4 7.5 2
INSA 24–27 Jun 2022 2,101 20 22 21.5 9 10.5 5 4 8 0.5
INSA 17–20 Jun 2022 2,063 19.5 21 21 9.5 10 7 4 8 Tie
INSA 10–13 Jun 2022 2,082 20 21.5 21 9.5 10.5 6 3.5 8 0.5
INSA 3–7 Jun 2022 2,055 20 21.5 21.5 9.5 10.5 5.5 3.5 8 Tie
INSA 27–30 May 2022 2,056 22 20.5 20.5 8.5 10 6.5 3.5 8.5 1.5
INSA 20–23 May 2022 2,100 22 22 20 8.5 10.5 6.5 3 7.5 Tie
INSA 13–16 May 2022 2,147 21.5 23 20.5 9 11 5 3 7 1.5
INSA 6–9 May 2022 2,086 22.5 21 19 10 10.5 6.5 3.5 7 1.5
INSA 29 Apr2 May 2022 2,146 23 21 19 9.5 10.5 6 4.5 6.5 2
INSA 22–25 Apr 2022 2,056 24 20 18 9 11.5 6.5 4.5 6.5 4
INSA 15–18 Apr 2022 2,073 23.5 20 19 9 11 6 4.5 7 3.5
INSA 8–11 Apr 2022 2,061 25 20 17.5 9 11 7 4.5 6 5
INSA 1–4 Apr 2022 2,063 25 21 17.5 10.5 10.5 5 4.5 6 4
INSA 25–28 Mar 2022 2,070 25 21 16.5 10 10.5 5 5.5 6.5 4
INSA 18–21 Mar 2022 2,122 24.5 20.5 16.5 11 11 6 4.5 6 4
INSA 11–14 Mar 2022 2,073 25 19.5 15.5 10.5 10.5 6 5 8 5.5
INSA 4–7 Mar 2022 2,103 25 19 15.5 11 10.5 5.5 6 7.5 6
INSA 18–21 Feb 2022 1,539 23 22 14.5 12.5 11 5 6 6 1
INSA 11–14 Feb 2022 2,141 22.5 21 15 12 12 5 6 6.5 1.5
INSA 4–7 Feb 2022 2,067 23 20 15 12 11 6 7 6 3
INSA 28–31 Jan 2022 2,147 24 20 15 12.5 10 5 6.5 7 4
INSA 21–24 Jan 2022 2,146 26 19 15 11.5 11 5 6 6.5 7
INSA 14–17 Jan 2022 2,130 26 17 15.5 12 12 5.5 6 6.5 9
INSA 7–10 Jan 2022 2,107 26.5 18 15 12 12 5 5 6.5 8.5
INSA 31 Dec3 Jan 2022 2,060 26.5 17 15.5 11 11.5 6 6 6.5 9.5
INSA 17–20 Dec 2021 2,075 27.5 17 14.5 13 11.5 4.5 5.5 6.5 10.5
INSA 10–13 Dec 2021 2,221 27 17 14.5 13 11.5 5 5.5 6.5 10
INSA 3–6 Dec 2021 2,119 26 17 15 13.5 11.5 5 5.5 6.5 9
INSA 26–29 Nov 2021 2,129 25 17 16 14 11 4 5.5 7.5 8
INSA 19–22 Nov 2021 2,096 26 18 14 14 11 4 5.5 7.5 8
INSA 12–15 Nov 2021 2,091 27 16.5 15 13 11.5 4.5 5.5 7 10.5
INSA 5–8 Nov 2021 2,112 26.5 16.5 16 13.5 10.5 4 5.5 7.5 10
INSA 22–25 Oct 2021 2,105 28 16 16 14 11 4 5 6 12
INSA 15–18 Oct 2021 2,140 28 13.5 16 15 11.5 5 5 6 12
INSA 8–11 Oct 2021 2,101 28.5 14 16 14.5 11 5.5 4 6.5 12.5
INSA 1–4 Oct 2021 2,000 28 15 15.5 13.5 10 6 4.5 7.5 12.5
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 25.7 19.0 14.7 11.4 10.4 5.2 4.9 2.4 6.3 6.8

Scenario polls

[edit]

New party scenarios

[edit]
Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht[a]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW BSW Others Don't Know Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 2–4 Jan 2024 1,500 24 13 28.5 11.5 6 23.5 3 2 6 6.5 5
Wahlkreisprognose 25–27 Nov 2023 1,200 25 14.5 28 12.5 5.5 23.5 3 6 7 4.5
INSA 9–10 Nov 2023 1,004 17 24 13 5 17 2 3 14 5 7
INSA 26–27 Oct 2023 1,005 15 29 12 5 17 4 14 2 12
Wahlkreisprognose 23–25 Oct 2023 1,300 24 15.5 26.5 12.5 5.5 18 3 13 6 8.5
INSA 20–23 Oct 2023 2,004 15.5 26.5 12.5 5.5 18 4 12 6 8.5
INSA 28–31 Jul 2023 2,003 17 23 14 6 16 3 15 6 6
YouGov 14–19 Jul 2023 2,317 5 14 25 12 5 19 5 2 5 9 6
Wahlkreisprognose 27 Feb1 Mar 2023 1,419 25 22 26 14 4 13 2 14 5 4
Wahlkreisprognose 20–22 Sep 2022 1,700 20 24 17 7 11 3 10 8 4
Boris Palmer list
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke Liste Palmer Others Don't Know Lead
INSA 28–31 Jul 2023 2,003 19 22 15 8 20 5 5 6 2

Leadership scenarios

[edit]
Friedrich Merz as CDU/CSU chancellor candidate
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW BSW Others Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 25–27 Nov 2023 1,200 15.5 26.5 10 5 24.5 3 6.5 9 2
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jul 2023 1,525 22.5 20 14 6.5 20 4 5 8 2.5
Boris Pistorius as SPD chancellor candidate
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW BSW Others Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 25–27 Nov 2023 1,200 24 23 9 4 23 2 7 8 1
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jul 2023 1,525 27.5 17 13.5 6 20 3.5 3 9.5 7.5
Hendrik Wüst as CDU/CSU chancellor candidate
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW Others Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jul 2023 1,525 21.5 23 13.5 5 22 4.5 2 8.5 1.5
Markus Söder as CDU/CSU chancellor candidate
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW Others Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jul 2023 1,525 21 28 15 6.5 19.5 3.5 1 5.5 7
Sahra Wagenknecht as Linke lead candidate
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW Others Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jul 2023 1,525 21 21 15 7 16 12 2 6 Tie

Other scenarios

[edit]
National-wide CSU
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
SPD CDU Grüne FDP AfD CSU Linke Others Lead
INSA 28–31 Jul 2023 2,003 17 20 15 6 20 10 5 8 Tie
CDU/CSU open for cooperation with AfD
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW Others Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jul 2023 1,525 25 16.5 14.5 9 19 3.5 6 6.5 6

By state

[edit]

Bavaria

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
CSU SPD Grüne FDP AfD Free Voters Linke BSW Others Lead
GMS 11–16 Sep 2024 1,048 42 9 10 3 15 8 1 5 7 27
Wahlkreisprognose 2–5 Dec 2022 1,944 33 18 15 6 12 8 2 6 15
Forsa 23 May3 Jun 2022 1,049 36 12 22 8 8 2 12 14
Forsa 27 Apr13 May 2022 1,235 34 14 21 8 8 7 2 6 13
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 31.7 18.0 14.1 10.5 9.0 7.5 2.8 6.4 13.7

Brandenburg

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
SPD AfD CDU FDP Grüne Linke BSW Others Lead
Forsa 6–10 Jan 2024 1,007 17 33 20 4 8 6 3 9 13
Wahlkreisprognose 4–11 Sep 2022 1,100 25 25 14 5 12.5 9 9.5 Tie
Wahlkreisprognose 9–17 May 2022 1,001 35.5 16.5 15.5 4 14 5.5 9 19
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 29.5 18.1 15.3 9.3 9.0 8.5 10.3 11.4

Hamburg

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
SPD Grüne CDU FDP Linke AfD BSW Others Lead
Forsa 24–28 Oct 2024 1,017 21 22 25 4 6 8 5 9 3
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 29.7 24.9 15.4 11.4 6.7 5.0 6.8 4.8

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
SPD AfD CDU