2021 Virginia lieutenant gubernatorial election

2021 Virginia lieutenant gubernatorial election
← 2017 November 2, 2021 2025 →
 
Nominee Winsome Sears Hala Ayala
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 1,658,332 1,608,030
Percentage 50.71% 49.17%
Sears:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Ayala:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%      No data
Lieutenant Governor before election

Justin Fairfax
Democratic

Elected Lieutenant Governor

Winsome Sears
Republican

Elections in Virginia
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City Council

The 2021 Virginia lieutenant gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2021, to elect the next lieutenant governor of Virginia. Incumbent Democratic Lieutenant Governor Justin Fairfax was eligible to run for a second term, but instead unsuccessfully ran for the Democratic gubernatorial nomination.[1] On November 3, Hala Ayala conceded the race,[2] making Republican Winsome Sears the first black woman to be elected to the lieutenant governorship of Virginia or any statewide office, as well as the first woman elected lieutenant governor in Virginia's history. Sears was also the first Jamaican-American to become a lieutenant governor.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Hala Ayala
Governor
State delegates
Organizations
Mark Levine
Organizations
Newspapers
Andria McClellan
Federal officials
State senators
Individuals
Organizations
Sean Perryman
State delegates
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Sam Rasoul
Federal officials
State delegates
State senators
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Xavier Warren
Organizations
Elizabeth Guzman (withdrawn)
State delegates
Organizations

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Hala Ayala Elizabeth Guzman Mark Levine Andria McClellan Sean Perryman Sam Rasoul Xavier Warren Other Undecided
Roanoke College May 24 – June 1, 2021 637 (LV) ± 3.9% 16% 3% 7% 7% 3% 11% 2% – 45%
Christopher Newport University April 11–20, 2021 806 (LV) ± 3.9% 2% 4% 2% 2% 1% 12% 2% 1% 64%

Results

[edit]
Results by county and independent city:
  Ayala
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Rasoul
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Levine
  •   30–40%
  Warren
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
Democratic primary results[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Hala Ayala 181,168 37.64%
Democratic Sam Rasoul 116,816 24.27%
Democratic Mark Levine 53,735 11.16%
Democratic Andria McClellan 51,015 10.60%
Democratic Sean Perryman 38,925 8.09%
Democratic Xavier Warren 19,909 4.13%
Democratic Elizabeth Guzmán (withdrawn) 19,803 4.11%
Total votes 481,365 100.00%

Republican convention

[edit]

After months of uncertainty, the Republican Party of Virginia State Central Committee decided to hold an "unassembled convention" to select their nominees for governor, lieutenant governor, and attorney general, as opposed to holding a state run primary. The convention was held May 8 using ranked choice voting.[44]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominated at convention

[edit]

Defeated at convention

[edit]
  • Puneet Ahluwalia, business consultant[46]
  • Lance Allen, security company executive[3]
  • Glenn Davis, member of the Virginia House of Delegates and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2017[3]
  • Tim Hugo, former member of the Virginia House of Delegates (2003–2020)[3]
  • Maeve Rigler, business executive[47]

Endorsements

[edit]
Tim Hugo
State delegates

Results

[edit]
Round-by-round result visualization of the ranked choice voting election
Virginia GOP Convention, Lieutenant Governor nominee[49]
Candidate Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Round 4 Round 5
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Winsome Sears 4,075.68 32.5% 4,300.11 34.3% 4,626.70 36.9% 5,425.91 43.2% 6,827.89 54.4%
Tim Hugo 2,824.17 22.5% 2,987.20 23.8% 3,184.76 25.4% 3,816.11 30.4% 5,726.11 45.6%
Glenn Davis 2,536.77 20.2% 2,675.44 21.3% 2,838.05 22.6% 3,311.97 26.4% Eliminated
Lance Allen 1,538.80 12.3% 1701.82 13.6% 1,904.50 15.2% Eliminated
Puneet Ahluwalia 818.95 6.5% 889.43 7.1% Eliminated
Maeve Rigler 759.62 6.1% Eliminated

General election

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Hala Ayala (D)
Federal officials
State officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Individuals
Organizations
Winsome Sears (R)
Federal officials
State officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Individuals
Organizations

Polling

[edit]
Graphical summary
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Hala
Ayala (D) 		Winsome
Sears (R) 		Other Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R) October 29–31, 2021 1,081 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 50% 1% 2%
Echelon Insights (R) Archived 2021-10-29 at the Wayback Machine October 27–29, 2021 611 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 48% – 6%
Roanoke College October 14–28, 2021 571 (LV) ± 4.7% 46% 44% 0% 10%
Washington Post/Schar School October 20–26, 2021 1,107 (RV) ± 3.5% 48% 44% 3%[b] 3%
918 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 46% 1%[c] 3%
Christopher Newport University October 17–25, 2021 944 (LV) ± 3.5% 49% 48% – 3%
Suffolk University October 21–24, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 44% – 10%
co/efficient (R)[A] October 20–21, 2021 785 (LV) ± 3.5% 46% 47% – 7%
Cygnal (R) October 19–21, 2021 816 (LV) ± 3.4% 47% 47% – 6%
Virginia Commonwealth University October 9–21, 2021 722 (LV) ± 6.4% 36% 35% 16% 13%
Data for Progress (D) October 4–15, 2021 1,589 (LV) ± 2.0% 47% 42% 3% 8%
Christopher Newport University September 27 – October 6, 2021 802 (LV) ± 4.2% 48% 44% – 8%
Roanoke College September 12–26, 2021 603 (LV) ± 4.6% 45% 40% 1% 14%
KAConsulting LLC (R)[B] September 17–19, 2021 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 34% 24% 3% 40%
Virginia Commonwealth University September 7–15, 2021 731 (LV) ± 6.9% 33% 30% 20% 16%
University of Mary Washington September 7–13, 2021 1,000 (A) ± 3.1% 38% 38% 6%[d] 18%
528 (LV) ± 4.1% 41% 47% 2%[e] 10%
Monmouth University August 24–29, 2021 802 (RV) ± 3.5% 43% 42% 2% 14%
Christopher Newport University August 15–23, 2021 800 (LV) ± 3.6% 52% 42% 1% 6%
Roanoke College August 3–17, 2021 558 (LV) ± 4.2% 42% 36% 2% 20%
Virginia Commonwealth University August 4–15, 2021 770 (RV) ± 5.4% 38% 31% 19% 12%
~747 (LV) ± 5.5% 39% 31% 17% 12%
JMC Analytics and Polling (R) June 9–12, 2021 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 42% 36% – 22%

Results

[edit]
Virginia lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2021[78]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Winsome Sears 1,658,332 50.71% +3.53%
Democratic Hala Ayala 1,608,030 49.17% −3.54%
Write-in 3,807 0.12% +0.03%
Total votes 3,270,169 100.00% N/A
Turnout
Registered electors 5,951,368
Republican gain from Democratic

By congressional district

[edit]

Sears won 6 of 11 congressional districts, including two that were represented by Democrats.[79]

District Ayala Sears Representative
1st 41% 59% Rob Wittman
2nd 46% 54% Elaine Luria
3rd 62% 38% Bobby Scott
4th 57% 43% Donald McEachin
5th 40% 60% Bob Good
6th 34% 66% Ben Cline
7th 45% 55% Abigail Spanberger
8th 73% 27% Don Beyer
9th 26% 74% Morgan Griffith
10th 52% 47% Jennifer Wexton
11th 67% 33% Gerry Connolly

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ a b Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Neither with 2%, Would not vote with 1%, Other with 0%
  3. ^ Neither with 1%, Other and Would not vote with 0%
  4. ^ None/Would not vote with 4%, other candidate with 2%
  5. ^ None/Would not vote and other candidate with 1%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ This poll was sponsored by Sears's campaign.
  2. ^ This poll was sponsored by the Presidential Coalition.

References

[edit]
  1. ^ Regardless of who won the election, it would have been the first time in Virginia history that a female became Lieutenant Governor. "Constitution of Virginia – Article V. Executive". law.lis.virginia.gov. Archived from the original on April 23, 2019. Retrieved April 23, 2019.
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  79. ^ "Dra 2020".
[edit]

Official campaign websites

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